Zakiyyah6 Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Of course I knew my 63mil prediction wasn't happening after it only did 4 mil late night. It will be interesting to see if the early numbers go up or down. I liked the film but I don't know how regular people are going to take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Variety “Blade Runner 2049” is heading for a respectable $45 million opening weekend at 4,058 North American sites, early estimates showed on Friday. THR Denis Villeneuve's ambitious sci-fi sequel Blade Runner 2049 is winning the Friday box-office race in North America for a projected weekend debut in the $43 million-$45 million range, according to early returns. That would be on par with another long-gestating sequel, Mad Max: Fury Road, which debuted to $45.4 million in May 2015, but behind such October releases as record-holder Gravity ($55.8 million) and The Martian ($54.3 million). Playing in 4,058 locations, Blade Runner's projected Friday haul of $17 million-$18 will include $4 million in Thursday evening previews. (Imax theaters turned in $800,000 of the $4 million.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 (edited) There's no reason this will go down from estimates. It's received very well, unlike Kingsman and Ninjago Edited October 6, 2017 by Alli Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Just now, Alli said: There's no reason this will go down from estimates. It's received very well, unlike Kingsman and Ninjago Yeah it has a good chance of settling between 17-18...maybe 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 38 minutes ago, a2knet said: With 2.6 Friday IT is looking at 9m and not 10m imo..... 2.6 + 4.1 (+58%) + 2.3 (-44%) = 9 Probably hoping for bigger Sundays with Monday being a federal holiday in the US (although not one like Labor Day where everyone gets the day off - it's probably more like 50-60%, although it also tends to be Fall Break at a lot of colleges)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Alli said: There's no reason this will go down from estimates. It's received very well, unlike Kingsman and Ninjago I wouldn't say that...the striking 70-30% male/female breakdown doesn't bode as well for upticks - you're missing the other 2 demos, and there are so many male-focused movies that are good in the theaters right now, and most of them aren't sequels... Edited October 6, 2017 by TwoMisfits 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Probably hoping for bigger Sundays with Monday being a federal holiday in the US (although not one like Labor Day where everyone gets the day off - it's probably more like 50-60%, although it also tends to be Fall Break at a lot of colleges)... Yeah in that case could creep in higher. (35% Sun drop will give it 9.4 using a 58% Sat bump and 2.6 Fri) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 (edited) Sometimes preview to OW multipliers workout differently. Dunkirk, an original did 5.5=>50.51 = 9.2x ... while a tri-quel in War of Apes did 5.0=>56.26 = 11.25x. I think that was in part due to IMAX front-loading but the numbers still surprised me. BR49 though is outside summer and it should not do less than 11x, or 44 ow imo. Else it's not good for much more than 2.9-3x overall multi (130 dom). 12x for 48 ow would be very healthy. Edited October 6, 2017 by a2knet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, a2knet said: Sometimes preview to OW multipliers workout differently. Dunkirk, an original did 5.5=>50.51 = 9.2x ... while a tri-quel in War of Apes did 5.0=>56.26 = 11.25x. I think that was in part due to IMAX front-loading but the numbers still surprised me. BR49 though is outside summer and it should not do less than 11x, or 44 ow imo. Else it's not good for much more than 2.9-3x overall multi (130 dom). 12x for 48 ow would be very healthy. Nolan's name is like a sequel. His power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 If Pony does 12-13m ow then it could have better legs than Lost Village (13 ow / 45 dom) not being a sequel and could come close to 50 dom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Pretty good for Mountain, i must say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, MrPink said: Nolan's name is like a sequel. His power what would be really front-loaded is a film called Nolan, directed by Nolan. And then Nolan Returns would do 1.5x. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 26 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Probably hoping for bigger Sundays with Monday being a federal holiday in the US (although not one like Labor Day where everyone gets the day off - it's probably more like 50-60%, although it also tends to be Fall Break at a lot of colleges)... Thanks for the reminder. I forgot that I have Monday off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Just got out of AM. It was alright, a little long. But holy FUCK people need to shut up. I had to tell a group of seniors behind me to shut up like 10 minutes before the movie ended and they were so APPALLED that I told them to be quite. Ughhhhh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 With 18m, I can easily see it doing 47-48m with how old it's audience seems to be. 76% over 25, this should go even higher over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 (edited) 8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Just got out of AM. It was alright, a little long. But holy FUCK people need to shut up. I had to tell a group of seniors behind me to shut up like 10 minutes before the movie ended and they were so APPALLED that I told them to be quite. Ughhhhh I hate when that happens. Insidious 2 is still one of my worst theater experiences precisely because some teenager girls standing close to me, wouldn't shut-up for the first thirty minutes. It's beyond obnoxious. Edited October 6, 2017 by Fancyarcher 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Reading the old topic, early estimates had "The Martian" at 17m-18m as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Poseidon said: Reading the old topic, early estimates had "The Martian" at 17m-18m as well. yeah it did 18.1 od and 54+ ow. though the od split was 2.5 + 15.6. if br49 does 18 od then the split is 4 + 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I had to tell a group of seniors behind me to shut up like 10 minutes before the movie ended and they were so APPALLED that I told them to be quite. Ughhhhh Seniors are terrible. I hate confrontation, but I've learned the hard way it's best to shut them down right at the start. Lincoln, Side Effects and Inside Llewyn Davis were the worst ones. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 (edited) I fortunately haven't had a bad theater experience in a long time. The last time I remember is right when TDKR released and a work acquaintance was texting constantly. Didn't know him well and he was higher up, so didn't say much. But could here the click click typing noise throughout right in my ears. Add to that talking through the mask and I barely understood Bane. edit: he was using a blackberry so no touchscreen. that's why the clicking noise. not to mention the distracting screen light in peripheral vision. no wonder I too gave it only a B+. Edited October 6, 2017 by a2knet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
