Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Yes it does. Fortunately, Based Dennis took a crash course in 4 quadrant tone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 2 hours ago, Valonqar said: Dune isn't unknown and there's considerable built-in fandom. So it should do well. Wasn't The Goldfinch well known too? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DlAMONDZ Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 2 hours ago, Valonqar said: Many properties that aren't GA household names crossover to GA. As for older readers, that's not true for I'm a teenager and it's one of my favorite books. Also, the cast has a Chalamet, Zendaya and Momoa who are popular with teens. Momoa is popular with moms Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Dune is a classic. I've never heard of Goldfinch until I saw the thread here. Either way, Dune is more accessible than Goldfinch. Yes, I know that was a bait and I took it consciously. Momoa being a hit with moms is even better for Dune. Moms = movie legs. Also see LOTR and Gladiator. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 3 hours ago, MrGlass2 said: Dune is one of the best-selling science-fiction books of all-time but the fanbase is older, the movie won't necessarily "explode" on social media. There is a lot of potential if Chalamet and Isaac don't doom the project. Not to mention Villeneuve's lack of mainstream appeal, so far at least, but hopefully he has learned something from the fantastic BR2049 failure at the box office. Momoa is hot at the moment and would be involved if sequels happen, so he should get a more prominent role than in the novel. Super old fan base. Book came out 55 years ago 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Momoa is the reason I think this movie will be successful. With a mediocre acting I would suspect a flop and actual loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Popularity of the book is not a factor. Goldfinch is just a "best seller" the book sales are probably insignificant. And Dune has sold 20 mil. over 5 decades. It's not like a hot hit of the moment that everyone has read over the last 5 years. GA will decide in the end. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 why some people think that Millennials and Zoomers don't read books written 50 years ago? They do. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 People will show up for Timmy & Zendaya Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Moms will show up for Momoa Teens will show up for Timdeya Geeks will show up for based Dennis visual porn Dune readers will show up for Dune GA will show up for it's Xmas and they watch big epics on Xmas Boom over 1 billion. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, Valonqar said: Moms will show up for Momoa Teens will show up for Timdeya Geeks will show up for based Dennis visual porn Dune readers will show up for Dune GA will show up for it's Xmas and they watch big epics on Xmas Boom over 1 billion. 150m OW 500m DOM Confirmed! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Over TROS. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ithil Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: DUNC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I'm pretty sure Warner Bros would view anything above $400-500m successful for a movie like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, JWR said: I'm pretty sure Warner Bros would view anything above $400-500m successful for a movie like this. Yeah, that's why they invested so much money into the production right? For a sub-$500m global gross? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) So Tenet vs DUNC, who wins (beside WB)? Edited January 29, 2020 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) 54 minutes ago, Joel M said: Popularity of the book is not a factor. Goldfinch is just a "best seller" the book sales are probably insignificant. I did an opening weekend chart / book sales ratio chart at one time and tried to predict Inferno OW with it considering the drops and it got really close. Studio do pay good price for book sales stats by markets and their update ramping up to the release. That said yes it must be more relevant for a Girl on a Train than for a book (good example of the quite mediocre movie doing really well because of the book sales) from a long time ago and it is a bit more complicated than some 1:1 affair (or bible based book would beat the avengers) Domestic Book sales / OW, Ratio DaVinci Code: 25M / 77M, 3.08x A&D: 15M / 46M, 3.066x Inferno: 6M / 15M, 2.5x Between popular YA adult title the ratio tended to be in the same ball parks as well, if you have nice comparables, book sales (and the book sales T-90 days of release) are probably not a bad reference. Edited January 29, 2020 by Barnack 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 minute ago, TMP said: Yeah, that's why they invested so much money into the production right? For a sub-$500m global gross? Okay, fine. $600-800m. Maybe that should be a better target for this movie to reach. My point was that Warner Bros probably isn't expecting it to make over $1 billion, nor should they. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) they probably aren't expecting Pt 1 to make 1B but are hoping that goodwill will take Pt 2 there. it even has Baby Yoda (Alia ). Edited January 29, 2020 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...