Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

[FlashMaster659]

OD pre-sales just topped ¥200m

[FlashMaster659]

11 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

OD PS will run until 3am. It needs 4m p/hr to clear 250m.  Its running over 3m now but should accelerate later

MN also running close to 3m p/hr 160-170m incoming

160m-170m final midnight pre-sales or final midnight gross?

Edited April 23, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Legion Again]

6 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

160m-170m final midnight pre-sales or final midnight gross?

It’s the same thing 🤣

[Stewart]

Saturday Presales topped ¥100m

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Saturday Presales topped ¥100m

Saturday over OD is all but formality. I was so certain of it not happening, still have a bleak doubt but it should top eventually.

 

Unless Maoyan is 8.5 or lower.

Edited April 23, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Stewart]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Saturday over OD is all but formality. I was so certain of it not happening, still have a bleak doubt but it should top eventually.

Yes, I think it will top it. Albeit not by much though (I think it'll be a lot closer than people think). 

 

However if WOM is not so good, then I don't think it'll do it.

 

Still concerned about Saturday evening though, since Sunday is a workday, Saturday evening should be terrible, but better hope it's not!

[Fake]

Thu presales crossed 60M while that of Fri and Sat crossed 80M and 100M respectively. Fri has one extra day of presales and Sat has two, so I am expecting ratio of final presales will be something like 2:3:4 and so will be the ratio of daily grosses.

 

Expecting daily grosses to be 225-250M, 325-375M and 450-500M respectively.

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Fake said:

Thu presales crossed 60M while that of Fri and Sat crossed 80M and 100M respectively. Fri has one extra day of presales and Sat has two, so I am expecting ratio of final presales will be something like 2:3:4 and so will be the ratio of daily grosses.

 

Expecting daily grosses to be 225-250M, 325-375M and 450-500M respectively.

in usd ? ow ?

[Fake]

32 minutes ago, john2000 said:

in usd ? ow ?

In yuan.

 

I am expecting something like 1800-1850M yuan for OW but could hit 2B if everything goes right:

 

Mid: 175M

Wed: 475M

Thu: 250M

Fri: 375M

Sat: 500M

Sun: 200M

 

Total: 1975M

[cdsacken]

20 minutes ago, Fake said:

In yuan.

 

I am expecting something like 1800-1850M yuan for OW but could hit 2B if everything goes right:

 

Mid: 175M

Wed: 475M

Thu: 250M

Fri: 375M

Sat: 500M

Sun: 200M

 

Total: 1975M

That would be monster. I love it. Anything even close to that would be amazing.

[charlie Jatinder]

Seems like ¥235mn OD final. I will go with 1.8 PSm, ¥425mn OD.

[POTUS 2020]

22 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Seems like ¥235mn OD final. I will go with 1.8 PSm, ¥425mn OD.

still running at 3.5m p/hr over last 4hours.  popped 2.4m in the last 30m.

we always use the 3am number as the final. it will be close to 250m.

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, POTUS 2020 said:

still running at 3.5m p/hr over last 4hours.  popped 2.4m in the last 30m.

we always use the 3am number as the final. it will be close to 250m.

What's your OD prediction on say 245m? Seems like that is going to really do well. So big and grand yet also delivering.

[POTUS 2020]

31 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

What's your OD prediction on say 245m? Seems like that is going to really do well. So big and grand yet also delivering.

the funny thing with these uber blockbusters is that the larger the PS, say PS are 10% higher, the PSm can be be 8% lower. 5 steps forward, 4 steps back.  sometimes 6 steps back. IW had 10% more PS than FF8 but a 16% lower PSm. Could have been the demo alsao

Will the PSm be 1.8, 1.9, or 2.0. Not sure.  but with 20% more shows and higher ticket prices, it should get to high 400s (20%+ higher than IW) either with 235m or 250m+ PS.  I know its a Wed not a Fri but MN are indicating they are rushing

