Weekend Thread 7/7-7/9 | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS ALLOWED | SMH 117M, DM3 34M, BD 12.5M, WW 10.1M, TF5 6.3M, Biggus Dickus 3.65

[JohnnyGossamer]

If the WOM is as expected, this will win the summer for certain with so ething like $415M to $430M.

[75Live]

Good start for Spider-man.  My prediction should be close.  I could use the gold account at least once  

[Arlborn]

Holy hell, previews just kept going up! I think that will mean an awesome OW-multi.

 

This is shooting past 120M very easily now.

 

My bet is 138M OW now.

 

Edited July 7, 2017 by Arlborn

[XO21]

9 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Here's your key for interpreting the numbers

 

10-11.5: Mild disappointment

11.5-13.5: Expected, flame wars ensue

13.5-15: Excitement, but measured

15+: This shit gone be big

Under 10m: Meltdowns

Under 8m: Mods form a suicide pact

 

 

 

sub $100m is definitely gone

Edited July 7, 2017 by XO21

[titanic2187]

don't mess with TOTAMO LAW!!!

[La Binoche]

9 minutes ago, Finnick said:

WONDER WOMAN THURSDAY BOXOFFICE: $1.98M Forbes (Down just 26% from last Thursday)

 

The key to Wonder Woman's success is that it's essentially a female Crocodile Dundee movie. Tough but compassionate and likable guy lives in nature away from civilization. A girl arrives and takes him back to her city...it's his first time in a city and fish out of water adventures ensue. He's a nice guy and his heart is pure but just don't fuck with him. You can't help but love a character like that. Same with Wonder Woman. 

[WrathOfHan]

[That One Girl]

FUCK.

 

THIS DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR VALERIAN

[baumer]

Since there has been an overwhelming response to the contest, I'll make it top two closest gets a gold account for a month.

 

@Biggestgeekever 53.8

@cannastop 49.63

@Brainbug 46.234

@Finnick 48.5

@franfar 45.0

@Mrglass2 58.0

75live:  129.3 (obviously thought it was for OW)

greyghost:  65.9

Dman7:  70.0

Nova:  45.6

twomisfits:  51.0

napolean:  47.78

bladels:  51.3

The Stun:  104.7 (thought it was OW)

Rman823:  48.7

BKB:  145-150....not a qualifying prediction even if it was for OW

Keanu:  45.967

Dar:  46.8

eddyxx:  55.0

Gambitpool:  53.4

Yourmother:  42.25

druv10:  55.6

Wrathofhan:  42.0

Panda:  39.874

CoolEric:  46.83

TheDarkAlfred:  41.318

TheFastand Furiosa:  .$40.2

ViceVersa:  57.19

DeeCee:  58.0

Fancyarcher:  44.0

aabattery:  57.69

MikeQ:  46.0

KeepItU25071906:  43.0

damnitgeorge08 :  46.0

Wrath:  43.0

Gokaired:  51.58

Zakiyyah6 : 46.5

FlashMaster659 :  47.6

Blankments:  42.124

jb007:  48.8

Zeesoh:  45.6

fmpro:  127.7 (weekend prediction)

Matrix4you:  50.01

damienroc:  43.33

jj99:  46.5

marekthejedi:  129 (weekend prediction)

Subzero:  51.0

 

Here are all the predictions.  To those of you who sent weekend predictions, I apologize but this is for the opening day.  Fear not, there will more opportunities in the coming weeks.  

 

IF YOU DO NOT SEE YOUR PREDICTION HERE, IT MEANS I DID NOT GET IT BY PM....IF YOU HAVE THE ORIGINAL PM OR YOU CAN FIND YOUR POST IN HERE, SEND IT TO ME AND I WILL COUNT IT....BUT IT HAS TO BE AN ORIGINAL POST OR YOUR ORIGINAL PM

 

Good luck to all of you !

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Filmovie]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

If the WOM is as expected, this will win the summer for certain with so ething like $415M to $430M.

 

I guess that after only the MS number is premature

 

[efialtes76]

3 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

If the WOM is as expected, this will win the summer for certain with so ething like $415M to $430M.

Relax...

[KJsooner]

Great number!

[a2k]

With 125-130 ow, if this does a little over 3x ... it's competing with WONDR and GOTG2 dom.

 

Said it a few days back in jest (but now seems serious)....after GOTG2 brilliantly and effortlessly amassed a huge 390, who thought first WONDR would over-take it, and then SM:H would over-take WONDR to push GOTG2 to #3. Has not happened yet, but still is at least on the cards and that's amazing.

[KeepItU25071906]

15,4?

 

Now, that's more interesting) 

[fabiopazzo2]

4 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

If the WOM is as expected, this will win the summer for certain with so ething like $415M to $430M.

[MikeQ]

That's big. Now it's about seeing how it pans out over the weekend... the same share of opening day from previews as Ant-Man means a $54.5 million opening day for Spidey. The same as GOTG Vol. 2 means $51 million. Maybe I'm way off, but I think a $50+ million opening day is very likely. 

 

Preview Grosses for Some Comic Book Films and the Share of Opening Day

 

Title / Preview Gross / Share of Opening Day

 

The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 30.6 million (40.4%)

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 27.7 million (34.0%)

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 27.6 million (32.7%)

Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 25 million (33.1%)

Suicide Squad (2016) — 20.5 million (31.6%)

Marvel's The Avengers (2012) — 18.7 million (23.1%)

The Dark Knight (2008) — 18.5 million (27.5%)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 17 million (30.2%)

Iron Man 3 (2013) — 15.6 million (22.7%)

Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 15.4 million (TBD)

Deadpool (2016) — 12.7 million (26.8%)

Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 11.2 million (29.6%)

Wonder Woman (2017) — 11 million (28.3%)

Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 10.2 million (27.6%)

Doctor Strange (2016) — 9.4 million (28.8%)

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 8.7 million (24.7%)

 

Peace,

Mike

[baumer]

3 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

If the WOM is as expected, this will win the summer for certain with so ething like $415M to $430M.

 

That would be an insane multiplier for a 7th film.  If it opens to 120 million, you are giving it a 3.4 multiplier to get there.  I just don't see that happening, no matter how good the WOM is.  

[JohnnyGossamer]

4 minutes ago, excel1 said:

$15m is solid. Should touch $110-115m range

Wait? So it's not going to do less than $103.2M OW DOM? You sure? You seemed pretty convinced otherwise yesterday.

[John Marston]

Tomato law. Its power 

[WrathOfHan]

Same multi as WW gets it to 144.6M.