The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[keysersoze123]

On 12/23/2019 at 7:39 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Little Woman - Is it not having previews. I just see shows for wednesday OD.

 

I have just MTC1 numbers for now. its at 32222/136902 352578.79. I would say national sales would be around 5x. So that is around 1.75m OD sold so far. Not bad as it has more than a day of PS and then walk ins. Its definitely doing more than 15-20m. Probably double that number is possible.

I just checked Little Women at MTC1 and PS increased to 48150/164564(1721 shows ) But the increase is less than what I expected for T-1. Its probably looking at national OD PS of ~ 2.5m. @Jedi Jat will know for sure tomorrow. Probably looking at 5m OD and hopefully strong rest of the week for 30m over 5 days/

[Eric Quinn]

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	30	5,480	0.55%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 207

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp

0.326x of Maleficent (750K)

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, Eric Laurence said:

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	30	5,480	0.55%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 207

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp

0.326x of Maleficent (750K)

This is definitely breaking out 🙂 I am impressed with you tracking a movie that is selling 0-4 tickets this far ahead. Really great job. Even our resident Musketeer only picks movies he wants to track.

[Eric Quinn]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

This is definitely breaking out 🙂 I am impressed with you tracking a movie that is selling 0-4 tickets this far ahead. Really great job. Even our resident Musketeer only picks movies he wants to track.

I appreciate the compliments, but that doesn't mean I'm happy about doing it.

 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC1 D6 - overall 5511 shows 183180/1062356 2526838.57 +33261

 

MTC2 D6 - overall 4676 shows 154760/751666 1571527.00 +26448

 

 

MTC1 D6 - overall 5611 shows 233253/1074432 3167202.17 (Mon PS was 206330/1219367 2816271.62)
MTC2 D6 - overall 4983 shows 201823/784422 2025382.00 (Mon PS 191643/862015 1860548.00)

 

Increase today was slightly less than what I had expected. Still its ahead of Monday. Showcount is less than monday as we have new openers. Let us see if PS to gross is better than monday or not.

 

I had also refreshed D7/8 earlier this afternoon.

 

MTC1 D7 - overall 5576 shows 99848/1068670 1377721.92
MTC2 D7 - overall 5006 shows 89068/793925 869538.00
MTC1 D8 - overall 5323 shows 56496/1039023 813008.07
MTC2 D8 - overall 4860 shows 48155/763135 493502.00

 

Definitely BO will be less driven by PS as we go further in the run.

 

[Curtis1986]

41 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I just checked Little Women at MTC1 and PS increased to 48150/164564(1721 shows ) But the increase is less than what I expected for T-1. Its probably looking at national OD PS of ~ 2.5m. @Jedi Jat will know for sure tomorrow. Probably looking at 5m OD and hopefully strong rest of the week for 30m over 5 days/

Sounds like tracking is right. 20 to 25 million 5 day.

[filmlover]

I'm still not sure Dolittle is a real movie lol.

[keysersoze123]

49 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I just checked Little Women at MTC1 and PS increased to 48150/164564(1721 shows ) But the increase is less than what I expected for T-1. Its probably looking at national OD PS of ~ 2.5m. @Jedi Jat will know for sure tomorrow. Probably looking at 5m OD and hopefully strong rest of the week for 30m over 5 days/

Little Women

MTC2 - 39160/154314(1392 shows)

 

At least the ratio between two MTC shows its player well beyond coasts. I am sure strong WOM should help have good 5 day weekend. Let us wait and watch.

[ZackM]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Various theater chains (Michigan) Christmas Seat Report: T-1 days
12/24/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	350	59,053	71,263	12,210	17.13%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	11	22	42

 

Tickets for tomorrow as of midnight-ish are already ahead of where sales were for Monday at 11am on Monday.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

44 minutes ago, Curtis1986 said:

Sounds like tracking is right. 20 to 25 million 5 day.

If it’s looking at 5m Christmas, it will most likely beat tracking 

[JB33]

17 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Various theater chains (Michigan) Christmas Seat Report: T-1 days
12/24/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	350	59,053	71,263	12,210	17.13%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	11	22	42

 

Tickets for tomorrow as of midnight-ish are already ahead of where sales were for Monday at 11am on Monday.

If you had to guess a number for Christmas Day right now what would it be?

[ZackM]

31 minutes ago, JB33 said:

If you had to guess a number for Christmas Day right now what would it be?

34-35

But I haven’t been tracking or extrapolating BO data long enough to be a reliable predictor.

[keysersoze123]

I would say 32m+. It all depends on walk ins.

[JB33]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I would say 32m+. It all depends on walk ins.

Also depends on the Christmas Eve drops. Looks like they're pretty soft all around so maybe shouldn't expect crazy Christmas Day jumps.

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

that's domestic right?

[TwoMisfits]

8 hours ago, JB33 said:

Also depends on the Christmas Eve drops. Looks like they're pretty soft all around so maybe shouldn't expect crazy Christmas Day jumps.

Atom deal works all week...last deal a few weeks ago inflated all the weekdays, not just the immediate Tuesday...and gave Jumanji a kick up at open...

[a2k]

20m TROS Tue. +55-65% Wed gives 31-33m

 

[Marek the Jedi]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

20m TROS Tue. +55-65% Wed gives 31-33m

 

I hope for 33m+  

[keysersoze123]

It all depends on walk-ins. SW9 obviously is driven big by PS. But as we go further in the run PS will play less of a role. Quick update just before 10AM PST in the morning

 

MTC1 - overall 5619 shows 289177/1075110 3854535.77
MTC2 - overall 4989 shows 248906/785785 2457209.00

 

That is very good considering shows at West coast are just starting.

 

I would compare with D4

MTC1 D4 END - overall 6740 shows 371065/1222088 4984278.92
MTC2 D4 END - overall 5490 shows 341969/863197 3288416.00

 

So it needs to hit 425K at MTC1 and 385K+ at MTC2 to hit 33m+. Possible but that is lots of walkins. Let us how the day goes.

 

[ZackM]

Across Michigan I'm seeing 11am today running 28% ahead of 11am on Monday for Star Wars.

Edited December 25, 2019 by ZackM