a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 MARTIAN Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days 2015/10/02 1 $18,145,681 3,831 $4,737 $18,145,681 1 2015/10/03 1 $22,251,765 +23% 3,831 $5,808 $40,397,446 2 2015/10/04 1 $13,911,129 -37% 3,831 $3,631 $54,308,575 3 GRAVITY Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days 2013/10/04 1 $17,484,818 3,575 $4,891 $17,484,818 1 2013/10/05 1 $23,001,353 +32% 3,575 $6,434 $40,486,171 2 2013/10/06 1 $15,298,941 -33% 3,575 $4,279 $55,785,112 3 Now FURY ROAD was summer. So Friday and Sunday both were stronger than normal due to no schools. Hence the 'bad' Sat hold from Friday and great Sun hold. So going by release date this is not a good comp. But going by genre it is, so posting it. FURY ROAD Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days 2015/05/15 2 $16,611,428 3,702 $4,487 $16,611,428 1 2015/05/16 3 $16,145,936 -3% 3,702 $4,361 $32,757,364 2 2015/05/17 2 $12,670,764 -22% 3,702 $3,423 $45,428,128 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 So 45-50m OW for Blade Runner good opening. Hoping for a multiplier of 3.5-4x to pass domestically the bunch of films in the 175m range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 I’m not that bullish on Blade Runner as some people are. Outside of the internet geek realm, the original/previous BR evokes far more “never heard of it” or “haven’t seen it” responses than it does “loved it” responses. Also, Gosling still has not proven he can open a movie to huge numbers despite being around for over a decade. Granted, the film’s strong reviews will undoubtedly help draw out more adults, which it is going to need as this is not a sci fi film with strong youth appeal like GotG. It’s running time also doesn’t help. I’m guessing somewhere around $45M for the weekend. I will be surprised if it exceeds $50M. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 8 hours ago, aabattery said: It's actually only two hours and forty-four minutes long. Provided you get there for a good seat and watch 20min of commercials you're easily in the seat for 3hours. Running time will not be an issue to its' success, or lack thereof. If the film is good, people will show up. I know this was in response to someone saying they have a focused attention issue. I'm only saying it is indeed 3hrs in the same seat(provided one doesn't have a bladder issue). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 We are here, 35 Years in the Making. Will the Nostalgia Bump and Great Reviews help "Blade Runner: 2049" ala (Force Awakens, Jurassic World, Beauty and the Beast, It)? It is true that they spent a lot to capture the feel the original but you have to judge this based on the franchise itself more so than other comparative franchise. Obviously its looking to do better than "Covenant" from the Summer and hopefully as good as "Fury Road". The Original Adjusts to about 93 Million (Made 32 Million in 1982 off about 1,200 screens and 6 Million OW) It also wasn't on the Big Screen very long as it wasn't doing well at the box office. Obviously it's done well on home video and television in the last 3 Decades. So "Blade Runner" has never been that "Blockbuster" Type of Sci-Fi franchise. Though it's a crown jewel in Phillp K Dick's treasure of stories. It came out sandwiched between "Empire", "E.T." and "Jedi" in the Early 80's along with Harrison Blowing up from Indy. It's amazing that it still found it's own road amongst them though More of a Cult Franchise. Yes it's status in the last 30 years has risen and it's one of the most influential films of all time in Sci-Fi. But My expectations this weekend for "2049" are guarded. As soon as I saw the running time I knew this was about honoring the franchise and not necessarily making the typical sci-fi Blockbuster. It also has a R rating which is again faithful to the original. I'm do feel internationally will do well because the original didn't get to travel that far theatrically. 4 Million Mid-Nights is pretty good. The last two Sci-Fi October Surprises were "Gravity" and "The Martian". So those are good comparisons though both were PG13. