cdsacken Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 (edited) 11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: So does Pikachu have 100m potential in China. That would really impressive for this movie. Initial assessments were more than double for some and others 150+ that but personally I would be cool with 100+ and hopefully 150+ US Edited May 5, 2019 by cdsacken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 Right now today movie has already done 30% of OD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 Pretty sure @Olive or @Gavin Feng reported a likely June release for FFH earlier, not sure if that’s still the plan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 most encouraging thing about detective pikachu pre sale today is the number of shows added 6795 so far today with 3 hours left there was talk the lack of shows was due to not having hype but it’s very clear the reason was Theatres we’re waiting for endgame run to simmer down and then allot shows for detective pikachu with how much hype endgame still had left in China Monday and Tuesday there should be even more increase in number of shows Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 Today going to pass 6M¥ for OD 40%+ increase Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, Brinatico said: Today going to pass 6M¥ for OD 40%+ increase 45% 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 Any news about John Wick 3 getting a China release? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 (edited) 22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (5 days out) Midnight - 471k OD - 4.13 (+34%) (31585 shows) Sat - 1.02m Sun - 596k Detective Pikachu (4 days out) Midnight - 562k OD - 6.05 (+46.5%) (38439 shows) Sat - 1.52m Sun - 730k Very good jump today. One of the best I have ever seen for a Sunday amongst the movies I have tracked. Eclipsed only by those movies with short PS runs. Weekends usually do not show big jumps but today was a working day, hence Sunday behaved more like a Monday. But even for a final Monday before release the jump is good. All of this is thanks to the big increase in show count for today. This is the advantage of a slow show count allocation, people freak out initially when not many shows are allocated and daily jumps are low, but towards the end there are big increases. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 12m 1.5m 3.87m 1.88m 51791 48.69m Ant Man 2 8.43m 1.48m 3.01m 1.80m 50320 46.6m DP 6.05m 562k 1.52m 730k 38439 Alita 5.88m 1.11m 2.02m 1.14m 40078 33.5m Bumblebee 5.58m 830k 2.71m 1.84m 53671 26.9m Shazam 3.02 948k 1.02m 659k 39867 24.6m IF DP continues its run like this then we could be in for another big OW (assuming good ratings of course). And I see no reason for it to slow down its run rate. It's show count, while seeing a big increase today, still lags behind most of the movies. Which means we will see big show count increases and big percentage jumps. Yesterday I had it doing high 50's OW but I am gonna bump that up to 60-70's range now. If it continues like today however that number will go higher. I just wanna point out that Olive recently said in the main thread that Maoyan is cut off from the main BO app so its numbers may not be very accurate. I do not know how and if this affects presale numbers. So keep that in mind, we may see deviations from normal trends. Edited May 5, 2019 by ZeeSoh 2 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (4 days out) Midnight - 562k OD - 6.05 (+46.5%) (38439 shows) Sat - 1.52m Sun - 730k Very good jump today. One of the best I have ever seen for a Sunday amongst the movies I have tracked. Eclipsed only by those movies with short PS runs. Weekends usually do not show big jumps but today was a working day, hence Sunday behaved more like a Monday. But even for a final Monday before release the jump is good. All of this is thanks to the big increase in show count for today. This is the advantage of a slow show count allocation, people freak out initially when not many shows are allocated and daily jumps are low, but towards the end there are big increases. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 12m 1.5m 3.87m 1.88m 51791 48.69m Ant Man 2 8.43m 1.48m 3.01m 1.80m 50320 46.6m DP 6.05m 562k 1.52m 730k 38439 Alita 5.88m 1.11m 2.02m 1.14m 40078 33.5m Bumblebee 5.58m 830k 2.71m 1.84m 53671 26.9m Shazam 3.02 948k 1.02m 659k 39867 24.6m IF DP continues its run like this then we could be in for another big OW (assuming good ratings of course). And I see no reason for it to slow down its run rate. It's show count, while seeing a big increase today, still lags behind most of the movies. Which means we will see big show count increases and big percentage jumps. Yesterday I had it doing high 50's OW but I am gonna bump that up to 60-70's range now. If it continues like today however that number will go higher. I just wanna point out that Olive recently said in the main thread that Maoyan is cut off from the main BO app so its numbers may not be very accurate. I do not know how and if this affects presale numbers. So keep that in mind, we may see deviations from normal trends. Thanks for info as always. I hope the number keeps raising and I’m confident wom will be good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 25 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (4 days out) Midnight - 562k OD - 6.05 (+46.5%) (38439 shows) Sat - 1.52m Sun - 730k Very good jump today. One of the best I have ever seen for a Sunday amongst the movies I have tracked. Eclipsed only by those movies with short PS runs. Weekends usually do not show big jumps but today was a working day, hence Sunday behaved more like a Monday. But even for a final Monday before release the jump is good. All of this is thanks to the big increase in show count for today. This is the advantage of a slow show count allocation, people freak out initially when not many shows are allocated and daily jumps are low, but towards the end there are big increases. