The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Darth Lehnsherr]

10 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

When this one fall far behind 200M OW and do just 2.5-2.7 legs .

Then the cheers become justifications 

I'd actually be pretty happy with 2.7 legs on a $160M OW. Would surpass the Domestic Totals of Wonder Woman, Iron Man 3 and Civil War.

[DeeCee]

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Deep breaths.  Let's be civil please.

 

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Or N.I.R.D. for short.

 

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[Rebeccas]

1 hour ago, Brinatico said:

This forum is like a cheerleaders team for CM.

 

anyone with a sane mind would root for james woods and jack posobiec to look stupid...

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

To match BP’s Wednesday Fandango bump requires +10%, for about 41k. To match IW’s Wednesday Fandango bump takes +25%, for about 46k.      

 

Currently:   

12:00  40.9k

13:00 41.7k

14:00 43.1k     

15:00  43.7k

16:00  45.3k

 

Think it will outgrow both, but with 12 hours to go could always level off.

 

*dragging this thread back on topic*

 

17:00 46.2k

 

Might have a shot to clear 50k for the rolling 24 hour if things break right. 

 

edit: maybe not.   Finally stalled out at 18:00

 

18:00 45.8k

 

So probably coming close to the ceiling for the 24 rolling number for the day

Edited March 6, 2019 by Porthos

[FlashMaster659]

CM is skyrocketing on MT. Now at 49.4%.

Edited March 6, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Rorschach]

Rave Cinemas (Thursday Night showtimes):

 

3D

7:30 - 32/85

10:30 - 0/85

 

IMAX 2D

7:00 - 235/387

10:00 - 39/387

 

Regular Showtimes (* = DBOX showing)

7:15 - 49/94

*7:45 - 110/135

*8:00 - 38/78

8:15 - 14/94

8:30 - 84/141

8:45 - 4/85

9:00 - 13/56

9:15 - 63/238

9:30 - 0/85

9:45 - 2/67

10:15 - 0/94

*10:45 - 32/135

*11:00 - 0/78

11:15 - 0/94

 

Fan Event Showing

6:00 - 202/238

 

Total Seats Sold: 917/2,418 (37.9%)

[Biggestgeekever]

Final (probably?) prediction:

 

Pre: $24.5M

Fri: $48.0M/$72.5M

Sat: $62.8M +30.8%/-13.4%

Sun: $48.3M -23.1%

 

OW: $183.6M

2nd: $87.0M -52.6%

3rd: $46.2M -44.6%

4th: $28.8M -40.2%

 

DOM: $520M

INT: $600M

WW: $1.120B

 

I kind of did have the urge to go with $200M, hehe, since it does have that same sense of hype really surging in the final days that happens with openers that hit that number. But we'll see, I wouldn't be totally surprised if that happens but I do think it probably needs a preview number in the high 20s to pull that off.

 

[FlashMaster659]

MT

 

2019-03-07 00:00:30.223277 UTC
1	53.9%	Captain Marvel
2	9.6%	Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral
3	8.9%	How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
4	3.4%	Alita: Battle Angel
5	2.5%	Greta

2018-02-15 00:01:38.135266 UTC
1	41.4%	Black Panther
2	28.4%	Fifty Shades Freed
3	4.4%	Peter Rabbit
4	3.5%	15:17 to Paris, The
5	2.6%	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

MT

 

2019-03-07 00:00:30.223277 UTC
1	53.9%	Captain Marvel
2	9.6%	Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral
3	8.9%	How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
4	3.4%	Alita: Battle Angel
5	2.5%	Greta

2018-02-15 00:01:38.135266 UTC
1	41.4%	Black Panther
2	28.4%	Fifty Shades Freed
3	4.4%	Peter Rabbit
4	3.5%	15:17 to Paris, The
5	2.6%	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

For further comparison, FSF had a 10.8m Wed (Valentine's Day).  Which really puts that BP number in perspective.

 

NOTE:: Before anyone comments that BP did 15.7m that day, MT.com wouldn't catch walkups.  Which, I'm told, are still a thing.