	JttW2			WC					FF8						IW
PS 1am	OD	%gain		MN	%gain	PS	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	%gain	Shows
Sa	12.7			9.2		8.8					2.5				9.0	14.0%	18.5	3.1	26.5%	59.2
Su	16.9	32.7%		11.0	19.6%	12.0	37.1%				5.4	2.9	116.0%		10.1	13.2%	22.3	3.8	20.7%	63.0
Mo	19.4	14.9%		13.0	18.2%	14.8	23.3%				8.3	2.9	53.7%		11.0	8.5%	25.6	3.3	14.6%	66.0
Tu	22.1	14.2%		14.9	14.6%	17.0	14.9%				11.4	3.1	37.3%		11.9	8.2%	29.0	3.4	13.5%	69.7
We	25.5	15.3%		16.0	7.4%	20.0	17.6%		5.0		14.5	3.1	27.2%		12.8	7.6%	33.7	4.7	16.2%	72.8
Th	29.1	14.1%		18.1	13.1%	23.0	15.0%		6.4	28.0%	19.5	5.0	34.5%		15.0	17.2%	43.1	9.4	27.9%	79.7
Fr	33.3	14.4%		19.6	8.3%	27.0	17.4%		8.0	25.0%	24.6	5.1	26.2%		16.6	10.7%	50.4	7.3	16.9%	86.9
Sa	38.4	15.3%		21.8	11.2%	31.5	16.7%		9.8	22.5%	33.0	8.4	34.1%		17.9	7.8%	58.2	7.8	15.5%	93.1
Su	44.0	14.6%		22.5	3.2%	35.9	14.0%		11.3	15.3%	39.6	6.6	20.0%		19.3	7.8%	65.8	7.6	13.1%	97.0
Mo	51.0	15.9%		23.4	4.0%	40.8	13.6%		13.6	20.4%	48.0	8.4	21.2%		20.9	8.3%	75.3	9.5	14.4%	100.5
Tu	57.0	11.8%		25.7	9.8%	44.8	9.8%		17.4	27.9%	63.0	15.0	31.3%		22.8	9.1%	88.9	13.6	18.1%	112.8
We	72.0	26.3%		27.1	5.4%	50.7	13.2%		22.0	26.4%	84.0	21.0	33.3%		25.8	13.2%	107.4	18.5	20.8%	133.6
Th	88.8	23.3%		30.0	10.7%	64.8	27.8%		27.0	22.7%	106.0	22.0	26.2%		30.6	18.6%	129.0	21.6	20.1%	154.6
Fr(OD)	140.0	57.7%		50.1	67.0%	96.0	48.1%		62.0	129.6%	165.0	59.0	55.7%		61.0	99.3%	182.0	53.0	41.1%	178.0
OD BO	354.0	152.9%				251.5	162.0%		62.0		417.0		152.7%		61.0		387.0		112.6%	182
Multi		2.53					2.62						2.53						2.13
	OD	OW		Total	OD $	OW $	Total $
JttW2	356	777		1656	52	113	240
WC	251	819		1472	36	125	225
FF8	417	1352		2671	60	196	387
IW	387	1271		2220	61	200	350

Edited April 23, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[cdsacken]

17 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

the funny thing with these uber blockbusters is that the larger the PS, say PS are 10% higher, the PSm can be be 8% lower. 5 steps forward, 4 steps back.  sometimes 6 steps back. IW had 10% more PS than FF8 but a 16% lower PSm. Could have been the demo alsao

Will the PSm be 1.8, 1.9, or 2.0. Not sure.  but with 20% more shows and higher ticket prices, it should get to high 400s either with 235m or 250m+ PS 

