The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Barnack]

2 hours ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

If Sony didn't want to promote Proudy Mary, they should have focused on a dvd release, perhaps "on demand" release. 

http://variety.com/2018/digital/news/the-post-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202658186/

 

A bit of an overstatement, they seem to be putting an above 20m promo on Proud Mary (already had spent 10m on tv alone with a week from release) and is looking like it will make a big opening weekend.

[Deja23]

On 1/9/2018 at 12:26 PM, grim22 said:

Deep Wang regrets to inform us that the internal presale tracker is down for maintenance and update, so we won't get any presale updates till Thursday at the very least.

Will we get a presales update today? 

[Barnack]

24 minutes ago, iceni said:

 

Thanks!  (I wasn't sure if they'd hold steady for now and wait until after Oscar nominations to continue the expansion...)

I imagine it could be tempting to go really slow to keep the movie alive until the winter Olympics (that a speculation made about that very slow release)

[iceni]

11 minutes ago, Barnack said:

I imagine it could be tempting to go really slow to keep the movie alive until the winter Olympics (that a speculation made about that very slow release)

I had that thought, as well.   I'm really curious to see how they play this. 

[Eric Duncan]

Final Update for this weekend, including 3-Day and 4-Day

Paddington (3-Day)	153	1737	8.81%
Paddington (4-Day)	175	2252	4.22%
Proud Mary (3-Day)	356	1437	24.77%
Proud Mary (4-Day)	372	1845	20.16%
The Commuter (3-Day)	80	1795	4.46%
The Commuter (4-Day)	84	2318	3.62%

 

 

For Paddington, its 3-Day is 215% of Ferdinand ($28.9M) and 209% of My Little Pony ($18.6M).

 

The only good comp I have for The Commuter is The Foreigner, which is about 222% of that film ($29.1M...yeah, it's not reaching that)

 

No good comps for Proud Mary unfortunately.

[TwoMisfits]

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Before Moviepassers hit this morning, here's Thursday presales at my Cinemark local (non-Atom, so none of the specific movie deals here)...

 

Paddington - 6/180

Commuter - 2/120

The Post - 12/120

Proud Mary - No Thursday shows

 

 

Last update I'll get pre-open...

Paddington 8/180

Commuter 3/120

The Post 14/120

[TwoMisfits]

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Same thing, but for the Atom-selling Regal local...

 

I Tonya - 0/150

Paddington - 13/150

The Commuter - 4/180

The Post - 7/180

Proud Mary - No Thursday shows

 

I'm gonna try to update in the mid-afternoon (not gonna be able to tonight), but figure that should be a help:)...

 

I Tonya 3/150

Paddington 16/150

The Commuter 15/180

The Post - 19/180

 

[iceni]

4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

It's only getting three theaters in Orlando, but my area a bit north is getting it too. The TC is probably around 600 theaters given Neon's history with Ingrid Goes West

 

You were close!  

 

 

Edited January 11, 2018 by iceni

[Mojoguy]

Can Jumanji take first place again this weekend?

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, Mojoguy said:

Can Jumanji take first place again this weekend?

[Boxofficerules]

Remember when everyone thought The Last Jedi would dominate until Black Panther.

[WrathOfHan]

Previews:

 

The Post: 36/78

The Commuter: 26/78

5:00 Paddington: 11/69 (7:45 is empty rn)

 

The Post is running at 50% of OE (14.4M), 90% of AM (15.1M), and 165% of The Foreigner (21.6M). Like I said earlier, tomorrow's numbers are BIGLY, so the Friday comps should work better.

The Commuter is at 35% of OE (10M), 65% of AM (10.9M), 67% of THB (14.3M), and 120% of The Foreigner (15.7M). These are encouraging numbers given how low some of us think it may go.

Paddington is at 50% of MLP (4.5M), 75% of The Star (7.4M), and 85% of Ferdinand (11.4M). Tomorrow is looking weak as fuck too.

