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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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PS home stretch and its not disappointing. PS rate increasing still. Good omen for tomorrow. 

For those that had doubts. It aint over til....

szNidkP.jpg

250m+ OD locked Maybe 260m+

165m+ MN locked, probably 175m+

PS will try for 750m/$111

 

 

 

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
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2 minutes ago, pepsa said:

MN are popping off insanely. Had 150m at 7pm now 46 min later it has 154.6m increase over 5.5m (maybe 6m)this hour probable. 

Yep. Going for 180~ish mill MN

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1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

The numbers were slow/frozen on Maoyan but shows and % attendance were growing. Now numbers are being updated. 

I saw that too and thought it was just my computer. My mac book pro is old and dying :( 

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We should use another word to say "hype" for Endgame. This is ridiculous. It is already in the usual total range for a SH film (600-800 million Yuan) and nobody has seen the film yet...

 

I am far to know as much as people know here, but I dare to say 2b Yuan 5-day, what basically means $300m OW. And let's say 450 total (I want to see a 3b Yuan foreign film).

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Good pickup in pace and seems like may hit $250mn as well, which will be an impressive ¥65mn final day.

 

Now, I will be making a final post at midnight but before that have few things to say.

 

Unfortunately we don't have admissions pre-sale data for Infinity War but more than ¥s its tickets that should be analysed. A:EG will have OD around 40% over A:IW in term of money but in term of tickets its less than 10%, in fact could be same only.

 

Now, many of us will be thinking that the since numbers are very high for A:EG its Psm shall lower but in reality EG has sold similar tickets as A:IW only. This gives EG room to have similar walk-in as IW.

 

But there is another factor, i.e. despite having much bigger hype and 20% more tickets to sell, tickets sold are just same as A:IW. Considering this, it is not wise to expect same walk-in as IW. Also since its Wednesday release and not Friday, noon shows will be not as strong as Friday.

 

Considering that, we know that A:IW sold about 17% of its potential tickets in pre-sale while A:EG will be around 15%, i.e. 88% approx. Accounting for weekday release factor, I expect the walk-in to be 70-75% of A:IW i.e. 4-4.5mn Approx. Which will give opening day admission of 8.5-9mn and a gross of ¥400-430mn.

 

 

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