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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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lorddemaxus Global Phenomenon

lorddemaxus

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

Positive reviews didn't have an impact on Birds of Prey, though.

Negative reviews have a larger impact than positive reviews. I'm pretty sure there are numbers on this thread that back this up. 

 

2 minutes ago, AdrianL said:

Deadline was projecting 25-30 4-day and it did 28. 

I'm pretty sure they expected it to get negative reviews too though. Like I doubt anyone expected Dolittle to get positive reviews considering it's production troubles.

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 2/8/2020 at 8:11 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Sonic the hedgedog (T-5)

Sonic MTC1 Prev - overall 895 shows 11554/148783 177515.04 143570.91 +1766 
Sonic MTC2 Prev -  overall 1035 shows 7676/162952 95076.78 67682.61  +1349

 

Final burst will happen in final 2 days but I am feeling 3m+ previews. 

 

I looked at OD numbers to compare with Fantasy island and also see if there is any sign of frontloadedness. Its looking good.


MTC1 OD - overall 1341 shows 15376/236912 213299.97 174571.07
MTC2 OD - overall 1834 shows 18863/297762 200556.61 158039.16 

 

 

Sonic the Hedgedog(T-4)

MTC1 Prev - overall 895 shows 12834/148783 195917.97 158293.79
MTC2 Prev - overall 1034 shows 8658/162796 107059.24 76228.28 
MTC1 OD - overall 1535 shows 20882/272356 286525.81 233666.48 
MTC2 OD - overall 1834 shows 22776/298029 241533.53 190996.71

 

OD PS seem to dominate overall sales. I will look at Day 2 sales tomorrow as well but PS is backloaded which is great news. It could be look at 60m over 4 days if it has good momentum.

 

Edit: updated MTC1 OD data as it hadded 193 more new shows that sold another 2K tickets. 

Edited by keysersoze123
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Eric Loves Rey Global Phenomenon

Eric Loves Rey

Posted
Posted

Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 37 310 6,898 4.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 35

 

Comp

1.590x of Maleficent 4 days before release (3.66M)

0.208x of Frozen II (1.77M)

5.439x of Dolittle (5.04M)

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)

Fast & Furious 9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-102 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

96

14750

15064*

314

2.08%

*NOTE:  A couple theaters adjusted their seat maps resulting in 24 fewer seats available for purchase region wide.

 

Total Seats Sold Since Thr Night

24

 

Next update a week from tonight.

 

--

 

For the record:

Fri: 14 tickets sold

Sat:  6 tickets sold

Sun: 4 tickets sold 

 

Edited by Porthos
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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 2/6/2020 at 11:26 PM, Porthos said:

Fast & Furious 9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-105 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

96

14796

15086

290

1.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mon Night

51

 

===

 

I know I said I was going to wait a week (or two!) for my next report.  But I also didn't expect FF9 to average 17 tickets sold a day.  Frankly, I was expecting 10 to 15 total from Tue to Sun.  But I'm seeing the exact same thing @Eric Sionis is:  Consistent small chugging along.  

 

Tue: 12 tickets sold

Wed: 19 tickets sold

Thr: 20 tickets sold

 

Frankly, I'm impressed it's sold that many per day even with the Super Bowl in the recent rear view mirror.  

 

Gonna make my next update on Sun night.  Depending on how many tickets are sold I'll either stick with a twice a week update schedule or go ahead with the planned once a week update.

On 2/7/2020 at 12:26 AM, kitik said:

At some point the presales have to dry up, right? Like it'll sell 5 tickets for the entire month of March or something. It can't sell tickets for 110 days straight.

 

On 2/7/2020 at 12:38 AM, Arendelle Legion said:

It will keep trending upward from here until the domestic presales exceed TFA’s total gross. The rebirth of Han shall finally defeat the death of Han, as foretold in prophecy.

 

14 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Fast & Furious 9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-102 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

96

14750

15064*

314

2.08%

*NOTE:  A couple theaters adjusted their seat maps resulting in 24 fewer seats available for purchase region wide.

 

Total Seats Sold Since Thr Night

24

 

Next update a week from tonight.

