The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

NY Regal (Local)  

 

SM (12.13.21)

(Friday)

3D

25/301
198/301

223/602 = 37.04%

 

RPX

96/320
193/320
281/320
256/320

826/1280 = 64.53%

 

2D

68/301
45/257
46/301
102/301
192/257
260/301
224/257
255/301
239/301
152/257
56/256

1639/3090 = 53.04%

 

(Total) 2688/4971  = 54.07%

 

Oddly, Friday and Saturday have 5 fewer showings and 1123 fewer seats than Thur previews though they're probably going to add.

 

AEG's Friday (as of Monday OW) 5,595/9,189 = 60.88%   - 

 

Friday ($97.46m) Comp  -  $46.82m

 

If I have time I'll do Sat and Sunday tonight (that's a big IF though)

 

 

[JFox]

3 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

@ZackM and @Inceptionzq have posted data for FSS, it’s just hard to get a good idea for that because we mostly only track previews. Presales to walk up ratio will be much higher on Sat than Thurs for instance, but how much? 20% walk up for Thursday vs 60% for Saturday? We just don’t have the data to make good comparisons.

Well however it shakes out, appreciate all the work you guys do. Like I said, best in the world!

[Tinalera]

Hey just wanted to let everyone know-here in Ontario they're getting antsy about Omincon covid, our numbers are jumping up, there's starting to be rumbling that they may peg us back a stage post Christmas-which may mean that all these lovely full theatre numbers up here....well we may go back to limited if not outright theatres closing.

 

Nothing is definite right, just don't be surprised if getting Toronto numbers might not a be a thing for a while in the new year. 

 

Sigh....

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/12/2021 at 4:04 PM, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-4 days Thursday(282 showings): 27903(+514, +1.88%)/36004

 

Eternals final comp: 26.39M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.72x Eternals T-4 (+189, +3.20%)

 

T-5 days Friday(328 showings): 26228(+658, +2.57%)/43120

 

Eternals final comp: 42.69M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.12x Eternals T-5 (+311, +5.51%)

 

T-6 days Saturday(360 showings): 26713(+985, +3.83%)/47804

 

Eternals final comp: 43.19M

 

Daily pace comparison: 3.29x Eternals T-6 (+299, +5.32%)

 

T-7 days Sunday(300 showings): 15185(+857, +5.98%)/40028

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.10x Eternals T-7 (+209, +6.46%)

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-3 days Thursday(291 showings): 28557(+654, +2.34%)/37009(+1005)

 

Eternals final comp: 27.01M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.54x Eternals T-3 (+425, +6.97%)

 

T-4 days Friday(328 showings): 27204(+976, +3.72%)/43120

 

Eternals final comp: 44.28M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.01x Eternals T-4 (+486, +8.15%)

 

T-5 days Saturday(360 showings): 27991(+1278, +4.78%)/47804

 

Eternals final comp: 45.25M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.53x Eternals T-5 (+505, +8.53%)

 

T-6 days Sunday(300 showings): 16347(+1162, +7.65%)/40028

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.42x Eternals T-6 (+480, +13.93%)

[keysersoze123]

I dont know if this was posted.

 

Quote

 Early projections put No Way Home domestic box office between $190 and $250 million in its first weekend.

 

https://collider.com/spider-man-no-way-home-villains-secret-tom-holland-comments/

[Menor the Destroyer]

Went back through the thread and looked at the general trend for TROS. My memory was slightly off. It had a solid pace through Monday, then some worrying signs on Tuesday, then Wed after reviews dropped was when it really fell off the pace. So, if NWH is going to play like that, we may not know until the very last minute. 

Edited December 13, 2021 by Menor

[john2000]

The pace started to increase , nice lets hope reactions/reviews are great and give it a bigger bump.

[john2000]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont know if this was posted.

 

 

https://collider.com/spider-man-no-way-home-villains-secret-tom-holland-comments/

It was 

[infamous5445]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont know if this was posted.

 

 

https://collider.com/spider-man-no-way-home-villains-secret-tom-holland-comments/

https://collider.com/spider-man-no-way-home-opening-weekend-box-office-predictions/

I really just read the words "Willem Dafoe's sculpted butt"

Edited December 13, 2021 by infamous5445

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/12/2021 at 4:23 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

255

794

32.12%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

175

1036

16.89%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1079	73	10302	10.47%	15	64

 

AMCs sold	705
Cinemarks sold	124
Regals sold	160
Harkins sold	90

 

102.37% of Dune T-10

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

280

794

35.26%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

194

1036

18.73%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1181	102	10302	11.46%	15	64

 

103.60% Dune T-9

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/12/2021 at 4:26 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-10 days Wednesday(55 showings): 699(+79)/12049 in 13 theaters

