Official Weekend Estimates: Straigth Outta Compton - 56.1M; The Man From UNCLE - 13.5M; MI5 - 17.3M; Fantastic Four - 8M

[Bishop54]

Why do we ha e M for the Rogue Nation number?

It's blank due to not having an official estimate yet.

[WrathOfHan]

 

Universal is winning the year.

 

If we're going by the calendar year yes, but for movies released in 2015 it will be close. Bridge of Spies is probably a 100M grosser, TGD will earn at least 200M and maybe even 300M, and the sky's the limit on Star Wars.

[terrestrial]

Why do we ha e M for the Rogue Nation number?

I guess it's bcs. the 'official' early estimates wasnn't out, as Paramount seems to be missing = someone prepared the new thread-title

 

Now it's there:

 

Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation    $17,100,000    -40%    3,700    -288    $4,622    $138,236,555    3

[MinaTakla]

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - ROGUE NATION earned an estimated $4.88M on Friday. Domestic total is now $126.0M. #MissionImpossible #RogueNation

[terrestrial]

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic) Fri, Aug. 14 - Sun, Aug. 16

← previous

Wide (1000+)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Straight Outta Compton	$59,000,000	--	2,757	--	$21,400	$59,000,000	1	Universal
2	Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation	$17,100,000	-40%	3,700	-288	$4,622	$138,236,555	3	Paramount
3	The Man from U.N.C.L.E.	$12,900,000	--	3,638	--	$3,546	$12,900,000	1	Warner Bros.
4	Fantastic Four (2015)	$7,600,000	-70%	4,004	9	$1,898	$41,561,218	2	Fox
5	The Gift (2015)	$6,300,000	-47%	2,503	0	$2,517	$23,377,323	2	STX Entertainment
6	Ant-Man	$5,300,000	-33%	2,306	-604	$2,298	$157,350,253	5	Disney
7	Vacation (2015)	$5,100,000	-43%	3,088	-342	$1,652	$46,622,065	3	Warner Bros. / New Line
8	Minions	$4,700,000	-37%	2,640	-483	$1,780	$312,468,710	6	Universal
9	Ricki and the Flash	$4,400,000	-33%	2,064	461	$2,132	$14,485,717	2	Sony / TriStar
10	Trainwreck	$3,800,000	-38%	1,998	-527	$1,902	$97,918,960	5	Universal
11	Pixels	$3,200,000	-41%	2,176	-688	$1,471	$64,317,781	4	Sony / Columbia
12	Shaun the Sheep Movie	$2,800,000	-31%	2,360	40	$1,186	$11,067,271	2	Lionsgate
13	Southpaw	$2,500,000	-47%	1,727	-547	$1,448	$45,707,290	4	Weinstein Company
14	Inside Out (2015)	$1,900,000	-30%	1,019	-339	$1,865	$339,219,797	9	Disney

Limited (100 — 999)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Jurassic World	$1,200,000	-38%	738	-381	$1,626	$637,931,640	10	Universal
2	Paper Towns	$555,000	-62%	599	-685	$927	$30,371,000	4	Fox
3	Spy (2015)	$178,000	-51%	226	-80	$788	$109,809,727	11	Fox

Platform (1 — 99)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Mistress America	$100,000	--	4	--	$25,000	$100,000	1	Fox Searchlight
2	Dope	$19,000	-48%	28	-10	$679	$16,693,172	9	Open Road

 

[samsha22]

If we're going by the calendar year yes, but for movies released in 2015 it will be close. Bridge of Spies is probably a 100M grosser, TGD will earn at least 200M and maybe even 300M, and the sky's the limit on Star Wars.

Even if you add star wars gross, Uni will win the year. They have lot of movies with potential lined up in fall.They will end up the year at 2.5 B most probably.

[Ezen Baklattan]

That moment IO will barely have a smaller PTA than Fantastic Four.

[Mango]

2,000+ theater drop for FF next weekend?

[kayumanggi]

 

 

 

If we're going by the calendar year yes, but for movies released in 2015 it will be close. Bridge of Spies is probably a 100M grosser, TGD will earn at least 200M and maybe even 300M, and the sky's the limit on Star Wars.

 

 

Universal

 

The Visit	Universal	9/11/15
Everest (2015)	Universal	9/18/15
Legend	Universal	10/2/15
Steve Jobs	Universal	10/9/15
Crimson Peak	Universal	10/16/15
Jem and the Holograms	Universal	10/23/15
By the Sea	Universal	11/13/15
Krampus	Universal	12/4/15
Sisters	Universal	12/18/15

 

Disney

 

Bridge of Spies	Buena Vista	10/16/15
The Good Dinosaur	Buena Vista	11/25/15
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Buena Vista	12/18/15

 

1	Universal	27.8%	$1,958.7	13	11
2	Buena Vista	19.7%	$1,390.7	12	8

 

Of course we are talking about the calendar year. WB would have won last year had AMERICAN SNIPER been counted for 2014.

[Mojoguy]

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - ROGUE NATION earned an estimated $4.88M on Friday. Domestic total is now $126.0M. #MissionImpossible #RogueNation

MI5 will beat UNCLE this weekend! NICE!

