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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted

So from the comments that FFH may be a more walkup-friendly movie than CM due to the summer release date and nature of the film I thought it may be a good idea to compare its cumulative sales to Ant-man and the Wasp. Now AMATW started its presales much later than FFH, so to be fair I counted its sales all the way through June 30th, which was one week before its release. It sold 16528 total in that time on Pulse. FFH on the other hand has 32941 already, and I assume the number shall increase as we get closer to release date. So if we use that comp instead of CM, FFH looks like it's doing pretty good business.

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted

These numbers are just ridiculously bad. I know Dark Phoenix is gonna be a lot more presale heavy than MIB but this is still just terrible.

 

At 10 AM last Tuesday Dark Phoenix's breakdown was Thursday: 6210, Friday: 4492, Saturday: 3719, Sunday: 1590

 

Currently MIB is at Thursday: 1543, Friday: 1278, Saturday: 1127, Sunday: 724

 

A straight comp gives MIB a weekend of 1.25-2.5-3.25-3.7 or 10.7 million weekend. Assuming that Phoenix was twice as presale heavy as MIB gives a 21.4 million weekend. 

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RealLyre Box Office Gold

RealLyre

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Menor said:

These numbers are just ridiculously bad. I know Dark Phoenix is gonna be a lot more presale heavy than MIB but this is still just terrible.

 

At 10 AM last Tuesday Dark Phoenix's breakdown was Thursday: 6210, Friday: 4492, Saturday: 3719, Sunday: 1590

 

Currently MIB is at Thursday: 1543, Friday: 1278, Saturday: 1127, Sunday: 724

 

A straight comp gives MIB a weekend of 1.25-2.5-3.25-3.7 or 10.7 million weekend. Assuming that Phoenix was twice as presale heavy as MIB gives a 21.4 million weekend. 

21.4M domestic opening is quite poor for a 110M budget pic. 

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DisposedData Indie Sensation

DisposedData

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Menor said:

These numbers are just ridiculously bad. I know Dark Phoenix is gonna be a lot more presale heavy than MIB but this is still just terrible.

 

At 10 AM last Tuesday Dark Phoenix's breakdown was Thursday: 6210, Friday: 4492, Saturday: 3719, Sunday: 1590

 

Currently MIB is at Thursday: 1543, Friday: 1278, Saturday: 1127, Sunday: 724

 

A straight comp gives MIB a weekend of 1.25-2.5-3.25-3.7 or 10.7 million weekend. Assuming that Phoenix was twice as presale heavy as MIB gives a 21.4 million weekend. 

Sub 30m OW for MIB has to be confirmed at this point. 

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TMP Global Phenomenon

TMP

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Shaft’s numbers on the report are... 😬     

 

Hopefully it’s “walkup heavy.”

It only cost $15m for WB since half of it was paid for by Netflix. MiB's numbers though... yikes!

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited) 
Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-06-10 17:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	22.740%	15541	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	16.059%	10975	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
3	14.353%	9809	Dark Phoenix
4	08.548%	5842	Rocketman
5	08.291%	5666	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
6	05.256%	3592	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
7	04.880%	3335	Ma (2019)
8	03.709%	2535	Avengers Endgame (2019)
9	02.862%	1956	Toy Story 4 [combined]
10	02.805%	1917	Men in Black International [combined]
11	02.148%	1468	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
12      01.418% 969     Spider-Man Far From Home (2019) [combined]
12	01.307%	893	Booksmart
14	00.675%	461	Shaft (2019)

 

===

 

Two days from release.  Oof. :(

Edited by Porthos
Added Shaft
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cdsacken Summer Tentpole

cdsacken

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, AndyK said:

Not suprised at the MiB figures at all, I don't understand why Sony thought it was a good idea to revamp this IP.

Agreed. I like Hemsworth and said.....nope not gonna happen.

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Rorschach Summer Tentpole

Rorschach

Posted
Posted

Men in Black: International Thursday Night Previews @ Davenport 53rd + IMAX

 

IMAX

4:00 - 2/387

7:00 - 4/387

10:00 - 0/387

 

3D

5:00 - 0/78

8:00 - 2/78

11:00 - 0/78

 

2D

6:00 - 8/135

9:00 - 3/135

 

19/1,665 (1.14% of all seats sold)

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Joyous Legion Global Phenomenon

Joyous Legion

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 6/10/2019 at 5:16 PM, Thanos Legion said:

17 PT 6/10/19 (End of Mon)   


1	30.9%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	20.2%   Aladdin
3	10.2%	Dark Phoenix
4	7.9%	Rocketman
5	7.3%    Godzilla: King of the Monsters

Shaft and MIBI don’t seem to be on the fandango day-by-day breakdowns anymore, but I think I’m going to stop including those anyway since they get recorded consistently elsewhere.

17 PT 6/11/19 (End of Tues)   

1	29.4%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	20.5%   Aladdin
3	10.3%	Dark Phoenix
4	8.8%	Godzilla: King of the Monsters  
5	6.2%    Rocketman

 

Edited by Thanos Legion
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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted
On 6/7/2019 at 10:35 AM, FlashMaster659 said:

 

Toy Story 4 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 137/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 146/203

8:45 PM - 134/203

11:30 PM - 37/203

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:30 PM - 40/78

9:30 PM - 19/78

 

RealD 3D

 

7:45 PM - 17/167

10:30 PM - 0/167

 

2D

 

7:00 PM - 132/217

9:45 PM - 21/217

 

Total

 

683(+21)/1533 (44.6%)

 

Toy Story 4 - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 143/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 157/203

8:45 PM - 150/203

11:30 PM - 46/203

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

6:30 PM - 46/78

9:30 PM - 19/78

 

RealD 3D

 

7:45 PM - 15/167

10:30 PM - 0/167

 

2D

 

7:00 PM - 145/217

9:45 PM - 33/217

 

Total

 

754(+71)/1533 (49.2%)

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