Weekend Thread (Dec-30-Jan 2nd) 3/4-day #s R1 49.5m/64.3m, Sing 42.8m/56.4m, Pass 16.15m/20.7m, Moana 10.97m/14.3m, WH 10.6m/13m, Fences 10m/12.7m

[druv10]

2 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/01/03/rogue-one-box-office-star-wars-zooms-past-800-million-worldwide/#17e7e42f15fd

 

pfft, not a real number

Great for RO. Baumer's club will be officially dead by Thursday.

[terrestrial]

31 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

 

22 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Question:

if I reply to some posts per multi-quote and those get maybe moved in the meanwhile, where dos my post going to? If I try to find a rather big one per my last activities I can not find it. 

 

9 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

I don't think anything would happen to your post, but admittedly it's just a guess. If you were still in the process of selecting posts and one was moved, I guess it's possible it would get de-selected. But again, I'm guessing here. 

I think I know where it went, the first quote in this post is a double post, but that is rather exactly the time I did the big post. Some glitch I guess, thatnk you for trying to help... 

 

[terrestrial]

Deadline Hollywood ‏@Deadline  36s36 seconds ago

.@STXEnt lands @lucbesson’s #Valerian and other @EuropaCorp titles in 3-year pact http://deadline.com/2017/01/stx-entertainment-valerian-luc-besson-europacorp-1201877916/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=twitter-deadline …

[terrestrial]

How is STX doing in marketing...?

[Daxtreme]

15 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/01/03/rogue-one-box-office-star-wars-zooms-past-800-million-worldwide/#17e7e42f15fd

Quote

The updated weekend box office figures are in, and Walt Disney’s Rogue One: A Star Wars Story has now earned $801.9 million worldwide after just under three weeks of global theatrical play. The film made $16 million on Monday, a drop of just 4% from Sunday and a drop of 50% from its previous Monday. ...

Its 18-day domestic total is $440.9 million

..... but relative comparisons argue around $6.5-$8m for today which will bring it just under $450m domestic, a milestone it will cross tomorrow on its 20th day of release. 

.... still looking at an over/under $550m domestic total. Rogue One also earned $11 million overseas for a $361m overseas cume. T.... the United Kingdom ($66.7m), Germany ($35m), France ($30m) Australia ($28m) and Japan ($26m). Everything else is below $13m ....

 

15 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

pfft, not a real number

 

 

8M today?

 

I don't see it.

 

Or... wait, they said Rogue One made 16M monday? Estimates are currently 14.8M, if that holds it's a pretty damn solid hold

 

[JB33]

23 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/01/03/rogue-one-box-office-star-wars-zooms-past-800-million-worldwide/#17e7e42f15fd

 

pfft, not a real number

 

Wow, that Monday number is considerably higher than we all expected! I wonder what this means for the coming Tuesday-Thursday frame. In 2011, Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows fell 12.3% from Sunday January 1 to Monday January 2. It then dropped a massive 57.4% from Monday to Tuesday. As the article states, Rogue One only dropped 4% on Monday. I wonder if that means the drops will continue to be lower OR if we'll see an even bigger drop today to compensate for the very low drop from Sunday to Monday. I happen to ere on the side of the former, given Star Wars is a bigger and better brand. I expect a minimum of just under $7M ($6.88M) for Tuesday.

Edited January 3, 2017 by JB33

[stripe]

16M Monday?? 

 

[Daxtreme]

Even with a 16M monday... 8M Tuesday would be 50% drop

 

The best drop in 2011 in the top 10 was 45.5%, but none of those movies were displaying numbers like R1. 

 

55% is the most likely scenario

 

Then again, Tuesdays are much different nowadays than they were in 2011, so anything can happen

 

Wednesday drop though... Brace yourselves

 

[terrestrial]

Quote

With a total $801.9M through Monday,  ....

....

The international box office total is $361M with $440.9M domestic.

....

The lead market for now remains the UK with $66.7M to date, followed by Germany at $35.3M, France at $30.4M, Australia with $28.3M and Japan at $25.9M (after a $1.6M Monday that was second only to the UK’s $2.3M).

http://deadline.com/2017/01/rogue-one-crosses-800-million-worldwide-box-office-1201877842/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=twitter-deadline

 

for comparisons to Forbes

[JB33]

2 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

Even with a 16M monday... 8M Tuesday would be 50% drop

 

The best drop in 2011 in the top 10 was 45.5%, but none of those movies were displaying numbers like R1. 

