The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

26 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

30% the level and 25% the pace would point around 4M previews or below. Of course looking at several days of MTC1+MTC2 will give better results than a single day of MTC2, so still thinking about 5M.

Thing is that Joker also overperformed big time at MTC1 (though not sure if it was to the same extent as BOP is doing). Idk. I just am not having a great feeling about this. The bumps are not what I would have wanted. Hopefully the review drop helps things.

 

Edit: The ratios are closer to normal on Friday. That may be a better comp with Joker. Giving it somewhat better bumps it will finish with ~3.2 million in OD PS. With Joker's multiple that would be about 10.6 million pure OD, I guess it would probably go a bit higher than that.

Edited February 5, 2020 by Menor

[Krissykins]

48 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

I just really want BOP do to huge Domestic. Already lost hope for overseas. 

Gotham City Sirens is very anticipated for me personally. 

I hoped for GCS too, but Margot was asked who she’d like in a sequel on GMA and she responded “Poison Ivy and Oracle” so maybe Catwoman is off limits with the Batman film 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

A couple of hours before release I can now safely say that presales for this in Greece are...chaotic.Bad to the point that if I had to put a number on it, I would say that tickets sold by genuine interest in the film are like...15?20?

 

Surely there is a near sold out showing and one near sold out but that still awful for a film debuting in a Wednesday. Wednesday is basically Cinema day for Greeks as it’s discount day.People see whatever they can find and there is also spillover effect for some movies benefiting from a bigger movie being sold out.

 

Even  for some showings that are in demand the showing are like 60% full.Ok Greece is not a country that is PS driven (Joker for instance had ok-ish presales, selling hardly a very small fraction than what Endgame did, which was a monster in ps, but now Joker is 2019’s champion, the most attended film of the decade and among the most successful in the market of all time).But, imo, this one won’t benefit from good wom that much.

 

It had zero advertising other than a couple of tv spots  playing late at night.It’s like WB didn’t even bother.And I know it very anecdotal but I informed a friend of mine, who is a fan of everything Batman, just yesterday about the film and he didn’t know anything.

 

In any case, things are not looking pretty for this.At this point I think it goes well below Shazam.

[Firepower]

So domestic gross could be higher than overseas?

[AdrianL]

The $35 deal on Atom works for IMAX/Dolby. Great deal, that's like saving 60 dollars. Very interested to see how today goes

[Tinalera]

From up north

 

Birds of prey feb 6, toronto ontario canada taken feb 5 2020.

 

Yonge dundas
Vip

6 20/77
700 4/77
915 9/77
1015 2/77

Avx
740 29/381
1040 6/381

4dx 
710 13/78
1010 6/78

 

Yonge eglington

Vip
600 4/91
700 16/95
900 2/91
1000 6/95

Avx
700 10/347
1000 4/347

 

Eglington town

Imax
710 16/348
1015 15/348
 
Regular
630 6/260
945 4/260

 

Don Mills
Vip
600 2/113
700 4/115
900 0/113
1000 2/115

 

Yorkdale 
Avx
740 20/349
1030 4/349

Screen x
710 2/226
1000 4/226

 

Scotiabank place
Imax
700 93/416
1000 29/416

Regular
600 88/538
900 84/538 

Queensway

Vip
600 11/123
700 4/136
900 13/123
1000 0/136

Avx
730 29/376
1015 4/376
800 10/224
1045 0/224

 

571/8740 (6.5percent seats sold)

 

Since last count on dec 29 4 percent more seats sold. The numbers are what they are.

 

I was expecting a little more due to popularity of harley, but this is just preview night.

 

Like i said earlier im wanting to see how wom affects legs. This Type imo people will want to hear friends and family reaction. First weekend i still expect harley/dc/robbi fans to catch it. Its how that translates im interested to see

Edited February 5, 2020 by Tinalera

[lorddemaxus]

Even with a lackluster opening weekend, I wonder if Valentine's day/second weekend could make back the money the movoe will lose on OW due to poor marketing and skepticsm from the GA. Like would a sub 40% drop be possible? Looking back at the years when Valentine's day came on a weekend, I think its possible.

