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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Lake Indie Sensation

Lake

Posted
Posted (edited)

From Forbes: Fandango poll conducted via 10,000 voters.

 

Most Anticipated 2017 Summer Blockbuster:

  1. “Wonder Woman” (June 2)
  2. “Spider-Man: Homecoming” (July 7)
  3. “Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales” (May 26)
  4. “The Dark Tower” (August 4)
  5. “Dunkirk” (July 21)
  6. “Despicable Me 3” (June 30)
  7. “War For The Planet of the Apes” (July 14)
  8. “Transformers: The Last Knight” (June 21)
  9. “The Mummy” (June 9)
  10. “Baywatch” (May 25) 

Most Anticipated Summer Comedy:

  1. “Baywatch” (May 25)
  2. “The Hitman’s Bodyguard” (August 18)
  3. “Girls Trip” (July 21)
  4. “Rough Night” (June 16)
  5. “The House” (June 30)

Most Anticipated Summer Family Film:

  1. “Despicable Me 3” (June 30)
  2. “Cars 3” (June 16)
  3. “Captain Underpants” (June 2)
  4. “Leap!” (August 30)
  5. “The Emoji Movie” (July 28)

Most Anticipated Summer Thriller:

  1. “The Book of Henry” (June 16)
  2. “Amityville: The Awakening” (June 30)
  3. “Annabelle: Creation” (August 11)
  4. “It Comes At Night” (June 9)
  5. “47 Meters Down” (June 16)
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thelich343 Indie Sensation

thelich343

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Lake said:

From Forbes: Fandango poll conducted via 10,000 voters.

 

Most Anticipated 2017 Summer Blockbuster:

  1. “Wonder Woman” (June 2)
  2. “Spider-Man: Homecoming” (July 7)
  3. “Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales” (May 26)
  4. “The Dark Tower” (August 4)
  5. “Dunkirk” (July 21)
  6. “Despicable Me 3” (June 30)
  7. “War For The Planet of the Apes” (July 14)
  8. “Transformers: The Dark Knight” (June 21)
  9. “The Mummy” (June 9)
  10. “Baywatch” (May 25) 

Most Anticipated Summer Comedy:

  1. “Baywatch” (May 25)
  2. “The Hitman’s Bodyguard” (August 18)
  3. “Girls Trip” (July 21)
  4. “Rough Night” (June 16)
  5. “The House” (June 30)

Most Anticipated Summer Family Film:

  1. “Despicable Me 3” (June 30)
  2. “Cars 3” (June 16)
  3. “Captain Underpants” (June 2)
  4. “Leap!” (August 30)
  5. “The Emoji Movie” (July 28)

Most Anticipated Summer Thriller:

  1. “The Book of Henry” (June 16)
  2. “Amityville: The Awakening” (June 30)
  3. “Annabelle: Creation” (August 11)
  4. “It Comes At Night” (June 9)
  5. “47 Meters Down” (June 16)

 

The Dark Knight?

 

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

The reviews for Baywatch are toxic enough that I think it's bound to underperform now. Either Rough Night or The House will be the biggest comedy of the summer, maybe Girls Trip could surprise (I feel like Universal wouldn't have put that kind of movie in the heart of summer if they weren't confident in it).

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marveldcfox Box Office Gold

marveldcfox

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, Lake said:

From Forbes: Fandango poll conducted via 10,000 voters.

 

Most Anticipated 2017 Summer Blockbuster:

  1. “Wonder Woman” (June 2)
  2. “Spider-Man: Homecoming” (July 7)
  3. “Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales” (May 26)
  4. “The Dark Tower” (August 4)
  5. “Dunkirk” (July 21)
  6. “Despicable Me 3” (June 30)
  7. “War For The Planet of the Apes” (July 14)
  8. “Transformers: The Last Knight” (June 21)
  9. “The Mummy” (June 9)
  10. “Baywatch” (May 25) 

Most Anticipated Summer Comedy:

  1. “Baywatch” (May 25)
  2. “The Hitman’s Bodyguard” (August 18)
  3. “Girls Trip” (July 21)
  4. “Rough Night” (June 16)
  5. “The House” (June 30)

Most Anticipated Summer Family Film:

  1. “Despicable Me 3” (June 30)
  2. “Cars 3” (June 16)
  3. “Captain Underpants” (June 2)
  4. “Leap!” (August 30)
  5. “The Emoji Movie” (July 28)

Most Anticipated Summer Thriller:

  1. “The Book of Henry” (June 16)
  2. “Amityville: The Awakening” (June 30)
  3. “Annabelle: Creation” (August 11)
  4. “It Comes At Night” (June 9)
  5. “47 Meters Down” (June 16)

 

Forbes list is garbage. I remember IDR being on that list last year and we all know how that turned out.

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nomyth Indie Sensation

nomyth

Posted
Posted

I've always thought Rough Night would be this summer's breakout comedy. My only fear for that film is if it feels to similar in premise to other movies.

 

I could see The House doing well, but the movie just makes no sense to me. They make their home a casino to send their daughter to college?? What??

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franfar Global Phenomenon

franfar

Posted
Posted (edited)

If WoM for Baywatch is bad (like The Rock not being featured enough), then it'll prob go under 100m.

9 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The reviews for Baywatch are toxic enough that I think it's bound to underperform now. Either Rough Night or The House will be the biggest comedy of the summer, maybe Girls Trip could surprise (I feel like Universal wouldn't have put that kind of movie in the heart of summer if they weren't confident in it).

The House also looks lame, not something to be excited over. Girls Trip looks shitty, and the director's movies don't make that much. I mean, sure this could turn it around, but it looks bad. I'd give that movie like 40-45m. Rough Night looks like an extended SNL sketch. Really generic. They all look so bad.

 

I still think Baywatch will still be highest grossing comedy this summer.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The reviews for Baywatch are toxic enough that I think it's bound to underperform now. Either Rough Night or The House will be the biggest comedy of the summer, maybe Girls Trip could surprise (I feel like Universal wouldn't have put that kind of movie in the heart of summer if they weren't confident in it).

 

Summer comedies are really unpredictable.  They're mostly driven by WoM, and predicting quality is like trying to predict a what number a di will roll on.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

It's gonna be fun seeing just how much The Rock can save such a movie so unappealing. Even the ads for Baywatch make it look like a sitcom that gets pulled after three episodes due to savage reviews and nobody watching.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
Just now, WrathOfHan said:

The Book of Henry as a thriller? LMAO

You didn't see the trailer? It literally looks like three, maybe four, different movies crammed in one. I doubt it's gonna get good reviews, or make much more than pennies at the box office.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
Just now, filmlover said:

It's gonna be fun seeing just how much The Rock can save such a movie so unappealing. Even the ads for Baywatch make it look like a sitcom that gets pulled after three episodes due to savage reviews and nobody watching.

 

Reminds me of Tammy from a couple years ago.  There was nothing appealing about that movie, but it still nearly pulled 100m because of McCarthy.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, The Panda of the Caribbean said:

And, lol, The Hitman's Bodyguard might actually be a surprise hit.

I have a strong feeling it'll hit 30M on OW. EC says it's a decent movie that'll be big with audiences, and August is pretty barren for crowdpleasing films (dramas and smaller films are another story).

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