 

55% is the most likely scenario

 

Then again, Tuesdays are much different nowadays than they were in 2011, so anything can happen

 

Wednesday drop though... Brace yourselves

 

 

Like you said, Tuesdays are much different now, but if 2011 is any indication then the big drop will be from Monday to Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday should be relatively steady. I'd say around $5.5M for Wednesday and a similar but slightly smaller number for Thursday.

[elcaballero]

3 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

Then again, Tuesdays are much different nowadays than they were in 2011, so anything can happen

 

Wednesday drop though... Brace yourselves

 

This is what I'm thinking. People are back to work now, but Discount Tuesday might take some of the sting off. 

[Jonwo]

 

12 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

I would be absolutely shocked if Avatar 2 makes a release date less than 2 years away.  No way is Disney going to release Han Solo only 3 weeks after Avengers and 5 months after Episode 8.   

 

You can bet your ass that Han Solo will move to Dec. 13th, 2018 and Avatar is magically delayed until Dec. 18th, 2020.  

 

Star Wars will likely take a year off and you will get the Obi-Wan spin off in 2021

 

I did think Han Solo might move to December 21st but December 13th is more likely so there is breathing room between it and Mary Poppins Returns. Mortal Engines will probably move to the 18th December, 21 December or Christmas Day. 

 

I'm sort of surprise Disney hasn't scheduled Episode IX yet, It's likely December 19th or December 12th 2019. Wicked currently scheduled for the 19th but I suspect it'll move back to avoid Episode IX.

[JB33]

This is really nitpicking, but isn't Disney's usual date the 3rd Friday in December, which would be the 21st in 2018? Or are they thinking of shifting it back a week because that's cutting it TOO close to Christmas?

[terrestrial]

Quote

.out of the-numbers weekend chart

.

Manchester-by-the Sea

Roadside Attr.

$4,244,121 -empty-

1,206

$3,519

$28,468,772

.

Neruda

The Orchard

$32,952

+60%

5

$6,590

$140,451

.

 

25	(26)	Miss Sloane	EuropaCorp	$23,879	-42%	35	$682	$3,493,636	38
26	(30)	Things to Come	IFC Films	$18,504	-27%	13	$1,423	$248,255	31
27	(-)	A Man Called Ove	Music Box Films	$8,934		12	$745	$3,336,006	94
28	(-)	The Brand New Testament	Music Box Films	$7,051		11	$641	$75,928	24
29	(36)	Shut In	EuropaCorp	$6,829	+75%	15	$455	$6,897,838	52
30	new	Ocean Waves	GKIDS	$5,473		1	$5,473	$9,620	5
31	(37)	Tampopo	Janus Films	$4,087	+7%	2	$2,044	$177,313	73
32	(-)	Seasons	Music Box Films	$2,642		7	$377	$109,755	52
33	(38)	Believe	Smith Global Media	$1,448	-32%	4	$362	$889,328	31

 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Rogue One didn't hold that great over the weekend, but that Monday # is mighty impressive.

[redfirebird2008]

Glad to see Rogue One made it over $440m in 18 days. Would think it's going over $560m unless the thing just collapses in the rest of its run.

[terrestrial]

Quote

Daily Domestic Chart for Monday January 2nd, 2017

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(-)	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	Walt Disney	$16,000,000		4,029	$3,971	$440,900,000	18
-	(-)	Neruda	The Orchard	$10,760	-21%	5	$2,152	$151,211	18
-	(-)	Miss Sloane	EuropaCorp	$6,969	-19%	35	$199	$3,500,605	39
-	(-)	Shut In	EuropaCorp	$2,497	-20%	15	$166	$6,900,335	53
-	(-)	Ocean Waves	GKIDS	$2,419	+18%	1	$2,419	$12,039	6
-	(-)	Believe	Smith Global Media	$516	+30%	4	$129	$889,844	32

 

#1 only estimated

[Celedhring]

4 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Rogue One didn't hold that great over the weekend, but that Monday # is mighty impressive.

 

A bit of a pattern, isn't it? Christmas weekend hold wasn't too hot either, even accounting for Christmas' eve falling on Saturday, and then it posted that huge 32m on Boxing day Monday. Seems a lot of business got shifted to Monday in these two weekends.

[XO21]

Damn Europa Corp scoring legit bombs. STX might push Valerian at $50m dom

[JB33]

7 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Rogue One didn't hold that great over the weekend, but that Monday # is mighty impressive.

 

Now we're seeing how the calendar is BENEFITING R1. Given New Year's Day landed on a Sunday, a lot of people had January 2 off, meaning people likely flocked to theatre for one last chance to see R1. Meanwhile, the 3rd Mondays for the likes of TFA and Avatar were both just over $8M. What a difference the calendar makes.