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Weekend Thread (Dec-30-Jan 2nd) 3/4-day #s R1 49.5m/64.3m, Sing 42.8m/56.4m, Pass 16.15m/20.7m, Moana 10.97m/14.3m, WH 10.6m/13m, Fences 10m/12.7m

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5 hours ago, filmlover said:

I'm pretty sure the holidays pretty much saved Passengers a ton.

 

I'm sure it helped its legs, but I think it also depressed its opening as people waited until after Christmas to watch it.  Isn't that usually what happens to holiday openings (if you are not Star Wars?) In any event I think the second weekend being higher than the first indicates that when people were looking for 'another' movie to watch, they went to the one with Jennifer Lawrence and Chris Pratt.  It had to have been that or word of mouth, given the reviews.  There were other holiday openers which were not similarly carried by the holidays.

 

So far it seems to be doing well overseas, so I am still optimistic for above $330M ww on a $110M budget.

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~16M monday

 

So the stories were true

 

Jesus Christ, I know it's a holiday and all but...

 

Rogue One's 1st monday was 17.6M

 

Rogue One's 3rd monday is 15.9M

 

This calendar year has proven to be VERY interesting indeed :redcapes:

 

 

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Dec 29:     $2,960,191,245

R1 (30)          $18,224,317 

R1 (31)          $14,632,828

Moana (30)      $4,326,423 

Moana (31)      $3,092,016

DS (30)              $233,029 

DS (31)              $181,998

QoK (30)                $7,601 

QoK (31)                $5,665 

 

Disney YTD TOTAL: $3,000,895,122 


------

 

 

Edited by Porthos
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By the time 's current hits finish their runs, these Big 7 will gross $6.5B+ at global for avg of $930M+ each.

 

27 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

update: Zootopia + JungleBook + CaptainAmerica3 + FindingDory + DoctorStrange + Moana + RogueOne have grossed huge $6B+ global.

Edited by terrestrial
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With Actuals, R1 is now .183 behind TFA's multiplier after 18 days in release.

 

Tue  Dec 20th   -0.086
Wed  Dec 21st  -0.142
Thr  Dec 22nd  -0.145
Fri  Dec 23rd    -0.196
Sat  Dec 24th   -0.326 (Xmas Eve)
Sun  Dec 25th  -0.334 (Xmas)
Mon  Dec 26th -0.253 (Boxing Day)
Tue  Dec 27th  -0.227
Wed  Dec 28th -0.224
Thr  Dec 29th  -0.209
Fri  Dec 30th   -0.230
Sat  Dec 31st  -0.274 (NYE)
Sun  Jan 1st    -0.253
Mon  Jan 2nd  -0.183

 

Now the REAL test begins. Time to see if R1's box office run has saved its best for last in its third act (January/February). :ph34r:

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20 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Dec 29:     $2,960,191,245

R1 (30)          $18,224,317 

R1 (31)          $14,632,828

Moana (30)      $4,326,423 

Moana (31)      $3,092,016

DS (30)              $233,029 

DS (31)              $181,998

QoK (30)                $7,601 

QoK (31)                $5,665 

 

Disney YTD TOTAL: $3,000,895,122 


------

 

 

:hiphiphoray:

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2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

With Actuals, R1 is now .183 behind TFA's multiplier after 18 days in release.

 

Tue  Dec 20th   -0.086
Wed  Dec 21st  -0.142
Thr  Dec 22nd  -0.145
Fri  Dec 23rd    -0.196
Sat  Dec 24th   -0.326 (Xmas Eve)
Sun  Dec 25th  -0.334 (Xmas)
Mon  Dec 26th -0.253 (Boxing Day)
Tue  Dec 27th  -0.227
Wed  Dec 28th -0.224
Thr  Dec 29th  -0.209
Fri  Dec 30th   -0.230
Sat  Dec 31st  -0.274 (NYE)
Sun  Jan 1st    -0.253
Mon  Jan 2nd  -0.183

 

Now the REAL test begins. Time to see if R1's box office run has saved its best for last in its third act (January/February). :ph34r:

 

The BIG drop, the big shift in pace, will happen today. From there I think it will be pretty steady. I'm thinking anywhere between $6.8M and $7M for today.

Edited by JB33
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It's funny how the box office works. Rogue One may have made 75-80% of its money but I have just really begun to see it. I'm at 10 times and I'm sure I'll hit 30 by the time it's gone. Today is #11 at the TCL Chinese in Laser IMAX.

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Oh no, I went into the /r/movies box office week thread and now people are saying (with lots of upvotes) that Rogue One should have enough steam to...

