Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

[Claudio]

23 minutes ago, Premium George said:

We don't know. @fmpro, @ZeeSoh give your predictions too for a balanced perspective. 

Nah , we actually need @fabiopazzo2 pessimistic prediction to balance out. 

POTUS the optimist predicted $302M for OW.

I believe Fabio the pessimist would predict $200M for OW.

therefore , just add those numbers ( $502M ) then multiply 2 and that brings you a nice average of $251M. 

 

Just a simple math for the most accurate prediction , really.

 

[Omnicore]

👀

My graphing skills are... not adequate and not based on real numbers lol. This graph is gonna look wild when we’re all done. 

[ZeeSoh]

56 minutes ago, Nero said:

@ZeeSoh OW prediction?

 

39 minutes ago, Premium George said:

We don't know. @fmpro, @ZeeSoh give your predictions too for a balanced perspective. 

Sorry guys was on vacation over the long weekend. Was on my way back to Mumbai when u posted. Just got back home. Will definitely give one tomorrow. 

 

I hope Charlie and Potus’s numbers come true. I dont know if they are being way too optimistic as they are wont to or being realistic as I havent looked at the numbers yet. But Gavin is here to bring us down to Earth 😜

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Sorry guys was on vacation over the long weekend. Was on my way back to Mumbai when u posted. Just got back home. Will definitely give one tomorrow. 

 

I hope Charlie and Potus’s numbers come true. I dont know if they are being way too optimistic as they are wont to or being realistic as I havent looked at the numbers yet. But Gavin is here to bring us down to Earth 😜

well from the moment that even gavin said 250 ow some days ago , you really know that some good shit its about to happen 

[Nero]

3 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Sorry guys was on vacation over the long weekend. Was on my way back to Mumbai when u posted. Just got back home. Will definitely give one tomorrow. 

 

I hope Charlie and Potus’s numbers come true. I dont know if they are being way too optimistic as they are wont to or being realistic as I havent looked at the numbers yet. But Gavin is here to bring us down to Earth 😜

Gavin is fine. Olive brings us to below earth. Its gonna ne front loaded and it's gonna crash so hard it will be historic if wom isn't good 😂

[fabiopazzo2]

20 minutes ago, Claudio said:

Nah , we actually need @fabiopazzo2 pessimistic prediction to balance out. 

POTUS the optimist predicted $302M for OW.

I believe Fabio the pessimist would predict $200M for OW.

therefore , just add those numbers ( $502M ) then multiply 2 and that brings you a nice average of $251M. 

 

Just a simple math for the most accurate prediction , really.

 

270-280M if it well received here

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, Nero said:

Gavin is fine. Olive brings us to below earth. Its gonna ne front loaded and it's gonna crash so hard it will be historic if wom isn't good 😂

lets hope it is then, but still even if wom is toxic we are still looking at 300 total  endgame is the kind of move that doesnt need decent legs to be big still though i hope its well received there

Edited April 22, 2019 by john2000

[john2000]

Just now, fabiopazzo2 said:

270-280M if it well received here

wow you are being optimistic here ? i am shocked

[HouseOfTheSun]

1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

270-280M if it well received here

Fabio with a not so pessimistic prediction. 

[Claudio]

1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

270-280M if it well received here

Uh... oh... that’s not a pessimistic prediction. What happened to you , Fabio??!! 😒

[POTUS 2020]

I put this together for wed. Ill post the link tomorrow night for anyone that wants to edit 

This is what EG will have to do to get to 500m OD. You will be able to input the hourly totals to see the projections. There will be no midpoint in the afternoon to target

