Asyulus Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) Using $17m China week instead of $13.246m yields $2.001b by next weekend. RIP Avatar fastest to $2 billion record Edited June 6, 2018 by Asyulus 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Samurai Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) It's really unfortunate that it's most likely going to miss both #3 Domestic and #3 Worldwide by not having about $20 million bigger domestic gross. Incredible run either way but it would have been really cool to reach #3 Domestic, #3 Overseas and #3 Worldwide. Edited June 5, 2018 by The Dark Samurai 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 54 minutes ago, The Dark Samurai said: It's really unfortunate that it's most likely going to miss both #3 Domestic and #3 Worldwide by not having about $20 million bigger domestic gross. Incredible run either way but it would have been really cool to reach #3 Domestic, #3 Overseas and #3 Worldwide. In terms of initial runs, it is already #2 overseas, #3 worldwide and will get to #4 domestic. Not bad. And it may even beat TFA WW after all, even though it is very unlikely based on the current situation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 It'll be the first ever non-December movie to hit $2 billion which is pretty damn impressive. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) 5 hours ago, Rebeccas said: Looks like Disney will make a few bucks off this movie. Over/Under the enormous pile of cash that Solo bring in? Edit: Oops, I don’t mean bring in, I mean losing. Damn autocorrect. Edited June 5, 2018 by Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 Solo will probably lose around $100m. IW on the low end is making $600m in pure profit. Not a bad deal! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andreas Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Rebeccas said: Solo will probably lose around $100m. IW on the low end is making $600m in pure profit. Not a bad deal! Deadline estimated $600M profit for IW with a $1.875B ww total ( $600M Dom + $275M China + $1B Os-China). It'll make $650M+ profit. Likewise BP's profit was estimated at $460M with a $1.25B ww total -> Now it looks like it could make $500M. Edited June 5, 2018 by Andreas 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deja23 Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 12 minutes ago, Andreas said: Deadline estimated $600M profit for IW with a $1.875B ww total ( $600M Dom + $275M China + $1B Os-China). It'll make $650M+ profit. Likewise BP's profit was estimated at $460M with a $1.25B ww total -> Now it looks like it could make $500M. So Disney’s making $1B+ in profits from only 2 movies in the same year. Wild. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andreas Posted June 5, 2018 Share Posted June 5, 2018 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Deja23 said: So Disney’s making $1B+ in profits from only 2 movies in the same year. Wild. Add that $1.15B+ to a likely $120-150M from AMATW and Feige & Iger go full Scrooge McDuck Edited June 5, 2018 by Andreas 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 2 hours ago, The Dark Samurai said: It's really unfortunate that it's most likely going to miss both #3 Domestic and #3 Worldwide by not having about $20 million bigger domestic gross. Incredible run either way but it would have been really cool to reach #3 Domestic, #3 Overseas and #3 Worldwide. Yep, it’s exactly the reason I was so disappointed with its second weekend in the u.s . I was expecting around 125 million , which would bring its projected u.s earnings at around 730 million and instead it did less than 115 million after the 258 million ow. This and China underperforming compared to the estimates that were projecting 400 million (the presales for this were insane , just compare them to JW2 which will also.perform well in China) made it miss TFA , which is a big disappointment to me. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceFire9yt Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Thrylos 7 said: Yep, it’s exactly the reason I was so disappointed with its second weekend in the u.s . I was expecting around 125 million , which would bring its projected u.s earnings at around 730 million and instead it did less than 115 million after the 258 million ow. This and China underperforming compared to the estimates that were projecting 400 million (the presales for this were insane , just compare them to JW2 which will also.perform well in China) made it miss TFA , which is a big disappointment to me. I hesitate to use the word 'disappintment' anywhere near a 2B WW grosser, but yeah the weekday numbers that first week were definitely pointing to a better 2nd weekend drop. So instead of amazing legs, it 'just' has good legs. I think A4 has a chance for a better multi. IW may have had many families not going in for the re-watch, which was key to TFA's/TA's/JW's 3x+ legs after their massive openings. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 Disney executives probably sent a giant fyck you to Solo. Lost some of their profit bc of that pos movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 5 hours ago, Andreas said: Deadline estimated $600M profit for IW with a $1.875B ww total ( $600M Dom + $275M China + $1B Os-China). It'll make $650M+ profit. Likewise BP's profit was estimated at $460M with a $1.25B ww total -> Now it looks like it could make $500M. $150m more at the box office - especially with about $80m more domestic - with an attendant (if not equal) increase in ancillaries would be more likely to boost profit around $100m+ rather than $50m+. Likewise with BP doing about $110m more WW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 China Wed probably will come in a lot higher. Yesterday at 3pm: 3.87m, today is looking at 4.37m also at 3pm. Yesterday China number revised to 8.4m, mid point was at 3:45pm. Hours are based on the Chinese Timezone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 6 hours ago, Thrylos 7 said: disappointed (...) underperforming (...) These words =/= Avengers: Infinity War numbers IW needs re-release right before "Avengers 4" to be #3 domestically and #3 worldwide. Do it Disney! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 4 hours ago, Juby said: These words =/= Avengers: Infinity War numbers IW needs re-release right before "Avengers 4" to be #3 domestically and #3 worldwide. Do it Disney! He’s just saying that the DOM 2nd weekend was low relative to first weekday numbers, and the China total is low relative to the insane presales (record breaking presales led to a record low presale multi). Those two factors combined look to lead to a very near miss of TFA. All reasonable points, it’s not like anyone is claiming that IW numbers are bad overall 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 IW late legs in China are making up for the less than expected OW at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, pepsa said: IW late legs in China are making up for the less than expected OW at this point. 200*1.9 is a great performance, but it would probably have beaten TFA with say 240*1.7, which would be a low-but-not-seriously-record-breaking-low OW PS multi. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, pepsa said: IW late legs in China are making up for the less than expected OW at this point. Somehow, these late legs is there to be expected, given that the marketplace is so unrefreshing now especially in the downfall of solo....and Chinese has to go cinema somehow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 IW did 1B in China and USA, what a flop 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...