The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Sing 2 Megaplex

 

T-2 days Wednesday(88 showings): 2391(+627)/20277(+2013) in 14 theaters

Encanto T-2 Wednesday comp: 8.50M

 

T-3 days Thursday(88 showings): 1664(+423)/20094(+4104) in 14 theaters

Encanto T-3 Saturday comp: 7.79M

 

T-4 days Friday(79 showings): 6262(+1189)/19752(+1262) in 14 theaters

Encanto T-4 Thursday comp: 4.98M

 

T-5 days Saturday(73 showings): 4643(+825)/17979(+893) in 14 theaters

Encanto T-5 Friday comp: 18.15M

Sing 2 Megaplex

 

T-1 days Wednesday(136 showings): 3624(+1233)/28484(+8207) in 15 theaters

Encanto T-1 Wednesday comp: 9.21M

 

T-2 days Thursday(129 showings): 2207(+543)/27204(+7110) in 15 theaters

Encanto T-2 Saturday comp: 8.57M

 

T-3 days Friday(121 showings): 7259(+997)/26760(+7008) in 15 theaters

Encanto T-3 Thursday comp: 4.58M

 

T-4 days Saturday(124 showings): 5356(+713)/27836(+9857) in 15 theaters

Encanto T-4 Friday comp: 14.94M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Sing 2 Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Wednesday(89 showings): 4272(+678)/9520(+276)

ATP: $11.68

Encanto T-2 Wednesday comp: 14.61M

 

T-3 days Thursday(93 showings): 2618(+693)/9458(+527)

ATP: $11.63

Encanto T-3 Wednesday comp: 12.41M

 

T-4 days Friday(72 showings): 1603(+412)/7758(+636)

ATP: $10.83

Encanto T-4 Thursday comp: 12.67M

 

T-5 days Saturday(80 showings): 2102(+530)/8846(+568)

ATP: $11.69

Encanto T-5 Friday comp: 26.53M

Sing 2 Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-1 days Wednesday(112 showings): 5538(+1266)/11759(+2239)

ATP: $11.71

Encanto T-1 Wednesday comp: 12.61M

 

T-2 days Thursday(120 showings): 3459(+841)/12047(+2589)

ATP: $11.68

Encanto T-2 Wednesday comp: 11.83M

 

T-3 days Friday(107 showings): 2198(+595)/11226(+3468)

ATP: $11.12

Encanto T-3 Thursday comp: 12.80M

 

T-4 days Saturday(116 showings): 2864(+762)/12620(+3774)

ATP: $11.72

Encanto T-4 Friday comp: 28.95M

[Inceptionzq]

59 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Are you comparing with previews or OD. This has no previews.

Previews. I'm aware there are no previews but it's all I have. I know it's not the best comps, but meh

[Legion Again]

4 hours ago, CloneWars said:

My dad who is in his 60s wants to see Matrix. Everyone in younger demos though talking Spider-Man. I think Matrix skews to an ancient decrepit practically-at-the-end-of-their-life-already  demo like 26 and up mostly, and well the older you get, the less likely you are to go to the theater based off current moviegoing habits

FTFY

[XXR vs XXR]

23 hours ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

Sunday came in at $64.23M officially, which would adjust the Monday comp to $34.68M or so. So far tonight, our only update is from EC who said "around $36M" but also to not take his word on that yet and he'd look into it further. If it is $36M, then we need to adjust the comp up about 5% for Tuesday. We will know more once we have official numbers. I'm not sure how much "Discount Tuesday" is still a thing, but I expect Tuesday to be basically flat from Monday +/- 3%

 

EDIT: Actuals will come in right around ~$37.1M. Expecting between a 2% gain to a 5% drop from Monday. 

 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 8PM - December 20, 2021

Counting for Tuesday - December 21, 2021

38 show times, 1409 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to NWH 1st Monday (Actuals $37.1M)

+2.10% with no adjustment 

$37.89M

 

We don't yet have an update on Tuesday's number but here's everything else. The drop in presales was precipitous at over 40% but I'm sure the actuals won't drop that much. Whatever Tuesday ends up being, I expect a 15-20% drop for Wednesday since it has to give up some decent real estate to Matrix Resurrection and Sing 2.

 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 8PM - December 21, 2021

Counting for Wednesday - December 22, 2021

29 show times, 811 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to NWH 1st Tuesday

-42.44% with no adjustment 

$N/A 

[keysersoze123]

@ZackM if you are looking at Wednesday PS do comps with Monday which had no discounts vs tuesday. Tuesday is its own beast and can be used only for weekly comps(like next tuesday to compare with today). 

 

That said further down the run PS becomes less relevant and end of day comps are more useful. 