 

- surpass Avatar for #2 all-time domestic :ph34r: 

 

- Surpass TFA's gross in China :ph34r:

 

- Get to 1.4B worldwide :ph34r:

 

...

I think some people need to keep their expectations in check :qotd:

Also, side note but, Sing is performing exceptionally well. If these holds keep up, it could challenge R1 for #1.

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Quote

Disney Crosses $3 Billion At Domestic B.O., First Time Ever For Major Studio; Global Now At Industry Record Of $7.6B

All in for Jan. 1-Dec. 31, Disney is at $7.6B worldwide. Broken out that’s $3.001B domestic off 16 titles, including 13 new releases last year, and $4.604B abroad.

This is the second consecutive record year in Disney history by all three measures. Disney’s previous biggest year was 2015 with $5.844B globally, $2.279B domestically, and $3.565B internationally.

http://deadline.com/2017/01/disney-propelled-by-rogue-one-crosses-7-billion-at-global-b-o-setting-new-industry-record-1201873507/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=twitter-deadline

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7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

With Actuals, R1 is now .183 behind TFA's multiplier after 18 days in release.

 

Tue  Dec 20th   -0.086
Wed  Dec 21st  -0.142
Thr  Dec 22nd  -0.145
Fri  Dec 23rd    -0.196
Sat  Dec 24th   -0.326 (Xmas Eve)
Sun  Dec 25th  -0.334 (Xmas)
Mon  Dec 26th -0.253 (Boxing Day)
Tue  Dec 27th  -0.227
Wed  Dec 28th -0.224
Thr  Dec 29th  -0.209
Fri  Dec 30th   -0.230
Sat  Dec 31st  -0.274 (NYE)
Sun  Jan 1st    -0.253
Mon  Jan 2nd  -0.183

 

Now the REAL test begins. Time to see if R1's box office run has saved its best for last in its third act (January/February). :ph34r:

Awesome!!

With this comparison we can see how are the legs of R1.

I think we´ll maybe have more surprises with this run, because its decreases are not so lineal like other blockbusters.

Thanks for the fantastic data!!!

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5 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

Oh no, I went into the /r/movies box office week thread and now people are saying (with lots of upvotes) that Rogue One should have enough steam to...

 

- surpass Avatar for #2 all-time domestic :ph34r: 

 

- Surpass TFA's gross in China :ph34r:

 

- Get to 1.4B worldwide :ph34r:

 

...

I think some people need to keep their expectations in check :qotd:

Also, side note but, Sing is performing exceptionally well. If these holds keep up, it could challenge R1 for #1.

There's a box office prediction forum more optimistic than BOT:ohmygod:

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12 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

It's funny how the box office works. Rogue One may have made 75-80% of its money but I have just really begun to see it. I'm at 10 times and I'm sure I'll hit 30 by the time it's gone. Today is #11 at the TCL Chinese in Laser IMAX.

Will you go 30 times???!!!

 

...you´re a real fan...

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9 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

Oh no, I went into the /r/movies box office week thread and now people are saying (with lots of upvotes) that Rogue One should have enough steam to...

 

- surpass Avatar for #2 all-time domestic :ph34r: 

 

- Surpass TFA's gross in China :ph34r:

 

- Get to 1.4B worldwide :ph34r:

 

...

I think some people need to keep their expectations in check :qotd:

Also, side note but, Sing is performing exceptionally well. If these holds keep up, it could challenge R1 for #1.

 

Since last Friday's numbers it became clear that Sing will beat Rogue One in its 4th weekend. Rogue One will definitely win the weekdays though. 

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17 minutes ago, Porthos said:

With Actuals, R1 is now .183 behind TFA's multiplier after 18 days in release.

 

Tue  Dec 20th   -0.086
Wed  Dec 21st  -0.142
Thr  Dec 22nd  -0.145
Fri  Dec 23rd    -0.196
Sat  Dec 24th   -0.326 (Xmas Eve)
Sun  Dec 25th  -0.334 (Xmas)
Mon  Dec 26th -0.253 (Boxing Day)
Tue  Dec 27th  -0.227
Wed  Dec 28th -0.224
Thr  Dec 29th  -0.209
Fri  Dec 30th   -0.230
Sat  Dec 31st  -0.274 (NYE)
Sun  Jan 1st    -0.253
Mon  Jan 2nd  -0.183

 

Now the REAL test begins. Time to see if R1's box office run has saved its best for last in its third act (January/February). :ph34r:

 

My theory that nearly every person who ever saw Episode 4 and enjoyed it would eventually make it to a theater if at all possible to see Rogue One is apparently coming true.

 

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