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Weekend Thread. Dark Tower 19.5...Dunkirk 17.6....Emoji 12.3...Girls Trip 11.4 not sure what page| Not the sex thread

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Just now, YourMother said:

March 23rd 2018 has three very interesting films that are sequels/adaptations that no one cares about: Robin Hood v PRU v Gnomes.

Tomb Raider will probably ending up being number 1 for a second week. 

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5 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

...okay, not ALWAYS, but the point is that there are many releases that try that strategy, and instead of eye-popping PTA's, they get good numbers in correlation to the amount of theaters they've got... which usually amounts to somewhere in the 20/30K PTA. Why not go for 4/5 theater OW's where there's chances of them getting a much bigger number PTA-wise, which is what matters most when it comes to a limited release's OW (or correct me if I'm wrong there, but in my experience of following box office, that's what I have learned over the years - PTA over actual regarding limited openings)?

I think it would be hard to distinguish the chicken/eggs here, in term of correlation/causation.

 

Great PTA is always a good sign, because it show an interest and word of mouth working locally, but does the great PTA news have much reach and any impact (does anyone that would care about such news not already knowing about the movie ?) Except for American Sniper/Revenant level of PTA, I don' think the news of such numbers has much reach.

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9 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Tomb Raider will probably ending up being number 1 for a second week. 

 

I... wouldn't exactly bet on Tomb Raider breaking out

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1 minute ago, YourMother said:

March 23rd 2018 has three very interesting films that are sequels/adaptations that no one cares about: Robin Hood v PRU v Gnomes.

:apocalypse:

 

Ready Player One, Robin Hood and Tomb Raider are on my March-stan-list.

Red Sparrow could be added to the list depending on the promo. I am all for Russia-USA spy cat and mouse games, and Bridge of Spies was my fav film of 2015 (well above MM:FR the winner of best picture on BOT), but the love angle here seems cliche to me.

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Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
2017/07/28 1 $10,025,217   4,075 $2,460   $10,025,217 1
2017/07/29 2 $8,721,250 -13% 4,075 $2,140   $18,746,467 2
2017/07/30 2 $5,785,456 -34% 4,075 $1,420   $24,531,923 3
2017/07/31 2 $2,833,289 -51% 4,075 $695   $27,365,212 4
2017/08/01 2 $4,156,652 +47% 4,075 $1,020   $31,521,864 5
2017/08/02 2 $2,821,634 -32% 4,075 $692   $34,343,498 6
2017/08/03 2 $2,758,206 -2% 4,075 $677   $37,101,704 7

 

Even going very conservative, can't see EMOJI at less than 11m over the weekend:

3.6 (+30%)

4.5 (+25%)

2.9 (-35%)

= 11 (-55%)

 

But it's more likely to do 12-13 for 49-50 cume, which will be 2x+ multiplier already.

I think 80 dom (3.26x multi) is gonna happen.

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Look at HOMECOMING's steady run after the 2nd weekend (so last 21 days):

 

2017/07/17 2 $5,455,599 -58% 4,348 $1,255   $212,731,123 11
2017/07/18 1 $7,536,245 +38% 4,348 $1,733   $220,267,368 12
2017/07/19 1 $4,967,279 -34% 4,348 $1,142   $225,234,647 13
2017/07/20 1 $4,466,934 -10% 4,348 $1,027   $229,701,581 14
2017/07/21 4 $6,367,940 +43% 4,130 $1,542   $236,069,521 15
2017/07/22 3 $8,931,625 +40% 4,130 $2,163   $245,001,146 16
2017/07/23 3 $6,850,520 -23% 4,130 $1,659   $251,851,666 17
2017/07/24 3 $3,361,636 -51% 4,130 $814   $255,213,302 18
2017/07/25 3 $4,130,653 +23% 4,130 $1,000   $259,343,955 19
2017/07/26 3 $2,787,501 -33% 4,130 $675   $262,131,456 20
2017/07/27 3 $2,775,349 n/c 4,130 $672   $264,906,805 21
2017/07/28 5 $3,978,954 +43% 3,625 $1,098   $268,885,759 22
2017/07/29 5 $5,475,665 +38% 3,625 $1,511   $274,361,424 23
2017/07/30 5 $3,806,753 -30% 3,625 $1,050   $278,168,177 24
2017/07/31 4 $1,823,408 -52% 3,625 $503   $279,991,585 25
2017/08/01 5 $2,474,800 +36% 3,625 $683   $282,466,385 26
2017/08/02 4 $1,860,586 -25% 3,625 $513   $284,326,971 27
2017/08/03 4 $1,780,805 -4% 3,625 $491   $286,107,776 28

 

8.4-8.9 over the weekend (33-37% drop) will give it 294.5-295 cume.

Edited by a2knet
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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Audience scores:

 

Wind River: 87%
Detroit: 75%

Dark Tower: 64%

Kidnap: 57%

I'm curious what the expansion plan is for Wind River (if there is one planned considering Harvey probably has no money now). Nothing showing up on any of the arthouse theater schedules down here.

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3 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Pretty bad for Detroit. Questionable legs perhaps?

I don't expect strong legs simply because its showtimes are going to get slashed at a lot of theaters next week.

 

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

I'm curious what the expansion plan is for Wind River (if there is one planned considering Harvey probably has no money now). Nothing showing up on any of the arthouse theater schedules down here.

It's expanding August 18th to an arthouse theater not far from me, though they normally get films before they go wide.

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