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Just now, LonePirate said: I’m not that bullish on Blade Runner as some people are. Outside of the internet geek realm, the original/previous BR evokes far more “never heard of it” or “haven’t seen it” responses than it does “loved it” responses. Also, Gosling still has not proven he can open a movie to huge numbers despite being around for over a decade. Granted, the film’s strong reviews will undoubtedly help draw out more adults, which it is going to need as this is not a sci fi film with strong youth appeal like GotG. It’s running time also doesn’t help. I’m guessing somewhere around $45M for the weekend. I will be surprised if it exceeds $50M. me too. and i don't expect the big multipliers that dunkirk (3.75x+), fury road (3.4x+), gravity (4.9x+) and martian (4.1x+) pulled off. 3.25x max imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 At my theater, the first MBU showing sold 66 tickets, which is more than the first three Blade Runners have sold combined (34/14/9) (Note that the last two were 3D and the one with 9 tickets starts in 6 minutes) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 That seems really solid for Blade Runner, especially considering it pretty much has October to itself 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlborn Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 27 minutes ago, Captain Craig said: Provided you get there for a good seat and watch 20min of commercials you're easily in the seat for 3hours. Running time will not be an issue to its' success, or lack thereof. If the film is good, people will show up. I know this was in response to someone saying they have a focused attention issue. I'm only saying it is indeed 3hrs in the same seat(provided one doesn't have a bladder issue). That's gonna be a bit of a problem for me. Still, I've watched plenty of 3hrs movies at the cinema before, it's not a big issue even for those of us with a tiny bladder who are used to having to take a bathroom break during those long movies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 21 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: At my theater, the first MBU showing sold 66 tickets, which is more than the first three Blade Runners have sold combined (34/14/9) (Note that the last two were 3D and the one with 9 tickets starts in 6 minutes) I'll be surprised if the demographic breakdown for The Mountain Between Us isn't 90% over 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 When I see a movie I usually bolt right as the credits roll so if a movie is 2:15 with credits, for me it's really only say 2:08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Without trailers and however long I sit there beforehand, my two movies total will be a total runtime of about 260 minutes. There's a 10 minute break from when AM ends to BR's showtime, so that's essentially my intermission. Add in 40 minutes of trailers for both movies, and that's 5+ hours in the theater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Approximately how many joints do you think Harrison smoked before doing this interview? I'm going with 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Approximately how many joints do you think Harrison smoked before doing this interview? I'm going with 3. Indiana Stoned 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Very curious about BR 2049 is gonna performed this week end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 16 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Approximately how many joints do you think Harrison smoked before doing this interview? I'm going with 3. I've always been envious of people who can smoke and casually interact with others, which includes virtually everybody I know. When I smoke, I become the most self-conscious man in the world. Whenever I do have a stoned conversation, my only thoughts are: "How stupid do I sound? How red are my eyes? Jesus, I must seem high. Why am I not in my room listening to music?" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Oct 20 TCs: http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-happy-death-day-thanksgiving-updates/ Geostorm: 3,000 Only the Brave: 2,900 The Snowman: 2,800 TYLER PERRY'S BOO 2! A MADEA HALLOWEEN: 2,400 Same Kind of Different: 2,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Previews + True Fri = OD for Martian and Gravity was, 2.5 + 15.645 = 18.145 (7.26x the preivews) 1.4 + 16.085 = 17.485 (12.5x the previews) To have a 50m+ ow, BR49 would need a 16m True Friday for a 20m OD (5x the preivews) IMO. Then with a 20-25% Sat bump from True Friday I can see something like, 4 + 16 + 19.2 (+20%) + 11.8 (-38.5%) = 51.0m ow 4 + 16 + 20.0 (+25%) + 12.5 (-37.5%) = 52.5m ow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 Geostorm: 3,000 Only the Brave: 2,900 The Snowman: 2,800 TYLER PERRY'S BOO 2! A MADEA HALLOWEEN: 2,400 Same Kind of Different: 2,000 Holdovers are going lose a ton of theaters that weekened lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 6, 2017 Share Posted October 6, 2017 21 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Oct 20 TCs: http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-happy-death-day-thanksgiving-updates/ Geostorm: 3,000 Only the Brave: 2,900 The Snowman: 2,800 TYLER PERRY'S BOO 2! A MADEA HALLOWEEN: 2,400 Same Kind of Different: 2,000 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
