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Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

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I'm really curious to see how IO plays Sunday. If it's a girl-driven movie it'll probably drop off a bit, maybe 20-22%, but would then play beautifully throughout the week. 

 

For now I'll say--

30m OD

28.4m Saturday (+8% from Fri without previews) 

22.4m Sunday (-21%) 

 

80.8m weekend

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If it's poised to open really big then colour me surprised. I haven't heard a single person talk about Inside Out, either online or offline, so I didn't think there was much hype/excitement for the movie.

 

It was the most anticipated movie on this forum.

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It was the most anticipated movie on this forum.

This forum was the first and only place where I heard about Inside Out. All the positive reactions actually got me interested in seeing the movie on opening day here - whenever that is.

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If it's poised to open really big then colour me surprised. I haven't heard a single person talk about Inside Out, either online or offline, so I didn't think there was much hype/excitement for the movie.

Nothing is happening offline here yet as we still have to wait 5 weeks for its UK release.
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I'm really curious to see how IO plays Sunday. If it's a girl-driven movie it'll probably drop off a bit, maybe 20-22%, but would then play beautifully throughout the week. 

 

For now I'll say--

30m OD

28.4m Saturday (+8% from Fri without previews) 

22.4m Sunday (-21%) 

 

80.8m weekend

Your Sunday drop on Father's day is crazy. 

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Your Sunday drop on Father's day is crazy. 

 

Is it? He gave it a very similar drop to How To Train Your Dragon 2, which also opened on Father's Day weekend last year.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=howtotrainyourdragon2.htm

 

Animation doesn't seem to play quite as strong on Father's Day as the "guy movie" action stuff.

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Is it? He gave it a very similar drop to How To Train Your Dragon 2, which also opened on Father's Day weekend last year.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=howtotrainyourdragon2.htm

 

Animation doesn't seem to play quite as strong on Father's Day as the "guy movie" action stuff.

That is a huge blow in my prediction of IO going over 90M. Still, 80M+ is gonna happen.

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LORD KEITH JUST WROTE THIS MASTERFUL TITLE ON THE WEEKEND PREDICTIONS ARTICLE ON BOM THAT I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT IT MEANS:

 

'Inside Out' 'Jurassic' In

Edited by CJohn
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