 

T-11 days Thursday(51 showings): 272(+44)/11437 in 12 theaters

 

T-12 days Friday(26 showings): 142(+13)/5436 in 9 theaters

 

T-13 days Saturday(39 showings): 179(+21)/8861 in 9 theaters

 

T-14 days Sunday(25 showings): 34/4882 in 6 theaters

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-9 days Wednesday(55 showings): 800(+101)/12049 in 13 theaters

 

T-10 days Thursday(51 showings): 329(+57)/11437 in 12 theaters

 

T-11 days Friday(26 showings): 155(+13)/5436 in 9 theaters

 

T-12 days Saturday(39 showings): 206(+27)/8861 in 9 theaters

 

T-13 days Sunday(25 showings): 38(+4)/4882 in 6 theaters

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/12/2021 at 4:27 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-10 days Wednesday(90 showings): 4243(+211)/11765

 

T-11 days Thursday(87 showings): 2499(+176)/10840

 

T-12 days Friday(53 showings): 725(+77)/6175

 

T-13 days Saturday(70 showings): 1204(+131)/7840

 

T-14 days Sunday(58 showings): 671(+67)/6744

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-9 days Wednesday(98 showings): 4482(+239)/12657(+892)

 

T-10 days Thursday(91 showings): 2651(+152)/11438(+598)

 

T-11 days Friday(55 showings): 788(+63)/6439(+264)

 

T-12 days Saturday(74 showings): 1366(+162)/8368(+528)

 

T-13 days Sunday(61 showings): 747(+76)/7140(+396)

[Torontofan]

29 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Hey just wanted to let everyone know-here in Ontario they're getting antsy about Omincon covid, our numbers are jumping up, there's starting to be rumbling that they may peg us back a stage post Christmas-which may mean that all these lovely full theatre numbers up here....well we may go back to limited if not outright theatres closing.

 

Nothing is definite right, just don't be surprised if getting Toronto numbers might not a be a thing for a while in the new year. 

 

Sigh....

There won't be a lockdown till after xmas cause no one would respect it.

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, Torontofan said:

There won't be a lockdown till after xmas cause no one would respect it.

I doubt that there will be a real lockdown whatsoever, but anyways wrong thread for that.

Edited December 13, 2021 by john2000

[ZackM]

Spider-Man: No Way Home Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	54	29	190	205	275
Seats Added	4,756	6,725	15,975	20,008	24,954
Seats Sold	24,773	17,519	14,597	13,783	12,603
12/13/2021	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	433	8,055	661,945	1,258,603	52.59%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	95	786	1,665	2,704	3,825
ATP
$14.57

Edited December 14, 2021 by ZackM

[Landon1195]

Since more people are starting to doubt a $200M OW, I decided to make a poll to see how many people this will or won't open to $200M in this forum.

https://strawpoll.com/qzpues8j9

[XXR & Friends]

9 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	54	29	190	205	275
Seats Added	4,756	6,725	15,975	20,008	24,954
Seats Sold	24,773	17,519	14,597	13,783	12,603
12/16/2019	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	433	8,055	661,945	1,258,603	52.59%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	95	786	1,665	2,704	3,825
ATP
$14.57

Just a heads up, your date is off.

 

As for the numbers, assuming reviews/reactions don’t tank sales I think this can hit 850K by 3PM EST Thursday.

[ZackM]

5 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

Just a heads up, your date is off.

 

As for the numbers, assuming reviews/reactions don’t tank sales I think this can hit 850K by 3PM EST Thursday.

Whoops.  Thank you.

[Menor the Destroyer]

22 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

Just a heads up, your date is off.

 

As for the numbers, assuming reviews/reactions don’t tank sales I think this can hit 850K by 3PM EST Thursday.

By 3PM seems too ambitious. 850-900k by the end of the day will be more than good enough. TROS added 120k until end of day Thu. Currently NWH is running +40-50% of TROS (without doing any coverage adjustment, just looking at the trend and adjusting slightly with Zack taking the run earlier than Keyser used to). Now, TROS had quite strong bumps on Sunday and Monday, but Tuesday onwards it didn't do anything special, and Wednesday was quite poor. So 850 should happen. 900 is a stretch goal if things go very well. 

Edited December 14, 2021 by Menor

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

This is the movie I expect to sell lots of child tickets on saturday. ATP will be lower for sure. We will know for sure on saturday based on comscore data that @charlie Jatinder should hopefully track. 

 

Exciting weekend coming up for sure. 

Yeah but thing is we are missing 150+ cinemas, those must make for the adult pricing and in general reduce ATP which is higher due to including those big premium plexes like Empire, etc.