Edited March 7, 2019 by Porthos

[Cooper Legion]

Spoiler

12:00  40.9k

13:00 41.7k

14:00 43.1k

15:00  43.7k, 17.5k

16:00  45.3k, 19.36k

17:00  46.2k, 21.1k

18:00  45.8k, 22.75

19:00   46.9k, 24.5k

 

Left number is rolling 24 hr, right is from CoolEric’s daily sales spreadsheet updates. Important note that the time is the time displayed by the rolling 24 hr, but the actual daily sales are one hour behind that — so the final daily number will come one hour after the “00:00” measurement, around the time of the rolling tracker’s “1:00.”

Edited March 7, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

  Hide contents

12:00  40.9k

13:00 41.7k

14:00 43.1k

15:00  43.7k, 17.5k

16:00  45.3k, 19.36k

17:00  46.2k, 21.1k

18:00  45.8k, 22.75

19:00   46.9k

 

Left number is rolling 24 hr, right is from CoolEric’s daily sales spreadsheet updates. Important note that the time is the time displayed by the rolling 24 hr, but the actual daily sales are one hour behind that — so the final daily number will come one hour after the “00:00” measurement, around the time of the rolling tracker’s “1:00.”

Ah, the joys of having a Gold Account and being able to like as one pleases on a busy tracking thread during the run up to release of a tentpole. 👍

[Biggestgeekever]

10 minutes ago, Porthos said:

For further comparison, FSF had a 10.8m Wed (Valentine's Day).  Which really puts that BP number in perspective.

 

NOTE:: Before anyone comments that BP did 15.7m that day, MT.com wouldn't catch walkups.  Which, I'm told, are still a thing.

Yeah, Valentine's Day on Wednesday is gonna skew the MT comparison enough that it probably won't be too meaningful (also probably explains why it's Fandango sales barely increases from Tuesday). Still, it looks like Captain Marvel is gonna get around 60% with the final update and is well positioned to break 80% on Thursday. I think we've only seen that before with Star Wars, Avengers, and IT which had comically low competition. BP and Incredibles 2 came very close to 80% as well.

Edited March 7, 2019 by Biggestgeekever

[Cooper Legion]

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Ah, the joys of having a Gold Account and being able to like as one pleases on a busy tracking thread during the run up to release of a tentpole. 👍

Account status cycle of a resident MCU shill and apologist:   

If (within 7 days of an MCU run) {

     Gold

} else {

      Peasant  

}      

 

It is quite a powerful feeling though.

[Deep Wang]

10 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Ah, the joys of having a Gold Account and being able to like as one pleases on a busy tracking thread during the run up to release of a tentpole. 👍

Gold accounts are nice aren't they @IronJimbo ?

[MrGlass2]

16 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Ah, the joys of having a Gold Account and being able to like as one pleases on a busy tracking thread during the run up to release of a tentpole. 👍

So glad I won a Gold Account during and thanks to Glass' amazing run.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

200+ Thursday Endgame showings for Sacramento is coming

 

17 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

You might not have to wait 'till Endgame to see that 200+ Thr showings in Sactown. 

*cough* 

 

What's that?  Oh, just clearing my throat a little as I do some prep-work for tonight.

 

Here.  Lemme do it again:

 

*cough* *cough* 

 

Ah, that's better.

[Porthos]

Not sure anyone is going to care, but I just saw that Ralph Breaks the Internet is getting a couple of double features with Captain Marvel at our local drive-in.  Might be a small bump for it coming this weekend.  

[Cap]

34 minutes ago, Porthos said:

For further comparison, FSF had a 10.8m Wed (Valentine's Day).  Which really puts that BP number in perspective.

 

NOTE:: Before anyone comments that BP did 15.7m that day, MT.com wouldn't catch walkups.  Which, I'm told, are still a thing.

I think the CM number ALSO reflects how dead the box office is.  So she's getting the nice combo of EVENT and zero competition.  

[Billabong]

Just to know, CM outselling BP on MT at the same period puts the movie on road to an +160M OW? 

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

I'm not even a Marvel fan.

 

(Like, read the user title.  It says "SW shill and apologist" not "Marvel shill and apologist". )

Basically we are same now. One family. Disney.