	JttW2			WC					FF8						IW
PS 1am	OD	%gain		MN	%gain	PS	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	% gain		MN	%gain	OD	gain	%gain	Shows
Sa	12.7			9.2		8.8					2.5				9.0	14.0%	18.5	3.1	26.5%	59.2
Su	16.9	32.7%		11.0	19.6%	12.0	37.1%				5.4	2.9	116.0%		10.1	13.2%	22.3	3.8	20.7%	63.0
Mo	19.4	14.9%		13.0	18.2%	14.8	23.3%				8.3	2.9	53.7%		11.0	8.5%	25.6	3.3	14.6%	66.0
Tu	22.1	14.2%		14.9	14.6%	17.0	14.9%				11.4	3.1	37.3%		11.9	8.2%	29.0	3.4	13.5%	69.7
We	25.5	15.3%		16.0	7.4%	20.0	17.6%		5.0		14.5	3.1	27.2%		12.8	7.6%	33.7	4.7	16.2%	72.8
Th	29.1	14.1%		18.1	13.1%	23.0	15.0%		6.4	28.0%	19.5	5.0	34.5%		15.0	17.2%	43.1	9.4	27.9%	79.7
Fr	33.3	14.4%		19.6	8.3%	27.0	17.4%		8.0	25.0%	24.6	5.1	26.2%		16.6	10.7%	50.4	7.3	16.9%	86.9
Sa	38.4	15.3%		21.8	11.2%	31.5	16.7%		9.8	22.5%	33.0	8.4	34.1%		17.9	7.8%	58.2	7.8	15.5%	93.1
Su	44.0	14.6%		22.5	3.2%	35.9	14.0%		11.3	15.3%	39.6	6.6	20.0%		19.3	7.8%	65.8	7.6	13.1%	97.0
Mo	51.0	15.9%		23.4	4.0%	40.8	13.6%		13.6	20.4%	48.0	8.4	21.2%		20.9	8.3%	75.3	9.5	14.4%	100.5
Tu	57.0	11.8%		25.7	9.8%	44.8	9.8%		17.4	27.9%	63.0	15.0	31.3%		22.8	9.1%	88.9	13.6	18.1%	112.8
We	72.0	26.3%		27.1	5.4%	50.7	13.2%		22.0	26.4%	84.0	21.0	33.3%		25.8	13.2%	107.4	18.5	20.8%	133.6
Th	88.8	23.3%		30.0	10.7%	64.8	27.8%		27.0	22.7%	106.0	22.0	26.2%		30.6	18.6%	129.0	21.6	20.1%	154.6
Fr(OD)	140.0	57.7%		50.1	67.0%	96.0	48.1%		62.0	129.6%	165.0	59.0	55.7%		61.0	99.3%	182.0	53.0	41.1%	178.0
OD BO	354.0	152.9%				251.5	162.0%		62.0		417.0		152.7%		61.0		387.0		112.6%	182
Multi		2.53					2.62						2.53						2.13
	OD	OW		Total	OD $	OW $	Total $
JttW2	356	777		1656	52	113	240
WC	251	819		1472	36	125	225
FF8	417	1352		2671	60	196	387
IW	387	1271		2220	61	200	350

I agree. Dare I say it I think Charlie is underestimating it at 425million OD

 

Let's say 245 for presales. PSM of 1.85 is 453 million. I could easily see  above that like 465 million.

[terrestrial]

Gavin Feng‏ @gavinfeng97 3m3 minutes ago

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Yes, Avengers: Endgame has sold $100M in China. It's the first time in history that a film earn $100M-plus in both North America & China before debut. Official box office system shows Chinese midnights for Endgame just reached $20M at 6:30pm, Apr.23 Beijing Time. #AvengersEndgame

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[terrestrial]

@Gavin Feng Do we get another one of those nice graphical displays of the presales?

Pretty please?

[POTUS 2020]

8 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

@Gavin Feng Do we get another one of those nice graphical displays of the presales?

Pretty please?

Im sure he will after MN

PS finally gathering steam.  last 30m, MN up 2m, OD up 3m

[XXR vs XXR]

+21m total PS last hour

+7.5m OD

[Gavin Feng]

11 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

@Gavin Feng Do we get another one of those nice graphical displays of the presales?

Pretty please?