June 23-25 Weekend Thread | TF5 45M, Cars 3 24.0, Wonder Woman 24.9 (10th highest 4th weekend of all time and biggest 4th weekend of 2017)

[jj99]

10 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I'll take 7mil but I hope Wonder Woman does 7.5mil. 

 

thats would be a 88% friday increase. i don't think that's remotely possible.

 

would love to be wrong though..

 

From where im sitting, 7M is looking too lofty a jump for friday.

Edited June 23, 2017 by jj99

[Biggestgeekever]

56 minutes ago, ChipMunky said:

But Father's Day deflated last Saturday, no? And WW has less competition this weekend.

It does somewhat, but the pertinent question is whether that actually makes up for how much Father's Day helps. I calculated the IMs for films in the top 10 of the weekend of FD going back to 2012 strictly for that that were greatly aided by FD (which I have chosen to define as dropping less than 5% on Sunday), and compared that to their IMs the following weekend

FD W/E	Next W/E
2016
3.731958763	3.515625
3.792857143	3.364864865
4.017241379	3.186046512
2015
3.661628306	3.710006807
3.853982301	3.673469388
4.094594595	4
3.904109589	3.520833333
2014
3.609170306	3.262458472
3.761363636	3.436363636
2013
4.287671233	3.643678161
3.52173913	3.357142857
2012
4.031674208	3.244343891

 

 

The only film to see a stronger IM in the following weekend was Jurassic World, which was hindered by being in its second weekend. Most others lost at least a couple tenths, so I would expect @TalismanRing's 3.5 IM to be on the money for Wonder Woman.

[DAJK]

Guess who finished their LAST EXAM OF HIGH SCHOOL EVER

 

but I have to work until 1:30 AM cause Bayformers is such a long fucking movie 

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

It does somewhat, but the pertinent question is whether that actually makes up for how much Father's Day helps. I calculated the IMs for films in the top 10 of the weekend of FD going back to 2012 strictly for that that were greatly aided by FD (which I have chosen to define as dropping less than 5% on Sunday), and compared that to their IMs the following weekend

FD W/E	Next W/E
2016
3.731958763	3.515625
3.792857143	3.364864865
4.017241379	3.186046512
2015
3.661628306	3.710006807
3.853982301	3.673469388
4.094594595	4
3.904109589	3.520833333
2014
3.609170306	3.262458472
3.761363636	3.436363636
2013
4.287671233	3.643678161
3.52173913	3.357142857
2012
4.031674208	3.244343891

 

 

The only film to see a stronger IM in the following weekend was Jurassic World, which was hindered by being in its second weekend. Most others lost at least a couple tenths, so I would expect @TalismanRing's 3.5 IM to be on the money for Wonder Woman.

 

What kind of IM did those movies have the weekend BEFORE Father's Day? That should give us a good idea whether FD inflated the weekend by a lot, and whether the next weekend fell below, or whether it was business as normal.

[a2k]

13 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

That must happen. Just imagine the meltdowns and outrage it would cause

 

16 minutes ago, Rman823 said:

I'm pretty sure he would have given us a Megan Fox Wonder Woman. 

 

He would have given us a 'Wonder Girl'

 

15 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

 

 

15 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

Michael Bay for Supergirl

 

Bay is the only one who can bring back Fantastic Four to life actually. Do it so differently that people forget the previous ones.

Edited June 23, 2017 by a2knet

[The Panda]

1 hour ago, Ethan Hunt said:

The whole bumblebee being geared towards kids thing kind pisses me off but oh well

 

Why?  They're movies about talking robots that transform into cars, they should be aimed at children.

 

They shouldn't be R-Rated flicks for mature audiences.

Edited June 23, 2017 by The Panda

[baumer]

35 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

The CJohn Model 3000 does not listen to your pleas for mercy.

 

First its whats app knowing names and now CJohn....more proof Shynet is aware.

[Biggestgeekever]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

What kind of IM did those movies have the weekend BEFORE Father's Day? That should give us a good idea whether FD inflated the weekend by a lot, and whether the next weekend fell below, or whether it was business as normal.

I'll look that up, but the problem is there a bunch of other things to consider, then: what films were openers the weekend before, was there an NBA finals game like there was for Wonder Woman's second Friday, some schools are out then if Father's Day falls later in the month, etc.

[grim22]

1 minute ago, Biggestgeekever said:

I'll look that up, but the problem is there a bunch of other things to consider, then: what films were openers the weekend before, was there an NBA finals game like there was for Wonder Woman's second Friday, some schools are out then if Father's Day falls later in the month, etc.

 

But then we have the same considerations the weekend after FD as well. There will always be some external factor to consider.

[a2k]

If WONDR does 26 weekend for 319+ cume, then it would need to add 3x more the weekend (3*26=~80) to do 400.

Would need to add about 2.7x more to go over GOTG2 (giving it a close to 390 total).

Edited June 23, 2017 by a2knet

[Zakiyyah6]

Listen I don't know what it's going to do but people always say that this is impossible for Wonder Woman to do and it does it. So who knows? As long as it has an under 50% drop I'll be satisfied.

Edited June 23, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[Ozymandias]

[WrathOfHan]

The only moment where women actually talk in the same scene is to discuss

 

Spoiler

BBWs.

 

[The Futurist]

The stage is set for

 

Spiderman 6

 

and 

 

Minions 4

 

to break out big.

[miketheavenger]

1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

 

Soon Wonder Woman will pass Iron Man, Suicide Squad, Guardians of the Galaxy and Deadpool to become the highest superhero debut ever.

You forgot Sam Raimi's Spider-Man, which is what Tele's Club is all about.

[DAR]

11 minutes ago, The Panda said:

 

Why?  They're movies about talking robots that transform into cars, they should be aimed at children.

 

They shouldn't be R-Rated flicks for mature audiences.

So no scene of Bumblebee using his gearshaft on Hailey Stainfeld?

 

And not good for TF.   It seems like this weekend has kind of been a flop two years in a row for the opener.

[FilmBuff]

I'm kinda hoping for 400 million dollars for Wonder Woman so tele's club comes true!

[PhantomX1313]

Bay for Star Trek would be Gods on earth

[MrGlass2]

5 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

You forgot Sam Raimi's Spider-Man, which is what Tele's Club is all about.

 

Good point, I knew I was forgetting something.

'Highest Superhero Debut in Fifteen Years' is still wonderful, given the success of the genre.

[Zakiyyah6]

Wonder Woman is not making 400mil and that's okay. It doesn't need to.