[eddyxx]

I saw the movie last night. It was great. The actor playing Easy E was really good.

 

Its funny listening to this now....

 

 

...knowing that Easy E couldn't rap for shit before he got into the booth. That part of the movie was REALLY funny.

[TalismanRing]

Disney probably needs to start releasing more than 11 or so movies a year in order to win in terms of B.O. gross.

[eddyxx]

can someone explain why Uncle is doing so meh, while Kingsman: The Secret Service did really well? was it just timing?

 

 

Matthew Vaughn is better than Guy Richie.

[kayumanggi]

Releasing many films a year is not always a good strategy especially if the big budgeted ones end up performing like TOMORROWLAND, THE LONE RANGER, PRINCE OF PERSIA: THE SANDS OF TIME and JOHN CARTER.

[TalismanRing]

Releasing many films a year is not always a good strategy especially if the big budgeted ones end up performing like TOMORROWLAND, THE LONE RANGER, PRINCE OF PERSIA: THE SANDS OF TIME and JOHN CARTER.

 

That why Disney is ramping up the Pixar, Disney Animation, Disney Live Fairy Tales, Marvel and Star Wars.

 

The main difference is they release very few medium sized and smaller films  compared to a  studio like WB which releases around 25 movies a year. Then again looking at the medium sized films this year from WB maybe they should start streamlining, cutting back on the huge advertising, or choosing better projects.

[Walt Disney]

Disney probably needs to start releasing more than 11 or so movies a year in order to win in terms of B.O. gross.

 

Based on the narrow definition that some people want to use of winning, Disney will always have trouble because they release too few movies in a year. However, Disney makes the most in terms of BO gross per movie. If you divide total BO gross by number of movies released in a year, then Disney wins.

[baumer]

Seeing The Gift right now.

New Bond looks way better than last one.

Agent 47 looks whatever

Black Mass....fuck yea!! Kevin Bacon!

Sinister looks odd.

[terrestrial]

BO.com daily's comment has e.g. that about that music movie

 

 

...gives the N.W.A. biopic the fourth best August opening day in history behind only Guardians of the Galaxy ($37.85 million), Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) ($25.6 million), and The Bourne Ultimatum ($24.7 million).

Yesterday also scored a 24 percent higher opening than Eminem's 8 Mile ($19.6 million) back in November 2002, and flew past the entire $20.5 million three-day launch of 2009's Notorious.

http://pro.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_numbers/early_estimate/2015-08-15

[The Panda]

I'm really curious who ends up #1 domestically this year. Disney only has three movies left but they're all heavy hitters for their target audience.

Universal has 10 movies however (not including SOC which has just started).

Also remember Star Wars full gross won't be counted, just the calendar gross, the rest will be for next year.

Universal is sitting at 1.96b

Disney at 1.39b

Looking at the slate

Universal

Straight Outta Compton

Worst Case: 125m

Best Case: 215m

My Guess: 160m

The Visit

Worst Case: 7m

Best Case: 50m (No Good Deed level)

My Guess: 15m

Everest

Worst Case: 40m

Best Case: 150m

My Guess: 75m

Legend

Best Case: 50m

Worst Case: 7.5m

My Guess: 17m

Steve Jobs

Worst Case: 20m

Best Case: 150m

My Guess: 70m

Crimson Peak

Worst Case: 40m

Best Case: 140m

My Guess: 85m

Jem and the Holograms

Worst Case: 7.5m

Best Case: 50m

My Guess: 20.5m

By the Sea

Worst Case: 25m

Best Case: 150m

My Guess: 70m

Krampus

Worst Case: 15m

Best Case: 85m

My Guess: 55m

Sisters

Worst Case: 20m

Best Case: 105m

My Guess: 50m

Totals

Worst Case: 307m / 2.27b

Best Case: 1.145b / 3.11b

My Guess: 617.5m / 2.60b

Disney

Bridge of Spies

Worst Case: 70m

Best Case: 230m

My Guess: 175m

The Good Dinosaur (calendar only)

Worst Case: 190m

Best Case: 340m

My Guess: 310m

Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Calebdar only)

Worst Case: 315m

Best Case: 615m

My Guess: 475m

Totals

Worst Case: 575m / 1.97b Disney Loses no matter what

Best Case: 1.12b / 2.60b Disney Lose unless Universal movies do under my expectations or Disney does even better than best case

[kayumanggi]

That why Disney is ramping up the Pixar, Disney Animation, Disney Live Fairy Tales, Marvel and Star Wars.

 

The main difference is they release very few medium sized and smaller films  compared to a  studio like WB which releases around 25 movies a year. Then again looking at the medium sized films this year from WB maybe they should start streamlining, cutting back on the huge advertising, or choosing better projects.

 

That is true. However, even these big properties also have crazy budgets, a failure in the box office could be disastrous.

 

There is also a limit (to avoid overkill I guess) to the number of films they can release per genre. Three at most for computer animated films, 2 for Marvel films and 2 for big live action films. That is just what, 7 films. What Disney needs to make more are comedies and horror films. But given the fact that they are "family" centered, I doubt they'll make films like those. They also rarely make Oscar baits which other studios do.