Weekend Thread | RTH pg 197...Mother's Day not kind to CW but very kind to JB and MD CW 42, JB 9,7, MDD 6.1,Hunts 1.48...puts CW at about 178M

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Dexter of Suburbia said:

I saw it once this weekend.  But with Thursday-Sunday there is lot time especially if you get the weekends off from work. 

OK, I guess if you're an office drone with no life and no family, I guess it could work.

[Daxtreme]

Paging @Telemachos, @Baumer, @CJohn, @grim22, do you mods happen to know where the Avengers May 2012 numbers week-end thread is?

 

I looked in Numbers and data -- not there

 

I'd love for it to be my read for today. Like a good book 

[Noctis]

1 minute ago, Daxtreme said:

Paging @Telemachos, @Baumer, @CJohn, @grim22, do you mods happen to know where the Avengers May 2012 numbers week-end thread is?

 

I looked in Numbers and data -- not there

 

I'd love for it to be my read for today. Like a good book 

 

I'll break it down for you.

 

$69m estimate that went to $80m. 

 

Marvel fans jizzed. 

 

The end.

[a2k]

Was looking at Animation grosses and Minion's 823m OS is mad mad mad. That's Civil War OS territory. ~55m from BVS WW. 35m from IO WW.

Of course, Frozen has a bigger 875m OS but it made 249m in Japan where Minions made 42m. So it beat Frozen by 150m+ in OS-Japan.

Edited May 9, 2016 by a2knet

[Dementeleus]

5 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

Paging @Telemachos, @Baumer, @CJohn, @grim22, do you mods happen to know where the Avengers May 2012 numbers week-end thread is?

 

I looked in Numbers and data -- not there

 

I'd love for it to be my read for today. Like a good book 

 

I found it and added it to the Archive:

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/3338-may-4-2012-weekend-avengers-opening-discussion-actual-2074-mill/

 

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

Paging @Telemachos, @Baumer, @CJohn, @grim22, do you mods happen to know where the Avengers May 2012 numbers week-end thread is?

 

I looked in Numbers and data -- not there

 

I'd love for it to be my read for today. Like a good book 

 

4 minutes ago, Noctis said:

 

I'll break it down for you.

 

$69m estimate that went to $80m. 

 

Marvel fans jizzed. 

 

The end.

 

AOU's weekend thread is more fun.

Marvel fans pissed.

Noctis jizzed.

The end.

[Agafin]

2 hours ago, grim22 said:

 

That's true, but what of repeat viewers? With a pretty much pristine copy floating around on the net (granted, news has not spread yet like it did for Expendables 3), it could curb some amount of repeat business. We will only know if the news pays this leak any attention, especially since it has come out just 3 days after release.

 

I think piracy has almost no effect in mature markets (NA, Europe, Japan and Australia).

 

90 to 95% of the GA don't watch a movie more than once in theaters and those that do, only do so very rarely (like years apart) and for 'special' movies (Avatar, Frozen, TFA etc) and those are generally not affected by piracy (Frozen's audience is mostly families and they don't pirate stuff while Avatar was a 3d phenom and you can't pirate 3d). If a casual likes a movie, he recommends it and waits for the bluray or DVD. Only hardcore fans (fanboys, fangirls, nerds etc) regularly rewatch movies and those only make up a tiny percentage of a typical blockbuster's audience (and generally wouldn't care about a pirated copy for that very reason, they are devoted fans).

 

I don't know why the effect of repeat viewings is so overblown when it only accounts for like 5% (at most) of a movie's gross. Titanic is generally considered to be one of the modern movies with the highest rate of repeat viewings ever but even it is "only" at 20% (according to https://web.archive.org/web/20110609180647/http://www.media-awareness.ca/english/resources/educational/teachable_moments/deconstructing_titanic_6.cfm).

If a movie with a multi of 21 was just rewatched by 20% of its audience, then I'm sure our contempary fast fade movies with 2-3 multis don't generate anything from repeat viewings.

[Daxtreme]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

 

AOU's weekend thread is more fun.

Marvel fans pissed.

Noctis jizzed.

The end.

