The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

6 minutes ago, john2000 said:

the comp increased................

The reviews certainly gave it a nice boost. I'm fairly confident that most of the increases I count are from the day before, tickets sold in the afternoon/evening, but the reviews gave sales a boost earlier in the day.

[Legion Again]

Could be some review bump here, but nice to see anyway 

[Porthos]

27 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Widow Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

428

1980

21.62%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

429

1939

22.12%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2047	129	21379	9.57%	15	115

 

Showings removed: 1

Seats removed: 232

 

F9 comp: 22.96M

 

24 minutes ago, john2000 said:

the comp increased................

 

something something tomato law something something

[el sid]

9 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Before I post today's numbers, I wanted to get some opinions.   There are two showings that have been marked as Sold Out since I started pulling BW sales.  Because of the social distancing rules that were in effect at that time, I had been using an approximation of 65% of auditorium capacity as tickets sold.  As of this morning, both of these showings are available and appear to have no tickets sold.  I feel like I should back out the numbers from previous posts, but I didn't want it to look shady.  Is this something that people have seen in the past?  How do others handle sell-outs?

 

Another unrelated question: would it be helpful to have these broken down further by format?

I don't know if my eye-count-method (I only do eye-counts) is helpful to you but this problem with sell-outs that may be real or not appears to me every week:
If I see that a show is "almost full" I write down the number of sold tickets and the time and if it's indeed a sell-out the next day I take the last number and add just 1 seat, e.g. the number was 25 and the next day (a sell-out is reported) I report 26+.
The second possibility is that a sell-out is reported days before the release which is often not true and normally vanishes on Wednesday or Thursday. In this case I count just zero seats. I always take the worst case scenario.

Edited June 29, 2021 by el sid

[WrathOfHan]

Boss Baby and F9 are splitting Dolby at my theater this weekend. 

[el sid]

Since I'm still awake ...
Zola, counted a few minutes ago for June 30:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): - (no showtimes so far)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 6 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 0 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): - (no showtimes so far )
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 45 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 63 (3 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 114. 

Hard to find good comps for a limited release with good reviews but probably not much marketing: Blinded by the Light (4.3M OW, 2.307 theaters) had 85 sold tickets on Thursday for Friday in the same 5 theaters.
The Art of Racing in the Rain (8.1M OW, 2.765 theaters, not too well liked by the critics but the audience as it seems) had in the same 5 theaters on Thursday 76 sold tickets for Thursday and 123 sold tickets for Friday.

Edited June 30, 2021 by el sid

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

After raising the bar on what a movie can open to during the pandemic with F9‘s $70M weekend, Universal is adding a one-two wide release punch to the weekend with the debut of two titles geared at two different demos: DreamWorks Animation’s The Boss Baby: Family Business which is set to do $15M+ and Blumhouse’s The Forever Purge which is looking at $10M+ over 3-days.

Together with the second weekend of the studio’s F9, which is speeding toward another $28M (-60%), all three movies will not only own the top three spots at the B.O. for Uni, but bring the studio a weekend of $53M+.

 

https://deadline.com/2021/06/f9-boss-baby-family-business-forever-purge-universal-owns-july-4th-weekend-box-office-1234783750/

[el sid]

6 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

After raising the bar on what a movie can open to during the pandemic with F9‘s $70M weekend, Universal is adding a one-two wide release punch to the weekend with the debut of two titles geared at two different demos: DreamWorks Animation’s The Boss Baby: Family Business which is set to do $15M+ and Blumhouse’s The Forever Purge which is looking at $10M+ over 3-days.

Together with the second weekend of the studio’s F9, which is speeding toward another $28M (-60%), all three movies will not only own the top three spots at the B.O. for Uni, but bring the studio a weekend of $53M+.

 

https://deadline.com/2021/06/f9-boss-baby-family-business-forever-purge-universal-owns-july-4th-weekend-box-office-1234783750/

All a bit too low IMO but let's see.

[Eric the Ape]

On 6/28/2021 at 10:56 PM, Eric is Full of Pride said:

The Boss Baby: Family Business Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	163	5060	3.22%

 

Comp

1.294x of Raya's Thu+Fri T-3 and Counting (3.37M)

0.323x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-3 and Counting (2.49M)

0.905x of Spirit Untamed's Thu+Fri T-3 and Counting (2.23M)

 

Seems okay so far, though all three comps, especially the first two, had pretty radical jumps from day to day, so it's best to wait until Thursday to say anything definitive.

