Cooper Legion Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 Highly optimistic take is 990+385+685 for 2.06. Could get a lot closer than I thought it would in the middle of the run. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxofficefreak Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 USING CHINA AT $353,784,095 INFINITY OS-C = $969,340,948 China@ $356.25 AVENGER LEGS - $996,209 M $993.705M ULTRON LEGS- $993,887 M $991.36 Notes- WEEKLY GROSSES OS-C 05/21 - 05/27- $32,978,136 05/28- 06/03 - $16,235,761 *Starting to see more volatility in ER for two previous films. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Purple Minion said: So we have $1966.1m after this WE, we only need $33.9m, I had hoped on $0.2m more dom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 (edited) the-numbers.com has its OS total at 1.332B, where’s the extra $10M coming from lol. Edited June 4, 2018 by Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 33 minutes ago, Sam said: the-numbers.com has its OS total at 1.332B, where’s the extra $10M coming from lol. the-numbers.com is not a reliable source Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 4, 2018 Share Posted June 4, 2018 From Mojo: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $643,006,211 32.7% + Foreign: $1,323,125,043 67.3% = Worldwide: $1,966,131,254 So $33,868,746 to go for the coveted 2 billion mark. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
expensiveho Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 Any markets where IW isn't the biggest MCU movie? (Neither $, Lc or admissions) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wadey Wilsoney Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 30 minutes ago, expensiveho said: Any markets where IW isn't the biggest MCU movie? (Neither $, Lc or admissions) I can't give you numbers, but I'm pretty sure BP reigns supreme in a lot of African territories. Biggest movie of all time here in SA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) 14 hours ago, Quigley said: Last weekend, OS–C was $14.46M. This weekend is about $11.1M ($14.2M in China). The drop is 23%. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&view=byweekend&wk=2018W22&id=marvel0518.htm OS–C total is $966M. Last week it was $951M. That means $3.9M during the weekdays. A very likely harsh drop will occur next weekend due to the release of Jurassic World 2. China, Australia, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and Japan are the major territories where Jurassic World 2 won't open next weekend. Range for final OS–C total is $983–990M I think (calculated using constant drops of 40% for the high number and 50% for the low number). Very bad, horrible worst-case scenario is above $2B: 980 (OS) + 363 (C) + 660 (NA). We are looking at around $2.035B for its final WW total, unless it holds well against Jurassic World 2, in which (unlikely) case it could give TFA a run for its money. DOM is $643 mln already. Your worse-case scenario is impossible-case scenario. the-numbers.com is not a reliable source Same as Mojo. Edited June 5, 2018 by Juby Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) I think if it is rereleased before IW it would likely beat TFA then. However I noticed films that make a lot overseas continue to make a few extra random million dollars for weeks overseas so we shall see.. Edited June 5, 2018 by Lordmandeep 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 11 hours ago, expensiveho said: Any markets where IW isn't the biggest MCU movie? (Neither $, Lc or admissions) DOM and as Wadey said Africa, in South Africa BP ~8.4M and IW ~5.4M (it's not just South Africa, but also some other countries about that, but most of the revenue (>90%) is from the country South Africa itself. Australia in $ (Avengers $54.4M and IW $45.8M but as of last weekend IW is ahead in Lc, actually it's the fourth biggest film ever in Lc (behind Avatar, TFA and Titanic), no idea about adm.) Argentina in $ (Avengers $17.3M and IW $15.8M) Japan in $ (Avengers $45.3M and IW $33.3M but ahead in Lc) New Zealand in $ (Avengers $7.1M and IW $6.8M but ahead in Lc) Russia in $ (Avengers $43.7M and IW $33.7M but ahead in admissions and Lc) Venezuela ($18.5M for AoU and IW $3M but ahead in admissions and Lc) If you count in Spider-Man 1-3 in adm. Spider-Man 1&2 are also bigger in Germany, Japan (Spider-Man 3 too) and France (Spider-Man 3 too). I might have missed some, but in most of Asia it's the biggest (as it's often the biggest film of all time). 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 11 hours ago, Wadey Wilsoney said: I can't give you numbers, but I'm pretty sure BP reigns supreme in a lot of African territories. Biggest movie of all time here in SA. I used to think that Black panther made 40m+ in south Africa based BOM's figure for months, only to realise that is south korea..... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