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 12m 1.5m 3.87m 1.88m 51791 48.69m Ant Man 2 8.43m 1.48m 3.01m 1.80m 50320 46.6m DP 6.05m 562k 1.52m 730k 38439 Alita 5.88m 1.11m 2.02m 1.14m 40078 33.5m Bumblebee 5.58m 830k 2.71m 1.84m 53671 26.9m Shazam 3.02 948k 1.02m 659k 39867 24.6m IF DP continues its run like this then we could be in for another big OW (assuming good ratings of course). And I see no reason for it to slow down its run rate. It's show count, while seeing a big increase today, still lags behind most of the movies. Which means we will see big show count increases and big percentage jumps. Yesterday I had it doing high 50's OW but I am gonna bump that up to 60-70's range now. If it continues like today however that number will go higher. I just wanna point out that Olive recently said in the main thread that Maoyan is cut off from the main BO app so its numbers may not be very accurate. I do not know how and if this affects presale numbers. So keep that in mind, we may see deviations from normal trends. Wait until 2.00 am for a most complete presales for the day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, Brinatico said: Wait until 2.00 am for a most complete presales for the day. No it ends at 12am. He’s been doing this for years and reliable it doesnt matter the last 2 hours will spell into tomorrow numbers. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, Brinatico said: Wait until 2.00 am for a most complete presales for the day. I had switched to 3:00 am earlier but since all the other movies presales info I had taken was from midnight and Maoyan also takes midnight numbers, it is easier to stick to midnight numbers so that I can compare with other movies. And taking the number at midnight or at 3 is largely irrelevant anyways beyond 1-2% increase. It doesnt affect the final presales anyways. However The last day number I take is of 3 am 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: I had switched to 3:00 am earlier but since all the other movies presales info I had taken was from midnight and Maoyan also takes midnight numbers, it is easier to stick to midnight numbers so that I can compare with other movies. And taking the number at midnight or at 3 is largely irrelevant anyways beyond 1-2% increase. It doesnt affect the final presales anyways. However The last day number I take is of 3 am Is just for the 50% to get real... jajaja 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dakus Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 With the Maoyan ATP being reportedly skewed higher than the actual, would that have skewed the presale bump to be larger then the actual value to any real extent? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, dakus said: With the Maoyan ATP being reportedly skewed higher than the actual, would that have skewed the presale bump to be larger then the actual value to any real extent? Would not be surprised. I mean I would be super happy those numbers were real but a 46% jump on a working day Sunday is unreal but that’s could just be because of the higher allotted showtimes than other days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 On 5/5/2019 at 7:37 AM, Minnale101 said: Right now today movie has already done 30% of OD Today increase the same time 34% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 On 5/5/2019 at 9:34 PM, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (4 days out) Midnight - 562k OD - 6.05 (+46.5%) (38439 shows) Sat - 1.52m Sun - 730k Detective Pikachu (3 days out) Midnight - 662k OD - 8.88 (+46.77%) (45842 shows) Sat - 2.30m Sun - 1.00m Very good jump again today, almost identical to yesterday's jump. Heading to at least 40m in PS if it continues its run rate like this. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 15.11m 1.83m 5.02m 2.38m 63172 48.69m Ant Man 2 11.25m 1.76m 3.96m 2.33m 61802 46.6m DP 8.88m 662k 2.30m 1.00m 45842 Alita 7.75m 1.12m 2.63m 1.40m 49108 33.5m Bumblebee 6.83m 899k 3.15m 2.04m 57895 26.9m Shazam 4.37m 1.18m 1.33m 964k 47040 24.6m Midnight/Sat/Sun however are still lagging behind the others except Shazam but then again you do not want to be like it. Shazam's OD had a holiday hence its OD PS was much higher than Saturday PS. This was reflected in its gross as well when it dropped big from its OD (the bad rating also had a hand of course). But even then Shazam's Sat as on Monday was 30% of its OD. DP without any holiday on its OD has its Saturday only 25% of its OD. That is quite low. I dont know if this indicates frontloadedness, a rush from DP fans to see it on OD itself. Or it could be that Sat/Sun show allocation is still low (I cannot confirm this as I do not note down Sat/Sun show counts). Final DP PS with same daily increases DP’s OW with same PS to OW multi Mission Impossible 6 28.6m 312m Ant Man 2 36.72m 366m Alita 38.33m 499m Bumblebee 35m 527m Shazam 50m 416m But apart from the low Sat/Sun PS which may or may not indicate frontloading, DP is still going strong. And for now I am going to stick with my prediction of yesterday. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 OD number only thing I’m focusing on because if movie gets good wom. Saturday and Sunday will easily increase but if it gets Bad WOM then it drops heavy OD really decides the fate of movie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cookson Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Any idea when Godzilla presales could start? Im assuming that a 200+ run there is looking good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 On 5/6/2019 at 9:59 PM, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (3 days out) Midnight - 662k OD - 8.88 (+46.77%) (45842 shows) Sat - 2.30m Sun - 1.00m Detective Pikachu (2 days out) Midnight - 860k OD - 12.00 (+35.13%) (61573 shows) Sat - 3.80m Sun - 1.45m A comparatively low and weak jump today, which is surprising given its jumps the past few days. But this is not any cause for concern. While many movies continue ramping upwards throughout the last few days, there are some who actually drop on Tuesday from Monday like Shazam, Captain Marvel, Black Panther, JL, etc Good jump for Sat and Sun whose ratios compared to OD PS is finally looking normal. 1 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
