The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[DAJK]

I'll have my first update in about 2 hours or so (around 7:30 PST) but the good news is BoP is picking up significantly. I don't think it'll reach 5M tonight, and walk-ups over the next 2 hours might bring it down, but if it does go under 40 this weekend I don't think it will be by much. 

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, Menor said:

Now that is a good sign. Hopefully the other chains replicate that.

I think that gotta do with the fact that MTC 4 is low on previews. Say it got 10k tickets, that will be $2.5-3mn if it is the chain that I think it is.

 

But then we don't really know how much coverage Zack is having or if he is getting data right. 

Edited February 7, 2020 by Jedi Jat

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The 6pm was not even half full. The 4pm Bad Boys opening day was more crowded. Muted audience reaction. More male than female I noticed 
 

too bad because the movie is fun and definitely top tier DCEU

[ZackM]

Birds of Prey - MTC4 Opening Weekend Seat Report: T-0 days and counting
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Shows Added	21	54	890	7	7
Seats Added	8,790	10,198	187,024	694	-311
Seats Sold	10,722	2,722	1,989	1,171	1,017
	Shows	Seats Left	Total Seats	Matinee	Evening	Total Sold	Pct. Sold
D-0	452	95,737	106,197	-	10,460	10,460	9.85%
D-1	942	214,360	220,453	515	5,578	6,093	2.76%
D-2	1,144	260,607	265,019	1,280	3,132	4,412	1.66%
D-3	1,090	252,943	254,709	732	1,034	1,766	0.69%

 

I'll have a final count for D-0 in the morning.

[Cooper Legion]

Wow, really exploded at MTC4 in a way that doesn’t match what we often see with this size release from MTC1,2, or the olden days of Pulse. Curious about the keyser data, but maybe there are just regional differences in PS runs at play.

[TMP]

Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

Wow, really exploded at MTC4 in a way that doesn’t match what we often see with this size release from MTC1,2, or the olden days of Pulse. Curious about the keyser data, but maybe there are just regional differences in PS runs at play.

Tomato Law 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Deadline days 4-5m

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

6 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Wow, really exploded at MTC4 in a way that doesn’t match what we often see with this size release from MTC1,2, or the olden days of Pulse. Curious about the keyser data, but maybe there are just regional differences in PS runs at play.

The T-1 to T-0 trend is 4x which is in line with expectations (though it will add a bit more of course). It's just MTC4 has had a much bigger percentage of sales late in the run, according to Jat that's because its just not as big a preview player. But 4x is still better than my pessimistic scenario.

4 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Deadline days 4-5m

 

 

Hmm...Deadline giving reasonable numbers? What's going on here?

 

 

 

 

 

Edited February 7, 2020 by Menor

[Inceptionzq]

34 minutes ago, Menor said:

Hmm...Deadline giving reasonable numbers? What's going on here?

They took a quick glance here

Edited February 7, 2020 by Inceptionzq

[Cooper Legion]

No one will win the deadline vs buzz thread competitor this time, because Deadline is just using our range 😛 

[keysersoze123]

I will post final numbers in couple of hours but walkups have been good. It has crossed 75K+ at MTC1 and 45K+ at MTC2. Probably looking at 75% of Bad Boys previews (around 4.75m). More important it has good showcount for tomorrow and I will update OD PS soon but that is doing good as well. Let us see how the Previews to OW gross goes with very soft previews. 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

CINEPLEX BANQUE SCOTIA MONTREAL

 

BIRDS OF PREY - THURS FEB 6 2020 (FINAL)

 

UltraAvX

6:30pm - 48/377 (+23)

9:20pm - 39/377 (+23)

IMAX

7:00pm - 161/343 (+33)

9:50pm - 30/343 (+15)

Regular 

6:00pm - 78/226 (+65)

7:30pm - 90/226 (+57)

8:50pm - 52/226 (+46)

10:20pm - 26/226 (+25)

 

524/2344 (22.35% Sold)

 

Comps

.91 X Dark Phoenix = 4.56m

1.75 X Terminator Dark Fate = 4.12m

.27 X Joker = 3.65m

 

Joker comp looks low but that movie performed bonkers here so the 4mil range looks about right.

[Menor the Destroyer]

15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I will post final numbers in couple of hours but walkups have been good. It has crossed 75K+ at MTC1 and 45K+ at MTC2. Probably looking at 75% of Bad Boys previews (around 4.75m). More important it has good showcount for tomorrow and I will update OD PS soon but that is doing good as well. Let us see how the Previews to OW gross goes with very soft previews. 