The Boss Baby: Family Business Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	42	179	6280	2.85%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 10

Total Seats Added Today: 1,220

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

0.551x of Raya's Thu+Fri T-2 and Counting (1.43M)

0.330x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-2 and Counting (2.54M)

0.865x of Spirit Untamed's Thu+Fri T-2 and Counting (2.12M)

 

So obviously things are hard to track bc I'm only looking at one day for Boss Baby and two days for the others, and this isn't a movie that would have a strong Thursday anyways. But this jump is a real rough one. But hey, still two more days left of action

[Eric the Ape]

On 6/28/2021 at 11:02 PM, Eric is Full of Pride said:

The Forever Purge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	20	66	2765	2.39%

 

Comp

0.094x of Conjuring 3 3 Days Before Release (919K)

 

I feel I can't use Spiral because it's a Black-led movie, and ultimately Conjuring is too big of a comp to really compare. But hey, gotta take what you can get for these situations

The Forever Purge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	92	3588	2.56%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 7

Total Seats Added Today: 823

Total Seats Sold Today: 26

 

Comp

0.091x of Conjuring 3 2 Days Before Release (896K)

[Eric the Ape]

On 6/28/2021 at 11:09 PM, Eric is Full of Pride said:

Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	2212	17320	12.77%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 598

Total Seats Sold Today: 110

 

Comp

1.925x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-10 Before Release (18.68M)

2.483x of F9 T-10 Before Release (17.63M)

Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	86	2372	17479	13.57%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 159

Total Seats Sold Today: 160

 

Comp

1.938x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-9 Before Release (18.81M)

2.534x of F9 T-9 Before Release (17.99M)

 

Thought the review bump would be a bit bigger, but it's still a high either way and the film is still doing very well in the comps department. Can't complain too much at this point.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Black Widow Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	119	16352	19260	2908	15.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

142

 

T-10 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	254.64		62	1142		0/79	11275/12417	9.20%		18.1m

 

T-10 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
AQP II (adj)	437.42		38	652		4/71	2368/3020	21.59%		21.0m
BW (adj)	---		136	2852		0/119	16288/19140	14.90%		---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE 1:  AQP II (adj) is the amount of seats sold after the theaters which currently have unreliable data polluting their seat maps have been removed.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE 2: BW (adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

Black Widow Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	122	16185	19264*	3079	15.98%

*NOTE: A theater adjusted its seat maps tonight, resulting in four more seats being available region wide.

 

Total Showings Added Today	3
Total Seats Added Today	n/a*
Total Seats Sold Today	171

*NOTE:  All three showings added today were at non-reserved seating theaters.

 

T-9 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	251.76		81	1223		0/80	11347/12570	9.73%		17.87m

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
AQP II (adj)	416.16		72	724		3/79	2506/3230	22.41%		19.98m
BW (adj)	---		161	3013		0/122	16131/19144	15.74%		---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE 1:  AQP II (adj) is the amount of seats sold after the theaters which currently have unreliable data polluting their seat maps have been removed.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE 2: BW (adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted which started to be tracked with F9's track.

[charlie Jatinder]

Another day above CM in Sacramento, though only +3.

 

Next day lead may be bigger as CM dropped from 168 to 113, hopefully BW stand 170+.

Edited June 30, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Menor the Destroyer]

22 hours ago, Menor said:

Black Widow MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 2947 (+73)

Tickets Sold: 47557/448596 (+8831)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 5023

Tickets Sold: 31595/23261 (+8334)

 

Saturday:

Showtimes: 5145

Tickets Sold: 21421/804632

 

Sunday:

Showtimes: 4711

Tickets Sold: 9791/732943

 

This is from last night. I was focused on F9 and then was busy for a couple of days, so this is about five days of data. 