 

Noctis coming into Marvel week-end numbers:

 

[JohnnyGossamer]

He needs whatever he can get as DH2 falls further and further down the OW DOM list. Though, it does still have the 2nd largest OD DOM. That may change with Rogue One though.

[Goffe]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

That may change with Rogue One though.

Hopefully it won't.

[JohnnyGossamer]

If it doesn't, then Episode VIII will certainly take the #2 OD DOM slot. Then, Episode IX will take #2 or #3 spot a few years after that.

[DAJK]

207 pages. The number that Avengers opened to. Oh the irony. The good ol days.

[MCKillswitch123]

7 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

He needs whatever he can get as DH2 falls further and further down the OW DOM list. Though, it does still have the 2nd largest OD DOM. That may change with Rogue One though.

 

I have a gutfeeling that Rogue One will be the 200M+ opener of the year we all crave for.  That shit gon be BIIIIG.

 

And #BOLDCLAIM: it will be the best Star Wars movie since The Empire Strikes Back. *hides in the desk from big ROTJ fanboys*

[Hatebox]

2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

207 pages. The number that Avengers opened to. Oh the irony.

 

You mean coincidence.

[JohnnyGossamer]

3 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

I have a gutfeeling that Rogue One will be the 200M+ opener of the year we all crave for.  That shit gon be BIIIIG.

 

And #BOLDCLAIM: it will be the best Star Wars movie since The Empire Strikes Back. *hides in the desk from big ROTJ fanboys*

I think it will open over just over/under $200M DOM as well. Not sure I trust the writers enough to say it'll be that good. But, I mean, not unlike you, I really only like A New Hope and Empire Strikes Back a lot. The others didn't do much for me.

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

I have a gutfeeling that Rogue One will be the 200M+ opener of the year we all crave for.  That shit gon be BIIIIG.

 

And #BOLDCLAIM: it will be the best Star Wars movie since The Empire Strikes Back. *hides in the desk from big ROTJ fanboys*

Lolno.

It's a December release of a Star Wars spinoff. 2X The Hobbit would be great.

[Hatebox]

I didn't love TFA, but I can see why the movie played it safe - and it obviously worked. Rogue One is a good time to take a risk though, in so much as a giant corporation like Disney is capable of taking risks, so I hope the movie's a little more out there.

[MCKillswitch123]

5 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

I think it will open over just over/under $200M DOM as well. Not sure I trust the writers enough to say it'll be that good. But, I mean, not unlike you, I really only like A New Hope and Empire Strikes Back a lot. The others didn't do much for me.

 

Oh no, don't get me wrong, I do like Return Of The Jedi very much too. But it's definitely not a classic to me. A New Hope is a classic. The Empire Strikes Back is top 5 ever worthy. ROTJ... it's very good, but very flawed too. I'd put it slightly ahead of The Force Awakens in my SW rankings. *again, hides from fanboys because I said an OT movie is only slightly better than TFA*

 

Wait, why are we talking Star Wars in a Civil War thre-OH, wait, CAUSE IT'S STAR WARS BIATCHEZ 

Lolno.

It's a December release of a Star Wars spinoff. 2X The Hobbit would be great.

 

Well, being a December release didn't stop TFA from grossing 247M OW, didn't it? It's a Star Wars spin-off that links directly to A New Hope, which is a fundamental of movie pop culture. Darth fucking Vader is in it. And, oh yeah, it's a Star Wars movie. Need I say any more? The Lord Of The Rings movies never opened to record breaking numbers - even adjusted, Return Of The King only opened to slightly above 100M, what The Jungle Book did this March.

Edited May 9, 2016 by MCKillswitch123

[Dementeleus]

For all the talk about TFA "playing it safe" (and the filmmakers certainly wanted some ground to be very familiar), they still killed off one of the biggest fan-fave characters ever, and did so in a decidedly un-macho way. They also had the balls to make the villain the space opera equivalent of a raging fanboy.

[Captain Craig]

2 hours ago, Thrylos 7 said:

At this rate CW will become as big of a bo joke as BvS . Pathetic .

Jumping the gun. 

It's going to hold much better and have better legs than BvS. 

Let's all see what that 2nd weekend drop looks like, shall we?

I'll predict somewhere in the 52-55% range.