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James

Monday: FB 6.76m, Trolls 2m, DS 1.96m (DHD)

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2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Just heard a radio ad which within 2 sentences succinctly explains why "Edge of 17" flopped. The ad pitches the movie as "The teen movie this generation deserves. Sitting at 95% on Rotten Tomatoes" etc. and then ends with "Under 17 not allowed without parent". They literally blocked the same people they need watching it from actually watching it.

The Edge of Seventeen is terrific. Such a shame it's flopping.

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1 hour ago, Jonwo said:

I think Sing will be successful but I have a feeling it probably won't do as well as Pets but $250-300m domestic seems likely with a lower OS total than Pets. 

 

I do wonder what Warner Bros' expectations for Justice League next year, it has the plum mid November slot so they must be expecting $130-140m OW minimum. 

 

I feel like they might have already shot their wad in terms of great marketing moments for Sing. At first I thought it had a puncher's chance of beating Moana, but he last trailer was definitely a step down from the first one. Its not going to suffer Storks fate (dramatically underachieving what it should have done due to crappy marketing), but I agree that SLOP is probably safe.

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1 hour ago, terrestrial said:

Ron Thornton Dies: Emmy-Winning VFX Wiz & ‘Star Trek’ Veteran Was 59

 

(see my avatar, in case you are wondering)

 

Terribly sad news. :( 

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58 minutes ago, LateReg said:

Random question: Does anybody have any idea on the budget of Manchester by the Sea?

The real production budget I do not know, but the US/CAN distribution rights got bought for $10m by amazon (= include the didgtal/download rights), who in turn have contracts with cinema distributors = for this film Roadside Attractions ~ co-distributes.

OS rights via Sierra also could be ~ $10m

 

In the hope this helps a bit.

Edited by terrestrial
added 'rights' after OS
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So if FB follows MJ2, it would do something like:

 

Tuesday:  8.7

Wed: 10.4

Thur:  7.5

Friday:  15

Saturday:  14.5

Sun:  7.7

 

The Monday number is good, but not unlike other films that came out on the same weekend, like Twilight and Hunger Games.

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7 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:

So if FB follows MJ2, it would do something like:

 

Tuesday:  8.7

Wed: 10.4

Thur:  7.5

Friday:  15

Saturday:  14.5

Sun:  7.7

 

The Monday number is good, but not unlike other films that came out on the same weekend, like Twilight and Hunger Games.

 

You got something wrong there with your numbers. Following MJ2 would mean:

 

Tuesday:  9.0

Wed: 10.8

Thur:  8.2

Friday:  16,8

Saturday:  16.0

Sun:  8.3

69,1m total

Following MJ1:

 

Tuesday:  9.1

Wed: 11.0

Thur:  8.3

Friday:  18.2

Saturday:  16.6

Sun:  8.1

 

71,3 total

 

60m over the 5d should be the mark.

 

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7 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

 

You got something wrong there with your numbers. Following MJ2 would mean:

 

Tuesday:  9.0

Wed: 10.8

Thur:  8.2

Friday:  16,8

Saturday:  16.0

Sun:  8.3

69,1m total

Following MJ1:

 

Tuesday:  9.1

Wed: 11.0

Thur:  8.3

Friday:  18.2

Saturday:  16.6

Sun:  8.1

 

71,3 total

 

60m over the 5d should be the mark.

 

 

Really dude?  LOL.  I didn't give it exact percentages.  

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6 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Huge B.O. in Japan is all about legs

I fully agree. But this will open in the Potter opening range in USD or even come close to DH2. Seeing the signs in the rest of the world, I don't expect it to be more frontloaded than that. And even if it would be, such a weekend would be so massive that even mediocre legs for the Japan market would take it to a huge total. But again, nothing points to bad WOM.

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