That's good. 40m+ should happen for sure with those kind of walkups.

[DAJK]

IMAX comps:

91% Dark Fate - 2.14M

112% Maleficent - 2.58M

228% Gemini Man - 3.65M

35% Joker - 4.65M

70% Shazam - 4.13M

 

Regular comps

154% Dark Fate - 3.62M

170% Maleficent - 3.91M

124% Zombieland - 3.53M

294% Gemini Man - 4.70M

121% Hustlers - 3.02M

 

 

Not what I was hoping for. Walk-ups were pretty weak, and IMAX overall does not seem to be performing on par with regular showtimes. I'd say comps like Dark Fate or Maleficent just aren't going to work out, but Joker/Gemini Man comp is pretty much the highest I'd expect this to go at this point. I'm going to say 4.3-4.5M based off of what I have

[Eric Prime]

Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	37	209	6,898	3.03%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

1.331x of Maleficent 7 days before release (3.06M)

0.183x of Frozen II (1.55M)

4.265x of Dolittle (3.94M)

[Eric Prime]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-105 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	329	12,334	2.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

My Cinemark currently has 3 total seats sold for Sonic between 2 showtimes.

 

The AMC is better. 6 for the 5pm. 18 for the 730

[keysersoze123]

On 2/5/2020 at 9:49 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-1)

MTC1  - overall 1737 shows 41791/346533 696200.23  +9332
MTC2  - overall 1925 shows 17800/304753 228047.27  +5282

 

if it doubles these numbers tomorrow(not an easy target but possible with walkups) it will hit 5m. I would say ~ 4.5m just to play it safe but it could go lower as well if walkups are bad. 

 

I will say overall its first time I am seeing previews so skewed towards NYC/LA for movies other than very small openers(Only other movie that skewed so much was Gemini Man). Overall WB dropped the ball or as few others mentioned its a movie that is a hard sell as there is little interest.

 

At least strong reviews could potentially help with better than norm legs for the genre. I will update day 1 numbers as well soon.  
 

Birds of Prey Previews Final

MTC1  - overall 1796 shows 77886/352462 1217652.40
MTC2  - overall 1940 shows 49496/305116 611317.96

 

Ticket sales did not move much after 730PM. I would say ~ 4.4m previews. Average ticket price would be higher as MTC1 gross is dominated by NYC/LA numbers. Empire 25 closed at 1895/7802 38785.55(Joker sold slightly over 4000 tickets). but that is a disappointment as after OD it was close to 80% of Joker. 

 

I will update OD little bit later(or tomorrow morning) but its close to 80K tickets between 2 MTC(50K MTC1 + 30K MTC2). I am thinking high 30's OW which is a huge disappointment. Let us see if walkups and WOM takes it higher. 

[DAJK]

2 hours ago, DAJK said:

IMAX comps:

91% Dark Fate - 2.14M

112% Maleficent - 2.58M

228% Gemini Man - 3.65M

35% Joker - 4.65M

70% Shazam - 4.13M

 

Regular comps

154% Dark Fate - 3.62M

170% Maleficent - 3.91M

124% Zombieland - 3.53M

294% Gemini Man - 4.70M

121% Hustlers - 3.02M

 

 

Not what I was hoping for. Walk-ups were pretty weak, and IMAX overall does not seem to be performing on par with regular showtimes. I'd say comps like Dark Fate or Maleficent just aren't going to work out, but Joker/Gemini Man comp is pretty much the highest I'd expect this to go at this point. I'm going to say 4.3-4.5M based off of what I have

 

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey Previews Final

MTC1  - overall 1796 shows 77886/352462 1217652.40
MTC2  - overall 1940 shows 49496/305116 611317.96

 

Ticket sales did not move much after 730PM. I would say ~ 4.4m previews. Average ticket price would be higher as MTC1 gross is dominated by NYC/LA numbers. Empire 25 closed at 1895/7802 38785.55(Joker sold slightly over 4000 tickets). but that is a disappointment as after OD it was close to 80% of Joker. 

 

I will update OD little bit later(or tomorrow morning) but its close to 80K tickets between 2 MTC(50K MTC1 + 30K MTC2). I am thinking high 30's OW which is a huge disappointment. Let us see if walkups and WOM takes it higher. 

[Inceptionzq]

16 minutes ago, DAJK said:

 

 

5 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

I'm thinking around 4.4M.