Weekend Thread | Official estimate: The Martian 55M. Rth Sunday Est Pg43: 13.4M. Gravity will remain October OW record holder.

[PenguinHyphy]

Calling 60 million plus. Sicario might hit 30 million. Great weekend.

 

That is exactly how you guys set movies up. There is no basis for such outrageous predictions. It will barely get 1/3 of that. 

Edited October 2, 2015 by PenguinHyphy

[grim22]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-martian-rocketing-powerful-828685

 

Ridley Scott's 3D space epic The Martian has successfully blasted off at the North American box office, where it's on course to earn $17 million-plus on Friday, according to early returns.

That would put the movie's weekend debut at a powerful $48 million-$50 million, despite not having a berth in Imax. And the 20th Century Fox title has a shot at rocketing past $50 million if Saturday business exceeds the normal modeling (one bullish box office observer has it earning $52 million or more).

So far, The Martian is matching the Friday business enjoyed by Gravity on the same weekend in 2013. Gravity, facing far less competition than The Martian, went on to earn $55.8 million for the weekend and remains the record-holder for the top October debut of all time, not accounting for inflation. However, that movie saw a rare 31 percent jump from Friday to Saturday.

Playing in 3,826 theaters domestically, Scott's critically acclaimed movie is getting the widest October release ever or a live-action film. Friday's gross includes $2.5 million earned Thursday night from 2,800 locations, the best showing since Straight Outta Compton's $4.9 million in mid-August. It also bested the $1.4 million earned in Thursday previews by Gravity.

Unlike Gravity, The Martian isn't playing in Imax theaters. That's because Imax was committed to an exclusive run of Robert Zemeckis' The Walk, starring Joseph Gordon-Levitt as French artistPhilippe Petit, who gained fame after he walked on a high wire between the Twin Towers of the World Trade Center in 1974.

The Walk, playing in roughly 440 Imax theaters plus a smattering of premium large-format theaters not carrying The Martian, is off to a soft start, according to early Friday returns. For the day, the 3D film is on pace to earn $500,000 for a weekend debut in the $1.5 million range, compared to the $3 million hoped for.

Denis Villeneuve's critically acclaimed Sicario is expanding nationwide this weekend to strong results. The film should come in No. 3 after The Martian and holdover Hotel Transylvania 2 with an $11 million-plus weekend, including a Friday take of roughly $4 million. 

 

[CJohn]

Gravity had a 17M OD and ended with a 55M OW. 

 

The Walk is bombing. 

Edited October 2, 2015 by CJohn

[DAJK]

Great for Sicario, about what I expected for Martian, but really bad for The Walk.

[grim22]

Gravity had a 17M OD and ended with a 55M OW. 

 

The Walk is bombing. 

 

Gravity also had a monster Saturday bump and a great Sunday hold for October (less than 35%). Of course, both of those were down to IMAX boosting it a lot.

[CJohn]

Gravity also had a monster Saturday bump and a great Sunday hold for October (less than 35%). Of course, both of those were down to IMAX boosting it a lot.

Sony totally screwed The Martian. I think FOX would have gone IMAX for this one. 

[Krissykins]

Variety are saying $8-10m for Sicario, which from 2620 locations isn't good. That's under $4K pta. THR's numbers are a bit better.

Great for The Martian though.

Edited October 2, 2015 by Krissykins

[Ozymandias]

Since The Walk is bombing, give IMAX to Mark Watney. 

 

kthxbai

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Hope Martian increases through the night, but 50m would be a really good OW regardless. Solid expansion for Sicario. That's just terrible for The Walk, maybe this IMAX -only release strategy doesn't work.

[VictorHugogui]

the walk is flop before nationwide next week

 

That`s great to The Martian and so so for sicario

[filmlover]

Wanna bet that Pan's IMAX release is gonna be reinstated by Monday? It was supposed to back when it was a July release but was called off after The Walk's release pattern changed. There was even a concession stand poster at the theater yesterday saying "See It In IMAX" even though it hasn't shown up on their website yet.

[grim22]

Wanna bet that Pan's IMAX release is gonna be reinstated by Monday? It was supposed to back when it was a July release but was called off after The Walk's release pattern changed. There was even a concession stand poster at the theater yesterday saying "See It In IMAX" even though it hasn't shown up on their website yet.

 

If The Walk sees a lower than 3M number this weekend, then there is a good chance Pan gets IMAX next week.

 

 

Sony totally screwed The Martian. I think FOX would have gone IMAX for this one. 

 

Sony also screwed Everest. Everest seemed to only be making money in IMAX mostly based on the drops it saw once it lost IMAX.

[TalismanRing]

Wanna bet that Pan's IMAX release is gonna be reinstated by Monday? It was supposed to back when it was a July release but was called off after The Walk's release pattern changed. There was even a concession stand poster at the theater yesterday saying "See It In IMAX" even though it hasn't shown up on their website yet.

 

Pan needs all the help it can get with it's current tracking and reviews.

[CJohn]

Wanna bet that Pan's IMAX release is gonna be reinstated by Monday? It was supposed to back when it was a July release but was called off after The Walk's release pattern changed. There was even a concession stand poster at the theater yesterday saying "See It In IMAX" even though it hasn't shown up on their website yet.

The hilarity in that is huge.

 

I hope it happens.

[kayumanggi]

#TheMartian is headed for an opening weekend easily above $50 mil based on early projections. Stay tuned...

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

October 2, 2015

[CJohn]

If The Walk sees a lower than 3M number this weekend, then there is a good chance Pan gets IMAX next week.

 

 

 

Sony also screwed Everest. Everest seemed to only be making money in IMAX mostly based on the drops it saw once it lost IMAX.

Yeah, Sony screwed Universal, Fox and Warner Bros, lmao. 

[Jonwo]

The Martian wasn't likely to get IMAX even on its original release date due to Bond plus wasn't The Walk planned for IMAX even before The Martian moved to October? 

[La Binoche]

Sad but not surprising to see Sicario struggling against the competition. I hope it finds legs but the places it goes during the third act may not please American audiences who are used to generic formula. 

[John Marston]

Sicario deserves to bomb. Why? Not because it isn't good. Because they scheduled it against The Martian. That's what you get releasing against a bigger movie also targeting adult audiences. Same thing with The Walk 

Edited October 2, 2015 by John Marston

[CJohn]

The Martian wasn't likely to get IMAX even on its original release date due to Bond plus wasn't The Walk planned for IMAX even before The Martian moved to October? 

Bond? No. More like due to Hunger Games which gets IMAX on the 20 (The Martian original release date was November 25).