Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - Coco 26.11M, JL 16.58M, Wonder 12.5M, T:R 9.65M, MOTOE 6.7M, LB 4.54M, 3BOEM 4.53M, TDA 1.22M

[Brainiac5]

10 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Multipliers after 3 weekends [final multi] :

FB 183.09/74.40 = 2.46x [3.15x]

MJ2 227.37/102.67 = 2.21x [2.74x]

JL 197.41/93.84 = 2.10x

So JL should end with about a 2.6x(243dom)

 

Edit:If JL can manage better holds than MJ2 from here on out If May have a chance at 250dom.

Edited December 4, 2017 by Brainiac5

[cannastop]

Just now, a2knet said:

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
2017/11/24	1	$50,802,605		3,987	$12,742	$72,908,930	1
2017/12/01	1	$27,533,304	-46%	3,987	$6,906	$110,108,708	2

 

2017/12/01	1	$6,284,319	+208%	3,987	$1,576	$88,859,723	10
2017/12/02	1	$11,867,693	+89%	3,987	$2,977	$100,727,416	11
2017/12/03	1	$9,381,292	-21%	3,987	$2,353	$110,108,708	12

                               

For whatever reason, Coco keeps on having amazing Sunday drops.

 

Moana had $8,766,289 on its second Sunday, for comparison.

[a2k]

Just now, cannastop said:

For whatever reason, Coco keeps on having amazing Sunday drops.

 

Moana had $8,766,289 on its second Sunday, for comparison.

Guessing the Hispanic portion of it's audience might be coming out on Sunday.

[druv10]

13 minutes ago, Finnick said:

THOR ALSO UP WITH $9.89M, Down just 41%. IW TRAILER HELPED WELL.

 

Great, 300M by Saturday or Sunday. Phenomenal year for Marvel both critically and commercially!!!

[Rumpot]

19 minutes ago, Finnick said:

COCO $27.53M UP, DOWN JUST 46% From last week, YEEEEES

COCO SUNDAY IS A BIG $9.38M, 30% Off from last SUNDAY, BIG HOLD AHEAD NEXT WEEK!!

 

Awesome!

[KeepItU25071906]

9 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Thor with a 41.3% drop from last weekend. Must have gotten a great bump from the IW trailer. Passed Man of Steel domestically this weekend

Taika power

[RamblinRed]

Another amazing Sunday hold for Coco - just a 21% drop. 

Something to watch going forward as it has been suggested there is a larger Latino turnout on Sundays. If so Coco is likely to be underestimated for the rest of its run due to models assigning a larger Sunday drop based on history than is likely to occur.

If it has another sub 30 drop next weekend I will believe it completely.

 

Last year Moana dropped just 34% the weekend of the 10th and that was with Office Christmas Party opening. Could Coco go sub 30 drop for the weekend?

 

 

[MikeQ]

2nd Weekend (Post-Thanksgiving Weekend) Drops:

 

Coco: -45.8%
Moana: -50.1%
Frozen: -53.1%
Tangled: -55.7%

 

Obviously a great drop this weekend (a barren weekend) doesn't mean it will necessarily keep doing really well over December, but this is definitely a great start for Coco. It could leg out a nice run over the holidays, and the 21 minute Frozen short is being removed this Friday.

 

Peace,

Mike

[a2k]

MOANA added 129m more to it's cume after a 28.3m weekend (-50%). How much can COCO add after 27.5m (-46%)?

Worth keeping in mind that COCO beat MOANA's Mon-Thu/weekday cume.  And it's trending better after a much smaller 73m 5-day vs 82m 5-day.

 

I think it will add minimum 125m, which will take it to 235m dom. But 140m more for 250m dom is well possible too (50-50 shot I guess). It has a very good chance of beating JL's dom. ZOOTP over BVS and COCO over JL (both dom and WW).

[seduh]

grat coco drop! i hope for an under 30% drop this weekend. 

[a2k]

47 minutes ago, YourMother said:

It’s theater economics. Studios have contracts. With 9+ wide releases during the holidays and theaters probably keeping Coco due to Disney. JL will lose half of its theaters like Beast did over the holidays.

my layman opinion is that movies are opening with a bigger and bigger tc, while loosing a portion of it sooner than ever. which maybe we should take into account when guessing legs these days. the 3rd weekend drops have been bigger than expected off late imo.

[Sam]

To honor Coco finally passing the $100M milestone (really, someone was worried), I did a little math. 

 

197.4 > 291.6 + 110.1 

or,

197.4 > 401.7

 

Doesn’t seem right, it must not be what @SteveJarosmeans, I figured maybe he meant JLx2 > Ragnarok + Coco. 

 

So I plugged that in and I got 

 

394.8 > 401.7

 

Hmm, still doesn’t seem right. I think I’m gonna need his help to make sense of the math. 

 

 

Edited December 4, 2017 by Sam

[a2k]

27-34.5% drop next weekend will give COCO 18-20m. 20m would be an amazing number to hit next weekend.

[EmpireCity]

43 minutes ago, mredman said:

so all old releases got ya

 

No, not all old releases.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Sam said:

To honor Coco finally passing the $100M milestone (really, [/i]someone[/i] was worried), I did a little math. 

 

197.4 > 291.6 + 110.1 

or,

197.4 > 401.7

 

Doesn’t seem right, it must not be what @SteveJarosmeans, I figured maybe he meant JLx2 > Ragnarok + Coco. 

 

So I plugged that in and I got 

 

394.8 > 401.7

 

Hmm, still doesn’t seem right. I think I’m gonna need his help to make sense of the math. 

 

 

see the intent is : latest cbm of studio A > latest cbm of studio B + latest animation of studio B.

so maybe what he meant was, thor3 > jl + ninjago

Edited December 4, 2017 by a2knet

[Eric Lasagna]

22 minutes ago, cannastop said:

For whatever reason, Coco keeps on having amazing Sunday drops.

 

Moana had $8,766,289 on its second Sunday, for comparison.

Using other Hispanic movies as comps:

 

-Instructions Not Included biggest sunday drop was only around 30%, with it usually either dropping in the single digits or even increasing from Saturday.

 

-How to Be A Latin Lover's biggest Sunday drop was 21%. It almost always increased from Saturday or only dropped in the single digits.

 

-Un Gallo con Muchos Huevos always had a Sunday increase from Saturday.

 

For whatever reason, movies targeting Hispanic crowds have great Sunday holds.

[That One Girl]

11 minutes ago, Sam said:

To honor Coco finally passing the $100M milestone (really, someone was worried), I did a little math. 

 

197.4 > 291.6 + 110.1 

or,

197.4 > 401.7

 

Doesn’t seem right, it must not be what @SteveJarosmeans, I figured maybe he meant JLx2 > Ragnarok + Coco. 

 

So I plugged that in and I got 

 

394.8 > 401.7

 

Hmm, still doesn’t seem right. I think I’m gonna need his help to make sense of the math. 

 

 

 

He's counting on people to refund all their Thor and Coco tickets

[mredman]

13 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

No, not all old releases.

most then

[filmlover]

19 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

No, not all old releases.

[That One Girl]

Bow down, bitches