Wednesday #s: TLJ 16.9M, Jumanji 7.2M, Greatest Snowman 2.45M

[Lancelot Gold]

Would you call me crazy if I said it could remain even or drop by up to 10% and still insist that it's legs will take it above 680m? 

[redfirebird2008]

4 minutes ago, lancelot123 said:

Would you call me crazy if I said it could remain even or drop by up to 10% and still insist that it's legs will take it above 680m? 

 

No, I would not call you crazy. We still gotta see how things go next week.

[Brainbug]

I cant wait for the hyperbole if it does 65-75M this weekend.

[Taruseth]

12 minutes ago, lancelot123 said:

Would you call me crazy if I said it could remain even or drop by up to 10% and still insist that it's legs will take it above 680m? 

What do you expect it to gross this weekend, the following weekdays and the new years weekend?

 

Because if it drops 10% today it would gross 15.2Mio$ today, that seems really awfully low and would be 1.57Mio$ below Rogue One's first Thursday and that film made roughly 310Mio more.

With that Thursday the full week would be 293.9Mio$ adding the 310Mio$ would be 603.9$.

So despite dropping from 1.38x Rogue One's first Sunday to 0.9 of it's first Sunday it would need to gross 1,245 times of the Rest of it run.

 

That seems a bit to unlikely.

 

With staying Flat it would be basically even with Rogue One's Thursday and even that would need really good weekdays next weekend but applying the same multiplactor (roughly 4.5 times the thursday for the following four days) would already make a difference of 8 Mio$ during the weekend so I think would leave at least the possibility to happen.

Edited December 21, 2017 by Taruseth

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I cant wait for the hyperbole if it does 65-75M this weekend.

C'mon, 65m would be outright bad. 75m would be OK, but still wouldn't make 700 a lock. 

[Brainbug]

Deadline beeing ridiciously early:

 

Thursday 2PM: More K-12 schools are out today than yesterday (39% vs. 24%) and colleges too (82% to 78%). The midweek’s offerings Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and The Greatest Showman are largely staying steady in daily industry figures but Disney’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi is still taking in the majority of the day’s business. Disney reported $16.9M yesterday and today the Rian Johnson-directed Episode VIII is seeing around $17.5M which would get the movie to $296.3M.

 

Sony called Wednesday for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle at $7.2M and the Dwayne Johnson-Kevin Hart-Jack Black-Karen Gillan movie looks to be around $6.4M today. Including Amazon Prime sneaks, the running gross for Jumanji is $15.5M.

 

20th Century Fox/Chernin Ent’s The Greatest Showman is looking at $2.1M which brings its two day total to $4.6M.

Tonight, Universal’s Pitch Perfect 3 and Paramount’s Downsizing will hold previews starting at 7PM.

[cannastop]

9 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I cant wait for the hyperbole if it does 65-75M this weekend.

Hyperbole in which direction?

[Brainbug]

Just now, cannastop said:

Hyperbole in which direction?

 

That it would be a total flop for not topping 100M in its 2nd weekend.

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Deadline beeing ridiciously early:

 

Thursday 2PM: More K-12 schools are out today than yesterday (39% vs. 24%) and colleges too (82% to 78%). The midweek’s offerings Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and The Greatest Showman are largely staying steady in daily industry figures but Disney’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi is still taking in the majority of the day’s business. Disney reported $16.9M yesterday and today the Rian Johnson-directed Episode VIII is seeing around $17.5M which would get the movie to $296.3M.

 

Sony called Wednesday for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle at $7.2M and the Dwayne Johnson-Kevin Hart-Jack Black-Karen Gillan movie looks to be around $6.4M today. Including Amazon Prime sneaks, the running gross for Jumanji is $15.5M.

 

20th Century Fox/Chernin Ent’s The Greatest Showman is looking at $2.1M which brings its two day total to $4.6M.

Tonight, Universal’s Pitch Perfect 3 and Paramount’s Downsizing will hold previews starting at 7PM.

lol, while they are at it i wanna know jw2's ow.

17.5 would be a 3.55% jump for sw8. doesn't seem right.

most would guess 10-15% bump (18.6-19.4)

Edited December 21, 2017 by a2knet

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, Brainbug said:

Deadline beeing ridiciously early:

 

Thursday 2PM: Disney’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi is still taking in the majority of the day’s business. Disney reported $16.9M yesterday and today the Rian Johnson-directed Episode VIII is seeing around $17.5M which would get the movie to $296.3M.

 

 

The Last Jedi Rises! 

