hasanahmad Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 5 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I'm no Xia, or even close to the best box office prognosticattor here, never have been and never will be. However, I seem to have a beat on SW, since the presales came in. I think SW has to start "slowing" a bit. By that I mean that there is no way it can keep Avatar's pace going. Avatar was a nice sized hit early on and then obviously wom kept it going so that it hit that 10X. SW is a different beast. It opened with the force of a tsunami combined with a typhoon and it just kept going to 7 days. Finally, on Christmas day it didn't follow Avatar's increase as it came in 27% less but this is a film that is moving at record speeds. It has to slow down because it didn't open like avatar. Based on all of this, I think today will see a smaller increase that Avatar's 22%, but not by much simply because there will be more showtimes. I also think it will slow a bit in the week to come. Now having said that, slow down just means instead of falling 9% on New Year's weekend, it will fall about 25%. A billion is all but locked based on this weekend, and really, I have no idea where it will land. Fans love it, those who have never seen a SW film before love it and critics love it. It's a perfect trifecta. So instead of putting down some arbitrary number as to where it will land, I will just say that it will do north of a billion and land somewhere between that and SW adjusted. It's a fun ride, and it will be for the next few months. Very good post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nasok Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Not a 100% jump? #Toxicwom, #Crumbling, #Notarecord...I am sad panda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 However you guys failed to realize that SW7 held much better then Avatar on Wed and Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 I really must be one of the few people who loved the origins of Vader and everything else about the prequels. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 So...... Assuming Sat/Sun to be 60/50.....it will be at $550m after the weekend. I wonder if it can beat Avatar by next Sunday..... A possible (although slightly optimistic) projection MON 35M TUE 35M WED 30M THU 25M FRI 40M SAT 40M SUN 25M That would mean $780M by 3rd Sunday with a bloody $105M 3rd weekend!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 "A New Hope" and all its reissues will be passed today just after a week in release Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 7 minutes ago, Vadermort said: Can anyone tell me why do movies collect so low on christmas day ?? The previous highest was just 24m.... Any particular reason? they open at least partly late (like e.g. 15:00 / 3:00 after midday nearby Baumer's location) and still close down early. It's a family holiday time.... and and and Weekend est. Weinstein: The Hateful Eight $4,750,000 -- 100 -- $47,500 $4,750,000 Carol $1,300,000 462% 180 164 $7,222 $3,084,311 Disney: Star Wars 7 $161,000,000 -35% 4,134 0 $38,945 $552,051,329 The Good Dinosaur $4,400,000 1% 2,134 -621 $2,062 $105,965,155 FOX: Joy $21,000,000 -- 2,896 -- $7,251 $21,000,000 Alvin Road Chip $14,400,000 1% 3,705 52 $3,887 $41,099,441 Brooklyn $930,000 -21% 288 -326 $3,229 $18,267,695 Peanuts $500,000 -7% 359 -412 $1,393 $127,634,937 The Revenant (2015) $490,000 -- 4 -- $122,500 $490,000 Martian $425,000 -6% 279 -214 $1,523 $224,790,733 Youth $375,000 56% 149 88 $2,517 $1,030,515 WB: Point Break (2015) $11,900,000 -- 2,910 -- $4,089 $11,900,000 Creed $5,300,000 6% 1,518 -915 $3,491 $97,016,653 In the Heart of the Sea $1,000,000 -71% 685 -2418 $1,460 $22,340,171 Paramount: Daddy's Home $44,000,000 -- 3,271 -- $13,452 $44,000,000 The Big Short $11,700,000 2993% 1,585 1577 $7,382 $17,193,455 Sony: Concussion (2015) $13,000,000 -- 2,841 -- $4,576 $13,000,000 Lionsgate: HG Mockingjay 2 $6,800,000 19% 1,813 -840 $3,751 $266,103,061 CBS Films / Lionsgate: Love the Coopers $160,000 -47% 245 -348 $653 $25,960,425 Open Road: Spotlight $1,200,000 -16% 480 -345 $2,500 $25,015,083 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 2 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said: However you guys failed to realize that SW7 held much better then Avatar on Wed and Thursday. That was kind of my point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 I would say Tuesday declines and Wed stays flat Fake.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 1 hour ago, No Prisoners said: Most markets doing great but... SK is really weak compared to avatar. Russia too because it lost 50% to the dollar. They are the worst of the largest markets and will fall short by more than 65%. They both cleared 100m for avatar. Japan is doing well but will likely fall short. China should match. Overall SW7 has a 15% disadvantage in XR. I think it will be close in ticket sales for WW, but short for OS. I'm sure we will have someone here CSI the shit out of the numbers when it's all said and done. I hope it does well in China, but most think it will get beaten with ease by KFP3 over there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jornacio Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said: Star Wars is massive in places like UK and OZ and is doing huge business in most places it's opened. Even in South/Latin America its doing huge business. I only go into the International section is very sparingly but if you want to see how it's doing country-by-country just go there and read the threads. 2 billion in my opinion is a foregone conclusion. I don't think it will reach avatar worldwide but at this point you never know. With the exception of comedies (and latin guys having the big roles in us movies), the Latin America box Office is really similar to the US. You just have to add some Argentinian movies in South America, the local movies, and mexican in central america. So sure, Star Wars here is an amazing hit. The problem is Asia, that is much bigger that latin america. Even if its the biggest ever in Brazil or Mexico, it stills less important than South Korea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 1 minute ago, Fake said: So...... Assuming Sat/Sun to be 60/50.....it will be at $550m after the weekend. I wonder if it can beat Avatar by next Sunday..... A possible (although slightly optimistic) projection MON 35M TUE 35M WED 30M THU 25M FRI 40M SAT 40M SUN 25M That would mean $780M by 3rd Sunday with a bloody $105M 3rd weekend!!!! This is assuming it follows Avatars drops. I think it will start coming down a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
75Live Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 2 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I really must be one of the few people who loved the origins of Vader and everything else about the prequels. you definitely aren't the only one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theendsnotnearitshere Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 This is what happens when you vote to fence out Syrian refugees. 500k would equal in like..what, $5M bonus for Fri and the $180M weekend dream would live on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 2 minutes ago, theendsnotnearitshere said: This is what happens when you vote to fence out Syrian refugees. 500k would equal in like..what, $5M bonus for Fri and the $180M weekend dream would live on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master Scottb Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 23 minutes ago, edmkh said: I wonder what is George Lucas thinking right now seeing this insane numbers for Episode 7. Quality aside, watching this episode 7 numbers; Episodes 2 and 3 were really a big box office disappointment. He's probably thinking he got ripped off. That $4 billion he got for Star Wars (and Indy) doesn't seem that great anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vadermort Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 4 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I really must be one of the few people who loved the origins of Vader and everything else about the prequels. No you are not.... I really realllyyy loved the prequels and especially episode III which was on par with episode V (IMO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Just now, Baumer Fett said: This is assuming it follows Avatars drops. I think it will start coming down a bit. Not Avatar's drops.....Avatar's 3rd Sunday dropped 28.7% from its 2nd Sunday.......... I'm predicting 50% drop, which is more in line with the LOTR pics, and in fact quite normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DussyMob Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Not surprised by Daddy's Home, they did excellent marketing on that film. Also I was in the basketball scene haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 8 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I really must be one of the few people who loved the origins of Vader and everything else about the prequels. I like the idea. I just feel the films are really really poorly executed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