expensiveho Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 21 minutes ago, Taruseth said: DOM and as Wadey said Africa, in South Africa BP ~8.4M and IW ~5.4M (it's not just South Africa, but also some other countries about that, but most of the revenue (>90%) is from the country South Africa itself. Australia in $ (Avengers $54.4M and IW $45.8M but as of last weekend IW is ahead in Lc, actually it's the fourth biggest film ever in Lc (behind Avatar, TFA and Titanic), no idea about adm.) Argentina in $ (Avengers $17.3M and IW $15.8M) Japan in $ (Avengers $45.3M and IW $33.3M but ahead in Lc) New Zealand in $ (Avengers $7.1M and IW $6.8M but ahead in Lc) Russia in $ (Avengers $43.7M and IW $33.7M but ahead in admissions and Lc) Venezuela ($18.5M for AoU and IW $3M but ahead in admissions and Lc) If you count in Spider-Man 1-3 in adm. Spider-Man 1&2 are also bigger in Germany, Japan (Spider-Man 3 too) and France (Spider-Man 3 too). I might have missed some, but in most of Asia it's the biggest (as it's often the biggest film of all time). Thank you. So it's MCU #1 (in some way) everywhere except DOM and Africa (Didn't IW break OW record in S.A. and West Africa? Thought it had a chance there, though BP surely opened some doors) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) 31 minutes ago, expensiveho said: Thank you. So it's MCU #1 (in some way) everywhere except DOM and Africa (Didn't IW break OW record in S.A. and West Africa? Thought it had a chance there, though BP surely opened some doors) As far as I know yes. In Argentina I think it passed Avengers this weekend in Admissions (both roughly 2.6M adm.) And yeah IW is the first ever $2M opening in South Africa. No idea about West Africa. Edited June 5, 2018 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
box office Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 AIW got extended in china till july 9th 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 357M China and 966M OS. Looks like 15-20M left in tank for both. Should finish with 375M and 985M respectively. DOM looking to finish with 675M. So it will end up with 2.03-2.04B. Not bad. Not bad at all! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Fake said: 357M China and 966M OS. Looks like 15-20M left in tank for both. Should finish with 375M and 985M respectively. DOM looking to finish with 675M. So it will end up with 2.03-2.04B. Not bad. Not bad at all! Once we get the monday number for Dom I will make detailed guess at what seems possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 37 minutes ago, Fake said: 357M China and 966M OS. Looks like 15-20M left in tank for both. Should finish with 375M and 985M respectively. DOM looking to finish with 675M. So it will end up with 2.03-2.04B. Not bad. Not bad at all! Looks like Disney will make a few bucks off this movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) So now that we have DOM Mon I will try to make a ‘decent’ guess. IW Mon: $1.164m, Tue: (+32%, $1.536m), Wed : (-29%, $1.060m), Thu : (-5%, $1.007m) = $4.767m WE: +81%, +62%, -29.5%: $1.822m + $2.952m + $2.081 = $6.855m Total DOM week: $11.622m. More details in here: Spoiler The increases are bassed on the trends that Guardians followed and the trends that IW followed the last weeks. With Thu taking a bigger hit because of steeper competition, but not to big because Ocean8 targets women. That said, GG2 also dropped 600 theaters, IW will drop closer to 500 I think. So a tad bit better weekend increases. China week: IW Mon: 7.8m, Tue: 8.45m, Wed (PS up 1%, but more people out of school) 8.79m, Thu 9m. WE: Fri: 12.3m, Sat: 22m, Sun: 16.5m. Week TOT: 84.84m => $13.246m Spoiler Wed and Thu based on PS, weekend is based on POTUS projections using slightly better numbers on Thu. OS week: This means all days that not include weekends from OS-China markets (This might be M,T/M,T,W/ or the US like week M/T/W/TH). Last week $3.9m, because this means no new competition it will follow the last week WE drop: 23%, but a tad harsher (UK) so about 30%: $2.75m. Good news, it won't have a stike in Brasil, that hurted it's WD last week. WE: JW2 opens everywere exept Brasil, Col, Aust, Mex, Arg, and some smaller markets. So IW will probably fall 60%: $4.45m. Totals after this weekend: DOM: $654.622m 3.7 times ($6.855m) Same as GG2, IW has been holding a bit better but JW2 still to come. With I2 DF this will be higher. CHI: $369.546m $11m-$17m based on POTUS est OS-C: $973.2m $4.45*3 (no big new competition) WW: $1.9974B after this WE WW TOT: 2.0501B DOM: 680m CHI: $383.55m OS-C: $986.55m Edited June 5, 2018 by pepsa 7 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...