 

--

 

For the record:

Fri: 14 tickets sold

Sat:  6 tickets sold

Sun: 4 tickets sold 

 

Guess TFA's domestic record is safe after all, @Arendelle Legion. :ph34r:

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VanillaSkies Box Office Gold

VanillaSkies

Posted
Posted
9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Sonic the Hedgedog(T-4)

MTC1 Prev - overall 895 shows 12834/148783 195917.97 158293.79
MTC2 Prev - overall 1034 shows 8658/162796 107059.24 76228.28 
MTC1 OD - overall 1535 shows 20882/272356 286525.81 233666.48 
MTC2 OD - overall 1834 shows 22776/298029 241533.53 190996.71

 

OD PS seem to dominate overall sales. I will look at Day 2 sales tomorrow as well but PS is backloaded which is great news. It could be look at 60m over 4 days if it has good momentum.

 

Edit: updated MTC1 OD data as it hadded 193 more new shows that sold another 2K tickets. 

The T-Mobile deal hitting tomorrow should provide that momentum. I imagine many people will take advantage of a $4 movie ticket that can be used over a long weekend!

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Sonic the Hedgedog(T-4)

MTC1 Prev - overall 895 shows 12834/148783 195917.97 158293.79
MTC2 Prev - overall 1034 shows 8658/162796 107059.24 76228.28 
MTC1 OD - overall 1535 shows 20882/272356 286525.81 233666.48 
MTC2 OD - overall 1834 shows 22776/298029 241533.53 190996.71

 

OD PS seem to dominate overall sales. I will look at Day 2 sales tomorrow as well but PS is backloaded which is great news. It could be look at 60m over 4 days if it has good momentum.

 

Edit: updated MTC1 OD data as it hadded 193 more new shows that sold another 2K tickets. 

Once again MTC2 overindexing for a family film.

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted (edited)

Birds of Prey - MTC4
Opening Weekend Seat Report: Final
               
  Last
Day 		2 Days
Ago 		3 Days
Ago 		4 Days
Ago 		5 Days
Ago 		   
Shows Added 0 0 12 21 54    
Seats Added 0 0 8,478 8,835 10,198    
Seats Sold 22,478 36,470 26,075 12,201 2,722    
               
  Shows Seats
Left 		Total
Seats 		Matinee Evening Total
Sold 		Pct.
Sold
D-0 (Final) 452 94,303 106,242 - 11,939 11,939 11.24%
D-1 (Final) 939 196,805 226,817 3,399 26,613 30,012 13.23%
D-2 (Final) 1,151 223,026 265,283 9,847 32,410 42,257 15.93%
D-3 (Final) 1,098 231,534 256,559 8,934 16,091 25,025 9.75%

 

Final weekend numbers for BOP at MTC4.  Based on Thu-Fri-Sat ticket sales and estimates, Sunday would be under 7M.  So it seems like Sunday is majorly under indexed.

Edited by ZackM
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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Menor said:

Once again MTC2 overindexing for a family film.

Seems those single movie a month subscribers probably skew family with parents taking advantage of the free ticket and the extra $9 tickets/person.  

 

Makes sense, if you think about it.  If you don't have kids, and you want a subscription, you probably go AMC/Regal.  But if you have the kids, so you both can't get out much and need cheaper tickets for them, you go Cinemark.

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MrGlass2 Summer Tentpole

MrGlass2

Posted
Posted
14 hours ago, DAJK said:

Unless they're dolittle bad I don't think much. Anywhere 40-70% is fine, mid-30s I don't think will hurt too much either

Sonic won't have good reviews, but does anyone still believe there is such a thing as the Tomato Law?

:Venom:

 

 

It is the YouTube/GoogleTrends Law now.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Sonic the Hedgehog Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 67 282 23.76%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 48 318 15.09%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
257 28 3864 6.65% 9 26

 

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 3.71M

Jumanji comp: 3.86M

Sonic the Hedgehog Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 75 282 26.60%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 60 318 18.87%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
291 34 3864 7.53% 9 26

 

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 3.21M

Jumanji comp: 3.75M

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 2/3/2020 at 2:03 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 52 1696 3.07%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 71 1506 4.71%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
232 41 10258 2.26% 9 47

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 66 1696 3.89%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 77 1506 5.11%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST WEEK TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
283 51 10372 2.73% 9 48

 

Showings added: 1

Seats added: 114

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