[Hiccup23]

Terrible weekend out look 

 

The Commuter	19	346	5.5%
Paddington 2	7	234	3.0%
The Post	72	234	30.8%

[La Binoche]

Movietickets 

 

1. The Post - 15.2% 

 

Is it crazy to think $30M+ for the 4 days? 

 

[Mojoguy]

Is it crazy to think $30M+ for the 4 days?

That will be Jumanji.

[WrathOfHan]

How tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

The Post:

 

10:00: 29/124

1:00: 21/124

4:00: 26/124

7:00: 9/124

10:10: 0/78

 

Proud Mary:

 

10:50: 11/78

1:10: 6/78

3:30: 0/78

5:45: 4/78

8:00: 14/78

10:15: 0/78

 

The Commuter:

 

11:00: 23/78

1:30: 2/78

4:00: 6/78

6:30: 2/78

9:00: 2/78

 

Darkest Hour:

 

10:35: 8/78

1:35: 18/78

4:35: 0/78

7:30: 0/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Showman:

 

11:30: 4/78

2:10: 4/78

4:50: 8/78

7:25: 0/78

10:05: 0/78

 

Star Wars:

 

10:15: 9/78

1:15 3D: 0/60

4:40: 5/60

6:30 3D: 2/78

9:50: 0/78

 

PP3:

 

10:40: 1/60

1:40: 2/78

4:10: 0/78

8:00: 6/60

10:25: 0/60

 

Jumanji:

 

10:40: 0/78

11:45: 2/67

1:40 3D: 0/78

4:30: 2/78

7:20 3D: 0/78

9:45: 0/124

 

Insidious:

 

10:30: 2/69

2:30: 0/69

5:30: 2/67

7:30: 0/113

10:15: 0/113

 

Molly's Game:

 

10:05: 2/63

1:20: 0/63

4:25: 0/63

7:35: 2/63

10:45: 0/63

 

The Post: 85/574

Proud Mary: 35/468

The Commuter: 35/390

Darkest Hour: 26/390

Showman: 16/390

Star Wars: 16/354

PP3: 9/354

Jumanji: 4/503

Insidious: 4/431

Molly's Game: 4/315

Paddington, Money, and Ferdinand have sold nothing.

 

Just TERRIBLE for Paddington. I have no clue if I should stick to high-teens or lowball it around 12-13M.

The Post comps:

 

85% of Wonder (23.4M)

98% of Dunkirk (49.5M)

115% of OE (33M)

160% of Kingsman (62.4M)

265% of THB (56.7M)

295% of MBU (31.3M)

315% of AM (52.9M)

385% of The Foreigner (50.4M)

 

lmfao if this actually hits the higher numbers

 

Proud Mary and The Commuter:

 

40% of Dunkirk (20.2M)

45% of OE (12.9M)

50% of Girls Trip (15.6M)

55% of Bad Moms Christmas (9.2M)

55% of BOO 2! (11.7M)

65% of Kingsman (25.4M)

90% of THB (19.7M)

160% of The Foreigner (21M)

 

lmfao if The Last Jedi is actually 7th this weekend

 

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Just TERRIBLE for Paddington. I have no clue if I should stick to high-teens or lowball it around 12-13M.

The Post comps:

 

Kind of funny that you’re lowballing a film now based on your ONE theater, for a family movie that’s walkup based nonetheless

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, That One Guy said:

 

Kind of funny that you’re lowballing a film now based on your ONE theater, for a family movie that’s walkup based nonetheless

I mean, The Star had 10 tickets sold and Ferdinand had 30. 

[That One Girl]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

I mean, The Star had 10 tickets sold and Ferdinand had 30. 

 

 

The Star was a religious film so it could’ve had the benefit of churches and Ferdinand was released around winter break 

[WrathOfHan]

9 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

 

The Star was a religious film so it could’ve had the benefit of churches and Ferdinand was released around winter break 

Schools were still in session here.