Weekend Thread 7/7-7/9 | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS ALLOWED | SMH 117M, DM3 34M, BD 12.5M, WW 10.1M, TF5 6.3M, Biggus Dickus 3.65

[Subzero]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

Funny thing, if Baumer had made it OW, you would have definitely been way higher for sure. I am assuming you had a 130M+ OW with a 51M OD.

 

Yes very true I had in the 140M+

[Johnny Tran]

I can't see how it's an excellent number for Spidey.  I would call it "good" but not excellent. Lots of frontloading going on here.  I don't think previous Spider-Man movies had too much impact, audiences are well aware that this is a fresh start within the MCU.  Sometimes we don't give casuals enough credit, these movies are made FOR casuals. They know this is an MCU film.  

 

Spider-Man is at the worst the 2nd most popular superhero.  You can argue against Batman but nobody else. This was also very well received by critics.  Yes, people will bring up the Batman Begins comparison but this is a different time for box office.  We live in an age where Suicide Squad opens to $133M.  We live in times where GOTG have become monsters at the box office.  The first opened to a little under $100M.  The 2nd opened to the tune of $146M. 

 

Now, all that said I think this should have very good legs but in the end I see a scenario where there is some money left on the table and I'm not sure why.  Something (at least by the OW numbers) did not quite connect as well as it could have. 

 

I'm sure there will be plenty of people who disagree.  I'm not going to say outright disappointing but not excellent either. 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

$300m isn't quite locked, but I think it's likely.

[Brainiac5]

16 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It's a massively front loaded film....huge rush to see it.

Yeah ,I think we are looking at about a2.4-2.5x 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I'm not making an argument necessarily. I'm more so wondering how it's going to have these excellent legs some people are forecasting if it's already showing front loading like that. And make no mistake a 3.0+ multiplier for a 117 million opening are great legs.

 

Oh, yes, well then I agree with you.  I think it tops out at 2.7X max.  So yes, I see what you mean.

[El Gato]

6 hours ago, Brainbug said:

 

Im maybe speaking for the GA, ive never heard of any of them . WB needs to market them perfectly to have any chance of that happening and even then i dont think they could do it. Maybe WB will go the SP:H way of having a super popular character like Batman or Wonder Woman in them...

Blue Beetle (pretty badass character)

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/blue-beetle/4005-4438/

 

Booster Gold

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/booster-gold/4005-1786/

 

Nightwing (Robin all grown up)

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/dick-grayson/4005-1691/

*He's more of an A list character imo

 

Shazam

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/billy-batson/4005-2350/

 

JLD (really cool team)

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/justice-league-dark/4060-58596/

 

Hopefully that helps you out. DC has some really cool B and C list characters that would look pretty amazing on the big screen! Hopefully we get to see them soon!

[Zakiyyah6]

Personally I was waiting for a recovery from that huge 26-27% drop from its preview included Friday and I don't see that. The Sunday drop is fine but it's not fine enough for me to say oh it recovered.

Edited July 10, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[LaughingEvans]

4 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

I can't see how it's an excellent number for Spidey.  I would call it "good" but not excellent. Lots of frontloading going on here.  I don't think previous Spider-Man movies had too much impact, audiences are well aware that this is a fresh start within the MCU.  Sometimes we don't give casuals enough credit, these movies are made FOR casuals. They know this is an MCU film.  

 

Spider-Man is at the worst the 2nd most popular superhero.  You can argue against Batman but nobody else. This was also very well received by critics.  Yes, people will bring up the Batman Begins comparison but this is a different time for box office.  We live in an age where Suicide Squad opens to $133M.  We live in times where GOTG have become monsters at the box office.  The first opened to a little under $100M.  The 2nd opened to the tune of $146M. 

 

Now, all that said I think this should have very good legs but in the end I see a scenario where there is some money left on the table and I'm not sure why.  Something (at least by the OW numbers) did not quite connect as well as it could have. 

 

I'm sure there will be plenty of people who disagree.  I'm not going to say outright disappointing but not excellent either. 

 

i disagree on the principal that you called a movie frontloaded without even seeing the first monday numbers.

[Lestranger]

Yeah this seems like a 2.5x despite the high quality of it. 43% came from Friday and previews. That is a higher % than Civil War. So sub 2.5x I think is possible. But only time will tell, maybe it gets WW legs.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, El Gato said:

Blue Beetle (pretty badass character)

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/blue-beetle/4005-4438/

 

Booster Gold

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/booster-gold/4005-1786/

 

Nightwing (Robin all grown up)

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/dick-grayson/4005-1691/

*He's more of an A list character imo

 

Shazam

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/billy-batson/4005-2350/

 

JLD (really cool team)

https://comicvine.gamespot.com/justice-league-dark/4060-58596/

 

Hopefully that helps you out. DC has some really cool B and C list characters that would look pretty amazing on the big screen! Hopefully we get to see them soon!

 

Thank you!

[Zakiyyah6]

Just now, Lestranger said:

Yeah this seems like a 2.5x despite the high quality of it. 43% came from Friday and previews. That is a higher % than Civil War. So sub 2.5x I think is possible. But only time will tell, maybe it gets WW legs.

It has no chance of getting Wonder Woman legs. I usually don't like being that definitive but I will be this time.

[JohnnyGossamer]

4 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

$300m isn't quite locked, but I think it's likely.

I can't imagine Spidey failing to at least match Guardians Vol. 2's multiplier which gives it $300M+ DOM.

[Zakiyyah6]

The July weekdays will make sure that it gets over 300mil. I don't think the legs are going to be bad but I think that the film is front-loaded.

Edited July 10, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[Lestranger]

Needs 2.56x multi to make 300 mil. I would take the under on that, but I am a hater.

[AHepBurn]

So is this no longer the Pokemon thread?

 

[Kalo]

2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

It has no chance of getting Wonder Woman legs. I usually don't like being that definitive but I will be this time.

 

The competition alone would keep it from that.

 

Also yay I am still in the survival game! 

[Johnny Tran]

Just now, Lestranger said:

Yeah this seems like a 2.5x despite the high quality of it. 43% came from Friday and previews. That is a higher % than Civil War. So sub 2.5x I think is possible. But only time will tell, maybe it gets WW legs.

 

I would be shocked if it reaches WW legs. I'm not saying it's impossible but a run like WW is something we don't see every day or year.  WW has an outside chance at a 4.0x which is just ridiculous. 

 

For SM:H to reach 400 it needs a 3.42.   That will be difficult. 

[the beast]

Any Wonder Woman Numbers?

[Johnny Tran]

2 minutes ago, the beast said:

Any Wonder Woman Numbers?

 

No WB will keep us waiting like they always do. 

[FlashMaster659]

2 minutes ago, the beast said:

Any Wonder Woman Numbers?

Really taking a long time to get those out