			FF8					IW
			Multi to	Rest of				Multi to	Rest of
Hour	BO	Gain	Total	Day	Total	BO	Gain	Total	Day	Total
11	196.8					205.6
12	211.6	14.8	13.9	205.4	417.0	216.5	10.9	15.6	170.5	387.0
13	229.4	17.8	10.5	187.6	417.0	230.5	14.0	11.2	156.5	387.0
14	245.4	16.0	10.7	171.6	417.0	245.5	15.0	9.4	141.5	387.0
15	265.1	19.7	7.7	151.9	417.0	259.6	14.1	9.0	127.4	387.0
16	281.6	16.5	8.2	135.4	417.0	273.5	13.9	8.2	113.5	387.0
17	298.7	17.1	6.9	118.3	417.0	288.5	15.0	6.6	98.5	387.0
18	315.6	16.9	6.0	101.4	417.0	305.3	16.8	4.9	81.7	387.0
19	334.9	19.3	4.3	82.1	417.0	325.3	20.0	3.1	61.7	387.0
20	359.0	24.1	2.4	58.0	417.0	347.7	22.4	1.8	39.3	387.0
Total	417.0					387.0
					EG
			Multi to	Rest of	Proj	Average			OD	Shows
Hour	BO	Gain	Total	Day	Total	Proj			FF8	155k
11	280.0								AoU	182k
12	294.3	14.3	14.5	207.4	501.7		11 to 12		EG	220k
13	311.0	16.7	11.0	183.7	494.7	498.2	11 to 13
14	329.0	18.0	9.4	169.2	498.2	498.2	11 to 14			PS
15	347.0	18.0	8.8	158.4	505.4	500.0	11 to 15		FF8	165
16	363.0	16.0	8.0	128.0	491.0	498.2	11 to 16		AoU	182
17	382.0	19.0	6.5	123.5	505.5	499.4	11 to 17		EG	254?
18	404.0	22.0	4.8	105.6	509.6	500.9	11 to 18
19	427.5	23.5	3.0	70.5	498.0	500.5	11 to 19
20	452.0	24.5	1.8	44.1	496.1	500.0	11 to 20

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, Claudio said:

Uh... oh... that’s not a pessimistic prediction. What happened to you , Fabio??!! 😒

What if... this IS the pessimistic prediction? 

 

[Claudio]

5 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

What if... this IS the pessimistic prediction? 

 

Well then , We fucked up. 

[Stewart]

Just now, Claudio said:

Well then , We fucked up. 

Endgame isn't just breaking records, it's breaking Fabios too! 

 

---

 

Also, @Charlie Jatinder, can confirm after recent developments that I think the floor has been raised to $250m for 5-day now. If bad WOM, I expect it to just eclipse this. If good WOM I think 275m+ is likely. Still not set on $300m yet though. 

[fabiopazzo2]

25 minutes ago, Claudio said:

Uh... oh... that’s not a pessimistic prediction. What happened to you , Fabio??!! 😒

 

26 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Fabio with a not so pessimistic prediction. 

 

27 minutes ago, john2000 said:

wow you are being optimistic here ? i am shocked

For CM potus said 111M

 

For IW he said 230/240(right?!)

 

i cut 30/40M from his prediction 

Edited April 22, 2019 by fabiopazzo2

[Nero]

48 minutes ago, Claudio said:

Uh... oh... that’s not a pessimistic prediction. What happened to you , Fabio??!! 😒

I think he got tired of us calling him pessimistic that he wont predict movie pessimisticly 😂

Edited April 22, 2019 by Nero

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, Premium George said:

We don't know. @fmpro, @ZeeSoh give your predictions too for a balanced perspective. 

Honestly. Its just wild guessing at this point..

My gut says 250-275 mill 5day and i was one of the “200 mill OW is the floor” for IW

[Premium George]

That's true. Uncharted territory and all. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Unless WOM is trash, Sunday ain't going below ¥200mn. 😏

[POTUS 2020]

22 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

 

 

For CM potus said 111M

 

For IW he said 230/240(right?!)

 

i cut 30/40M from his prediction 

ok ok. im not always over

i said up to $85m on AQM when it was thought to be $70m. It was nearly $100m

My best call was RE6 from a week out.  I called for $90m OW, it hit, when the consensus was $40-50m

I though coco could do 1b early on ad was calling for 1.2b while holding thru 12 new releases, it hit

My first call in this thread was FF7 to $400m early in the run, fell short by $10m but most thought $350m max. 

I hate being low. There is no vision in being low.  Call for SW7 Domestic to be at least $500m, who cares.  Call for $1b and it does $938m, thats a better call.

$400m OW

 

Just kidding