 

 

Black Widow MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 3037 (+90)

Tickets Sold: 51187/455399 (+3630)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 5044

Tickets Sold: 34658/780475 (+3053)

 

Pace is well ahead of F9 at the same point, for both Thursday and Friday. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	City	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Black Widow	T-9	Jacksonville	6	57	9,723	786	27	8.08%
		Phoenix	6	51	8,676	682	-228	7.86%
		Raleigh	7	46	5,717	984	67	17.21%
Black Widow Total			19	154	24,116	2,452	-134	10.17%
The Boss Baby 2	T-2	Jacksonville	5	25	2,736	58	20	2.12%
		Phoenix	6	20	2,558	28	9	1.09%
		Raleigh	7	20	1,752	59	16	3.37%
The Boss Baby 2 Total			18	65	7,046	145	45	2.06%
The Forever Purge	T-2	Jacksonville	5	12	1,978	24	9	1.21%
		Phoenix	5	10	1,168	32	7	2.74%
		Raleigh	7	13	1,353	46	21	3.40%
The Forever Purge Total			17	35	4,499	102	37	2.27%

 

Note: two previously sold out shows for BW in Phoenix are now showing with 0 seats sold.

 

Movie	Day	City	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Black Widow	T-8	Jacksonville	6	58	9,786	845	59	8.63%
		Phoenix	6	52	8,730	716	34	8.20%
		Raleigh	7	47	5,835	1,057	73	18.11%
Black Widow Total			19	157	24,351	2,618	166	10.75%
The Boss Baby 2	T-1	Jacksonville	5	25	2,736	54	-4	1.97%
		Phoenix	6	20	2,558	27	-1	1.06%
		Raleigh	7	20	1,794	94	35	5.24%
The Boss Baby 2 Total			18	65	7,088	175	30	2.47%
The Forever Purge	T-1	Jacksonville	5	12	1,978	33	9	1.67%
		Phoenix	7	14	1,569	43	11	2.74%
		Raleigh	7	14	1,267	59	13	4.66%
The Forever Purge Total			19	40	4,814	135	33	2.80%

 

A couple of showings for BB2 and Purge moved to smaller auditoriums while a couple of small theaters finally posted showtimes.

 

BW compared to F9

 

F9 T-8

Jacksonville - 239 (3.536x)

Phoenix - 306 (2.340x)

Raleigh - 355 (2.977x)

 

Boss Baby compared to Peter Rabbit 2

 

PR2 T-1

Jacksonville - 31  *There were a couple of showings that disappeared that day then came back the next day*

Phoenix - 30

Raleigh - 46

[charlie Jatinder]

more graphs. more graphs.

Edited June 30, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[el sid]

The Boss Baby 2, counted today at 11am EST for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): - (still no showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 5 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 14 (8 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 13 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 4 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 45 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 59 (8 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 140.

Up 141% since Monday.
Comps: Dolittle (21.8M) had on Wednesday of its release week in the same 6 theaters 212 sold tickets for Friday.
I don't remember the exact number of Peter Rabbit 2 (10.1M OW) on Wednesday but TBB2 sold ca. twice as many tickets.
Would mean - with similar walk-ups - an OW between 15M and 20M at the moment.

The Forever Purge, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 52 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 12 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 7 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 4 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 23 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 68 (6 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 168.

Up 62% since Monday.
Comps (always from the same day = Wednesday): The Conjuring 3 (24.1M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 1.047 sold tickets for Friday.
AQP II (47.5M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 1.209 sold tickets for its previews on Thursday.
Crawl (12.0M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 195 sold tickets for Thursday.
The Boy II (5.8M OW) had in 6 theaters (Austin was missing) 56 sold tickets (so vs 166 here) for Thursday.
Scary Stories (20.9M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 542 sold tickets for Thursday.
The Invisible Man (28.2M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 628 sold tickets for Thursday.
And Countdown (8.9M OW) had in 6 theaters (NY was missing) 127 sold tickets (so vs 116 here) for Thursday.

I also guess this is a film for walk-ups but they are needed.

Edited June 30, 2021 by el sid

[katnisscinnaplex]

Looking ahead, Escape Room 2 tickets go on sale tomorrow.   Space Jam is already on sale but I don't see any Thursday showings; is it not doing previews?

[Eric the Ape]

4 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Looking ahead, Escape Room 2 tickets go on sale tomorrow.   Space Jam is already on sale but I don't see any Thursday showings; is it not doing previews?

Warner/Max movies don't do previews. Even In the Heights still dropped on Max on the Thursday it opened.

 

Thanks for letting me know about Space Jam btw. Planning on doing a long-term tracking of that, though I might wait until tomorrow when I'm finished with Boss Baby and Purge.

[Inceptionzq]

6 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Space Jam is already on sale but I don't see any Thursday showings; is it not doing previews?

It’s a simultaneous HBO Max release, so no