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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Alli Blockbuster

Alli

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, John Marston said:

 

 

neither will IMO. Pirates will make at least 180m and TF5 should get over 200m. Has good trailers, summer days and is the major action release for 4th of July weekend

No chance. I can smell the doom. it's a feeling of despair i feel. it's gonna tank.

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franfar Global Phenomenon

franfar

Posted
Posted
24 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Went ~180 for both in the summer game and still think I went too high

I was never really confident in my 280m prediction, now I have deep ragrets

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted
Just now, franfar said:

I was never really confident in my 280m prediction, now I have deep ragrets

 

I think I'll have more regrets...just on the other movie, although I guess $200M is not out of the question until the movies actually open...

 

By the end of the weekend, I hope I have 1 out of 2 right...blowing both would be sad b/c I haven't blown a big movie since Lego Batman, which I also blew pretty handily...

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Biggestgeekever Box Office Gold

Biggestgeekever

Posted
Posted
50 minutes ago, John Marston said:

neither will IMO. Pirates will make at least 180m and TF5 should get over 200m. Has good trailers, summer days and is the major action release for 4th of July weekend

I don't see TF5 making $200M if Pirates doesn't. I mean, TF4 had even worse legs than On Stranger Tides despite summer weekdays, as well.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
On 5/16/2017 at 1:57 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Born in China, The Circle, The Dinner, and Smurfs: The Lost Village are gone.

 

Alien: Covenant: 7 (Biggest and Average)

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul: 5 (Average)

Everything, Everything: 4 (Average)

 

Going in Style: 5 (Up 1; Average)

Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2: 5 (Down 3; 2 2D/3 3D; Average and 4th Smallest)

Snatched: 5 (Flat; 2nd Biggest)

Beauty and the Beast: 4 (Up 1; 2nd Smallest)

The Boss Baby: 4 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)

The Fate of the Furious: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

King Arthur: Legend of the Sword: 4 (Flat; 3 2D/1 3D; Average)

Gifted: 3 (Up 1; 4th Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Beauty and the Beast, Gifted, and Going in Style are gone.

 

Baywatch: 8 (2nd Biggest and Average)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales: 8 (4 2D/4 3D; Biggest and Average)

 

Alien: Covenant: 7 (Flat; Average)

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul: 5 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

Everything, Everything: 5 (Up 1; Average)

Snatched: 5 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)

Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2: 4 (Down 1; 3 2D/1 3D; Average)

King Arthur: Legend of the Sword: 4 (Flat; 3 2D/1 3D; Smallest)

The Boss Baby: 3 (Down 1; 2nd Smallest)

The Fate of the Furious: 1 (Down 3; 2nd Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):

Spoiler

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

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HesAPooka Box Office Gold

HesAPooka

Posted
Posted (edited)

Don't know where we post about new movies, but ughhhh was really hoping this would never happen

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, Alli said:

“Pirates” sequel is expected to haul at least $80 million Friday through Monday

 

http://www.latimes.com/business/hollywood/la-fi-ct-movie-projector-pirates-baywatch-20170523-htmlstory.html

 

 

 

2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Projecting $40m for Baywatch over Thur-Mon 5 day.

 

 

And just a few weeks ago Pirates was projected for a $115M 4-day and Baywatch a $45-50M 5-day (with The Wrap saying Paramount expects $30M, all before the dreadful reviews came out).

 

http://www.thewrap.com/pirates-baywatch-box-office/

 

Memorial Day weekend just isn't what it used to be. Good luck to the Han Solo movie next year.

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Jonwo Global Phenomenon

Jonwo

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, filmlover said:

 

And just a few weeks ago Pirates was projected for a $115M 4-day and Baywatch a $45-50M 5-day (with The Wrap saying Paramount expects $30M, all before the dreadful reviews came out).

 

http://www.thewrap.com/pirates-baywatch-box-office/

 

Memorial Day weekend just isn't what it used to be. Good luck to the Han Solo movie next year.

 

Han Solo will break the lull that has affected Memorial Day since 2015. It can have big hitters like The Hangover Part II, Fast 6, AWE etc but other times it underwhelms, its better to release a film a week later or the week before Memorial Day 

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