[Madhuvan]

2 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Even with a lackluster opening weekend, I wonder if Valentine's day/second weekend could make back the money the movoe will lose on OW due to poor marketing and skepticsm from the GA. Like would a sub 40% drop be possible? Looking back at the years when Valentine's day came on a weekend, I think its possible.

With lack of competition even sub 30% is possible. 

Reviews are great. 

[Firepower]

47 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

With lack of competition even sub 30% is possible. 

Reviews are great. 

No, comic book movies don't behave like that no matter of reviews. sub 40% is the best case scenario.

[dudalb]

4 hours ago, Krissykins said:

I hoped for GCS too, but Margot was asked who she’d like in a sequel on GMA and she responded “Poison Ivy and Oracle” so maybe Catwoman is off limits with the Batman film 

I also would bet that Warners  wants Barbara Gordon as Batgirl which would rule Oracle Out.

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/4/2020 at 2:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Birds of Prey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

187

1884

9.93%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

91

1506

6.04%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
556	91	10134	5.49%	9	51

 

Showings added: 5

Seats added: 410

 

Joker comp: 5.21M

Adjusted Joker comp: 4.91M

Hobbs comp: 5.13M

Birds of Prey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

238

1884

12.63%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

113

1506

7.50%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
728	172	10682	6.82%	9	58

 

Showings added: 7

Seats added: 548

 

Terminator comp: 5.15M

Joker comp: 5.27M

Adjusted Joker comp: 4.89M

Hobbs comp: 4.69M

 

Sub 5M is looking more and more likely.

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/4/2020 at 2:39 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Sonic the Hedgehog Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

48

282

17.02%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

20

318

6.29%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
136	19	3662	3.71%	9	25

 

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 3.10M

Sonic the Hedgehog Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

50

282

17.73%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

46

318

14.47%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
167	31	3662	4.56%	9	25

 

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 3.09M

 

Quite the anomaly at Highlands Ranch. It sold more in the past day than Birds of Prey.

[DAJK]

I'll do a closer analysis tomorrow night when I have less homework and deadlines and more data, but from what I'm seeing 5M previews seems about right, give or take 0.5M. If walk-ups are horrible tomorrow, that # will go down considerably. If they're great, it'll go up of course. 

[Boxofficerules]

How’s Fantasy Island looking next week?

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

47 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

How’s Fantasy Island looking next week?

No previews so this one is up in the air. Given the genre, not much already sold at the moment 

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local	Mon		Tues		Wed		Thur		Previews	Start
Birds Of Prey	71/1844	(5pm)	84/1844	(7:30pm)	106/1844	(7:45pm)				6:00 PM

 

I  started counting later than usual so most Wed to Wed comps are skewed a bit in POB's favor

 

COMPS

Shazam (Afternoon):  $4.848m

Godzilla 2( 7:45pm): $4.946m

Hobbes & Shaw: (4pm): $3.396m

IT2: (7.10pm): $4.656m

Joker (4pm):  $2.6m

Mal 2 (4pm): $4.6m

Charlie's Angels (4pm) : $5.3m

Terminator DF (5:30pm): $3.28m

Jumanji (5:30pm):  $3.53m

Dolittle (7pm): $1.87m

Bad Boys 3 (7pm):  $5.57m

 

 

[cdsacken]

Daughter really broke her leg good. Cast to her thigh for 3 weeks, then smaller one for 3 more. Yikes

[TalismanRing]

33 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Daughter really broke her leg good. Cast to her thigh for 3 weeks, then smaller one for 3 more. Yikes

Poor kid.    Did you find her a maternity pillow or it's equivalent?

[Jamiem]

43 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Daughter really broke her leg good. Cast to her thigh for 3 weeks, then smaller one for 3 more. Yikes

Being in a cast as a child sucks, hopefully she has a hobby like reading, watching TV/movies or video games that will help pass the time. Wishing her a speedy recovery

[Legion Again]

26 minutes ago, Jamiem said:

Being in a cast as a child sucks, hopefully she has a hobby like reading, watching TV/movies or video games that will help pass the time. Wishing her a speedy recovery

Children notoriously hate having to watch TV and movies