Elessar Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 15 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: 2 % of 56M is 1M, which brings it really close to 58M (57.5M). Also, Disney is low-balling their estimates quite often, this wouldn't be the first time. My "one percent or two" was just a manner of speaking. I meant to say, very little. I highly doubt saturday will be off by $1m, or even close to that. That Disney low-balls their estimates is news to me. They overestimated TFA OD. Again, Sundays are a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Insane that TFA will pass Titanic domestic total$ in 2 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Haha, was that really a question? Pamela McClintock @PamelaDayM A Disney exec says there's evidence that people are seeing #TheForceAwakens 3 & 4 x. You? http://thr.cm/hHAbDC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 TPM original run sold more tickets than avatar/tdk? 1000 posts! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 2 minutes ago, spizzer said: TPM's higher than Avatar, lower than Titanic (Avatar I have estimated at 75-76M tickets, BOM's reports at the time suggest the same). TPM is at ~85. I dug up the data last week to recalculate (I had it at 75-77M before that). http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/20748-star-wars-the-force-awakens-opening-weekend-actuals-in-1st-post-247966675-the-force-awoke-and-its-not-sleeping-anytime-soon-119-68-60/?page=271#comment-2314266 $1.2-1.3B right now, challenging Titanic's attendance. I expect it to have strong legs after the holidays; its performance has been exceptional thus far, I see no reason for it to fall off beyond what you'd expect once normal days kick back in (weaker Mon-Thurs, strong weekend holds). You're saying Avatar's adjusted gross is higher than TPM's despite the fact the latter didn't have 3D? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 2 minutes ago, spizzer said: TPM's higher than Avatar, lower than Titanic (Avatar I have estimated at 75-76M tickets, BOM's reports at the time suggest the same). TPM is at ~85. I dug up the data last week to recalculate (I had it at 75-77M before that). http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/20748-star-wars-the-force-awakens-opening-weekend-actuals-in-1st-post-247966675-the-force-awoke-and-its-not-sleeping-anytime-soon-119-68-60/?page=271#comment-2314266 $1.2-1.3B right now, challenging Titanic's attendance. I expect it to have strong legs after the holidays; its performance has been exceptional thus far, I see no reason for it to fall off beyond what you'd expect once normal days kick back in (weaker Mon-Thurs, strong weekend holds). Also, not that that 765M figure was before we got a proper 3D breakdown. I think if TFA's 3D share dips low enough (sub 40%) 765M would take it over Avatar's admissions (meaning <$10.00 average ticket price) and at that level, it would only need ~740M to pass TDK's admissions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnY Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 what on earth is a plf screen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Just now, misafeco said: TPM original run sold more tickets than avatar/tdk? 1000 posts! Yes cap'n Also I thought shrek 2 was around TDK's level for admissions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 @spizzer - I meant LOWER. I can't edit my post. LOWER than TPM's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfy01 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 How nice would it be if they lowballed by $7 million this weekend? Would put it at $550 million in 10 days. Which...I never thought that would be possible domestically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 3 minutes ago, darthdevidem01 said: It is good to see the ship is unlikely to be sunk in admissions, that makes me happy! The rest can fall for all I care If it hits 1.1B DOM, safe to say, the ship sank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 7 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: It made $50m in IMAX from less than 100 screens. That 74m admissions estimate is too high. More likely in the 71-72m area. What it did not have was nearly 400 IMAX screens (likely would have hit $80-100m in that scenario). Also had close to 0 PLF screens whereas there are 450 today. And obviously no 3D. Also I'm only quoting myself because of the editing problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 1 minute ago, JohnnY said: what on earth is a plf screen premium large format Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnY Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 1 minute ago, misafeco said: premium large format what's the average price for this? and why doesn't BOM have a compilation of IMAX records? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 1 minute ago, The Panda Menace said: If it hits 1.1B DOM, safe to say, the ship sank. You shall not pass! I'm rooting for 1B though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 9 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: It made $50m in IMAX from less than 100 screens. That 74m admissions estimate is too high. More likely in the 71-72m area. What it did not have was nearly 400 IMAX screens (likely would have hit $80-100m in that scenario). Also had close to 0 PLF screens whereas there are 450 today. And obviously no 3D. Cool, didn't realize we had an IMAX gross. With 50M from IMAX I get 73.5M tickets sold ($7.18 is the average price in 08 with a small % of IMAX and a very small % of 3D, with discount prices and the like, I have the average 2D price at ~$7.00, average 2D IMAX price right around $13.00). If TFA's 3D share is in the low 40s or below 40% by the time it hits mid 700Ms, it would need 730-750M to pass TDK's admissions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 6 minutes ago, Elessar said: My "one percent or two" was just a manner of speaking. I meant to say, very little. I highly doubt saturday will be off by $1m, or even close to that. That Disney low-balls their estimates is news to me. They overestimated TFA OD. Again, Sundays are a different story. I guess we'll see when actuals come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 3 minutes ago, misafeco said: TPM original run sold more tickets than avatar/tdk? 1000 posts! Considerably more. About 8-9m more than Avatar and 13-14m more than TDK. Force Awakens is gonna blow away TPM by 20m tickets. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 3 minutes ago, spizzer said: Also I'm only quoting myself because of the editing problem. Whoops that wasn't meant to quote you Red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 3 minutes ago, The Panda Menace said: If it hits 1.1B DOM, safe to say, the ship sank. TFA will need ice to do that! Civilised weapons like sabers aint enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
