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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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George Parr Box Office Gold

George Parr

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10 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

I’m kinda surprised that The Last Jedi didn’t reach 99% on MT like TFA did, it peaked at 69% and it’s already free falling, TFA stayed in the 70% area for one week, iirc. 

 

You have to take the competition into account though. This Monday the box office stood at 15m, with Tuesday likely higher. When TFA started to sell tickets, Monday did half of that. Tuesday will probably be the same, so you have twice the regular competition right now. Also, TLJ started yet a week earlier than TFA did.

 

In the end, percentages don't say much at all. A huge share of a small total can be lower than a worse share of a higher total. Not that it is in any way likely that TLJ is outselling TFA, but the percentages from MT don't really say much about the gap.

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Rumpot Box Office Gold

Rumpot

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30 minutes ago, George Parr said:

 

You have to take the competition into account though. This Monday the box office stood at 15m, with Tuesday likely higher. When TFA started to sell tickets, Monday did half of that. Tuesday will probably be the same, so you have twice the regular competition right now. Also, TLJ started yet a week earlier than TFA did.

 

In the end, percentages don't say much at all. A huge share of a small total can be lower than a worse share of a higher total. Not that it is in any way likely that TLJ is outselling TFA, but the percentages from MT don't really say much about the gap.

Imagine presales got much more popular with and after TFA too.  Also not sure MT competitive place inticket sales for one vs the other

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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2 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

I’m kinda surprised that The Last Jedi didn’t reach 99% on MT like TFA did, it peaked at 69% and it’s already free falling, TFA stayed in the 70% area for one week, iirc. 

 

TFA was crazy, I looked at the old buzz thread and tickets went on sale October 19, TFA never left the MT top 5 till release, apart from one day which was Thanksgiving weekend Saturday.

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

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On 10/3/2017 at 7:20 PM, TwoMisfits said:

Okay, 1st local is up...

 

They have Blade Runner 2049 on 2 screens, but its 8 showings are 5 2d, 3 real d showings.  Weirdly, they say the 7pm showing Friday is sold out, but it was never for sale before now, so I don't know if it got bought out or it's a Fandango error.  They also have MLP on a single screen for 5 showings.  Here's the full list...

 

NEW

Blade Runner (2)

MLP (1)

Chef (1)

The Mountain Between Us (1)

 

Returning

It (1)

American Made (1)

Flatliners (1)

Kingsmans (1)

Lego Ninjago (1)

Foreign Fare (2) (Spyder, Judwaa 2, Manahubtoomanyletters share)

 

Gone American Assassin, Battle of the Sexes (only got 1 week - WOW), 1 Foreign Fare...

Here's my 1st local set...

 

NEW 

Happy Death Day (1 - biggest screen)

Foreigner (1 - average screen)

Foreign Film (RGG2) (1 - smallest screen - this is a special event with cheaper tickets even though it's booked all week)

 

Returning

Blade Runner (2)

MLP (1)

The Mountain Between Us (1)

American Made (1)

Judwaa 2 (1)

Kingsman (1)

Ninjago (1)

It (1)

 

Gone 

Flatliners, Chef, 2 Foreign Films

 

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Jayhawk the Hutt Global Phenomenon

Jayhawk the Hutt

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1 hour ago, grim22 said:

 

TFA was crazy, I looked at the old buzz thread and tickets went on sale October 19, TFA never left the MT top 5 till release, apart from one day which was Thanksgiving weekend Saturday.

Speaking of which, where is the old buzz thread? Tried to look for it yesterday and couldn't find it, but I may have been looking in the wrong places.

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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

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I'm really thinking Victoria and Abdul might be a huge hit at my theatre. It's the type of movie that would do super well in our market, the weather is supposed to be terrible for the next week, and no other theatre within nearly 2 hours  radius is playing it.

 

Im predicting our equivalent of a 35M week next week. My boss thinks it'll do 50-60M for the week, and while I think he's too high, my 35 might be a bit low and it'll do in the low 40's for the week.

 

To compare, I'm predicting 30M for the week for Happy Death Day, and 18M for the Foreigner at my theatre.

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