[Legion Again]

Hmm, that could be like mid 20s wed, maybe we’re finally getting killed by omicron 👀

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, CloneWars said:

My dad who is in his 60s wants to see Matrix. Everyone in younger demos though talking Spider-Man. I think Matrix skews to an older demo like 30 and up mostly, and well the older you get, the less likely you are to go to the theater based off current moviegoing habits

[Eric the Fall Guy]

23 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	77	2,161	13638	15.85%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 240

Total Seats Sold Today: 204

 

Comp

0.743x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-2 (7.21M)

2.406x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (9.87M)

1.423x of Dune T-2 (7.26M)

 

I dunno guys, I still don't think 10M+ is happening

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 (Final Count)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	82	2,504	14430	17.35%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 343

 

Comp

0.646x of Godzilla vs. Kong (6.27M)

2.289x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (9.38M)

1.423x of Dune T-1 (7.25M)

 

Y'all better be right that Philly's just a fluke.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

23 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	93	2622	15871	16.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 221

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 1,214

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.240x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-2 (17.26M)

5.101x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (13.77M)

5.233x of Encanto T-2 (7.85M)

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting (Final Count)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	102	3063	16804	18.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 441

Total Seats Sold WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 1,655

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

3.838x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-1 (29.58M)

9.786x of Jungle Cruise T-1 (26.42M)

9.913x of Encanto T-1 (14.87M)

 

Ehh, that Encanto number honestly seems about right. The vaccine efficacy is about to kick in for a lot of kids by now, so it makes sense this could not be as affected by Omicron.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	200	6254	3.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 19

 

I messed up and forgot to post yesterday, though I did track that day and got about 18 sales. So don't worry about me forgetting. Comps are coming tomorrow, but they won't really mean much of anything this far off. *shrug*

[keysersoze123]

On 12/20/2021 at 9:52 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-2)

MTC1 - 82207/358915 1191594.99 2260 shows

 

1 more day of PS left. Let us see where it ends up. 

Matrix Resurrections OD(PS END)

MTC1 - 94473/361349 1347047.57 2310 shows

 

Horrible final day of PS. I think single digit OD would be BAD but looking inevitable at this point. 

[Legion Again]

Reception ain’t gonna help. The year of max ending with a whimper.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Sub-$30M 5 day opening for Matrix 4 (closer to 20 TBH) followed by a classic HBO Max 70% drop (even 80% is possible considering how divisive and polarizing the Wachowskis usually are) sounds about right to me. Spidey (even with all the Deathly Hallows-style overloading Jatinder is expecting) is going to choke December to death, with Sing 2 making do with the leftovers.

 

Ultimately it's just a lack of interest. No one ever asked for a fourth Matrix movie, and the Wachowski's didn't want to make it until they lost their parents and Lana decided to make this as a way to cope with that. I highly doubt she gives a shit about box office prospects.

[filmlover]

Didn't Deadline's tracking have Matrix for around $60M earlier? I guess they didn't take into account that it's basically going to be a freebie for a lot of people with zero effort leaving the house.

[lorddemaxus]

6 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Ultimately it's just a lack of interest. No one ever asked for a fourth Matrix movie, and the Wachowski's didn't want to make it until they lost their parents and Lana decided to make this as a way to cope with that. I highly doubt she gives a shit about box office prospects.

Yeah, I'm sure it's just a lack of interest and has nothing to do with the film releasing 3 days after the 2nd biggest opener of all time (that goes for almost the same demo). 

Edited December 22, 2021 by lorddemaxus

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Yeah, I'm sure it's just a lack of interest and has nothing to do with the film releasing 3 days after the 2nd biggest opener of all time. 

I think sylvester’s post is really hyperbolic, but this is not much of an excuse either when Sing looks to do waaaaay more on the exact same date.

[lorddemaxus]

10 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

I think sylvester’s post is really hyperbolic, but this is not much of an excuse either when Sing looks to do waaaaay more on the exact same date.

Nah, it still works. A sequel to a 2016 kids film has way less in common than nostalgia sequels to huge 2000s franchises. And Matrix is on streaming, while Sing 2 isn't. Matrix 4's biggest audience is more likely to have seen Spider-man than Sing 2's and are more likely to stay home than go to the cinema again (espescially since they can watch the film at home).

Edited December 22, 2021 by lorddemaxus

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Weird Alegion said:

I think sylvester’s post is really hyperbolic, but this is not much of an excuse either when Sing looks to do waaaaay more on the exact same date.

To be fair, Sing 2 is the big animated movie for kids this Christmas and movies that are family-friendly, which is also obviously true of Spider-Man as well (and obviously nonexistent in the case of the R-rated Matrix), tend to flourish the most at this time of year the begin with. What was the last R-rated movie to truly break out around Christmas? The Wolf of Wall Street and Django the year before that (Leo, his power)?

[EmpireCity]

10 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Who tf are these parents that are taking their kids to watch Sing 2 even with this Omicron scare and everything?

 

For the love of everything, Omicorn and Covid in general is almost no risk to even a remotely healthy kid.  

Edited December 22, 2021 by EmpireCity