Taruseth Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 For now I would say: Uk 60Mio Germany 25Mio Japan 25Mio France 20Mio Australia 20Mio China 10 Mio 'Rest' 140Mio Total OS: 300Mio 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Yeah I forgot to take into account Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom's Early OS Release Dates. Will definitely hurt the UK, France and Germany totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 On 23.4.2018 at 9:10 PM, Taruseth said: For now I would say: Uk 60Mio Germany 25Mio Japan 25Mio France 20Mio Australia 20Mio China 10 Mio 'Rest' 140Mio Total OS: 300Mio Just 25m in Germany? That would be below 2m admissions. I can see it miss out on 3m, but below 2m seems way too harsh to me. Something like $35m sounds more reasonable to me (2.5-2.75m admissions). Same with France, I really don't see how it makes just half of what Rogue One made. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 58 minutes ago, George Parr said: Just 25m in Germany? That would be below 2m admissions. I can see it miss out on 3m, but below 2m seems way too harsh to me. Something like $35m sounds more reasonable to me (2.5-2.75m admissions). Same with France, I really don't see how it makes just half of what Rogue One made. I don't know there literally is no hype at all. I just feel like no one will watch that movie, but on the other hand it's still SW in Germany and France so people might watch it (Same for Japan btw.) So: if it does: 2M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $27.6M (okay I am really a bit low, as I would say barely above 2M it should definitely do, I am not certain about how much higher it can get as that probably depends on how god Disney is able to hype this film on OW) 2.175M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $30.015M 2.25M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $31.05M 2.5M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $34.5M 2.6M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $35.88M 2.7M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $37.26M 2.8M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $38.64M 2.9M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $40.02M 3.0M adm *11.5€ *1.2 = $41.4M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Impossible Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 $400M OS would be a win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nostalgia Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 Unless the content is very good this movie will have a very rough ride. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 470M OS if its good.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 $400-450m overseas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 This has zero hype overseas, it’s like it is invisible or something esp. compared to Deadpool 2 . Did Disney spent all their marketing budget on IW , I mean wtf ? TLJ had a huge marketing campaign , this just seems like an independent film or something. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Could this have bigger dom than OS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Valonqar said: Could this have bigger dom than OS? very possible. if it does $400m dom, I personally don't see it doing more than that OS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rebeccas said: very possible. if it does $400m dom, I personally don't see it doing more than that OS yep, that sounds right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 (edited) $300-400m Edited May 15, 2018 by FantasticBeasts 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 (edited) Why did Disney even decide to release this movie a few months after The Last Jedi? They should have just released it in December as usual. Edited May 17, 2018 by Quigley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Quigley said: Why did Disney even decide to release this movie a few months after The Last Jedi? They should have just released it in December as usual. cause they expected great buzz for TLJ to lift Solo up, because May is a traditional SW slot that they want to get back for some reason, and because Mary Poppins (that's gonna smoke Solo boxoffice-wise) is a perfect December movie. Edited May 17, 2018 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 Also to test waters in case they want to do two Star Wars films a year. A May Memorial Release and a December Release. Though I doubt we'll get two a year until at least all the Avatar sequels are done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amrwael22 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 350-400M both OS & DOM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 I want this to make less than GOTG movies. Most likely GOTG Vol 2 but under GOTG would be a real coup. Better movies deserve to do better and GOTG movies are WAY better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 OS a sub-GOTG finish looks about locked at this point. WW it's very likely, though it depends on how loyal the SW fanbase will be domestically. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 sub 400m overseas a possibility? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...