[mredman]

42 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Daily Domestic Chart for Wednesday December 20th, 2017

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$16,889,863	-17%	4,232	$3,991	$278,710,009	6
2	new	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony Pictures	$7,208,112		3,765	$1,915	$7,208,112	1
3	new	The Greatest Showman	20th Century Fox	$2,451,071		3,006	$815	$2,451,071	1
4	(2)	Ferdinand	20th Century Fox	$1,382,597	-23%	3,621	$382	$17,794,594	6
5	(3)	Coco	Walt Disney	$1,191,797	-30%	3,155	$378	$154,806,361	29
6	(4)	Wonder	Lionsgate	$860,464	-29%	3,047	$282	$112,025,604	34
7	(8)	The Disaster Artist	A24	$431,639	-21%	1,010	$427	$14,452,141	20
8	(10)	The Star	Sony Pictures	$412,591	-18%	1,491	$277	$36,588,180	34
9	(5)	Justice League	Warner Bros.	$406,036	-45%	2,208	$184	$221,258,600	34
10	(7)	Thor: Ragnarok	Walt Disney	$383,763	-36%	1,895	$203	$307,950,094	48
11	(6)	Daddy’s Home 2	Paramount Pictures	$337,933	-45%	2,493	$136	$98,004,239	41
12	(11)	Lady Bird	A24	$310,964	-22%	947	$328	$27,005,402	48
13	(9)	Murder on the Orient Express	20th Century Fox	$263,377	-50%	1,200	$219	$98,500,838	41
14	(13)	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	$238,223	-13%	158	$1,508	$4,352,413	20
-	(12)	Three Billboards Outside Eb…	Fox Searchlight	$203,428	-26%	707	$288	$22,037,333	41
-	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$132,410	-3%	84	$1,576	$2,723,082	29
-	(14)	A Bad Moms Christmas	STX Entertainment	$108,005	-54%	1,038	$104	$71,285,748	50
-	(-)	Roman J. Israel, Esq.	Sony Pictures	$13,297	-50%	173	$77	$11,792,021	34
-	(-)	Blade Runner 2049	Warner Bros.	$10,608	-57%	100	$106	$91,513,281	76
-	(-)	Geostorm	Warner Bros.	$9,864	-11%	165	$60	$33,414,282	62
-	(-)	Jigsaw	Lionsgate	$9,546	-43%	181	$53	$38,042,700	55
-	(-)	Despicable Me 3	Universal	$8,540	+58%	109	$78	$264,616,370	174
-	(-)	The Florida Project	A24	$8,050	-22%	66	$122	$5,156,748	76
-	(-)	The Foreigner	STX Entertainment	$4,973	-15%	93	$53	$34,388,075	69
-	(-)	Kingsman: The Golden Circle	20th Century Fox	$4,684	-3%	92	$51	$100,193,920	90
-	(-)	The Mountain Between Us	20th Century Fox	$3,975	-44%	112	$35	$30,343,608	76
-	(-)	Victoria and Abdul	Focus Features	$3,840	-34%	56	$69	$22,192,070	90
-	(-)	The Killing of a Sacred Deer	A24	$2,447	-29%	23	$106	$2,282,964	62
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$2,208	-32%	71	$31	$9,434,724	69
-	(-)	Last Flag Flying	Amazon Studios	$841	-51%	18	$47	$964,323	48
-	(-)	Let There Be Light	Atlas Distribution	$583	-56%	32	$18	$7,200,606	55
-	(-)	Same Kind of Different as Me	Pure Flix Entertain…	$131	-58%	7	$19	$6,360,198	62

  The Star beat Justice League yesterday...unbelievable...and it will probably do it again today, before fading off after Dec 25:)...

it beat Thor too and Thor has also been ahead of Star. So why single out only JL

[Lordmandeep]

Just now, Valonqar said:

The Last Jedi Rises! 

 

 

That is not a good number and I am not being negative. 

[Brainbug]

Wait isnt it just 6 pm or so in the US? Why is Deadline so early with estimates?

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

C'mon, 65m would be outright bad.

 

It wouldn't be outright bad just looking at the weekend vs. Wednesday numbers in 2006. Pursuit of Happyness weekend was over 5.25 times higher than the Wednesday gross. Eragon was right around 4.0 times higher than the Wednesday gross, but a bunch of others were well under that level.

 

$65m would be 3.85 times higher than Last Jedi's Wednesday gross. That's similar performance to The Holiday in 2006, which had a weekend 3.87 times bigger than Wednesday.

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

 

 

That is not a good number and I am not being negative. 

Oh. 

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, mredman said:

it beat Thor too and Thor has also been ahead of Star. So why single out only JL

 

would you be asking why they only singled out Thor if it were the other way around?  probably not.

Edited December 21, 2017 by That One Guy

[REC]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

That is not a good number and I am not being negative. 

There's no harm in admitting that is a lukewarm number.

[redfirebird2008]

4 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Deadline beeing ridiciously early:

 

Thursday 2PM: More K-12 schools are out today than yesterday (39% vs. 24%) and colleges too (82% to 78%). The midweek’s offerings Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and The Greatest Showman are largely staying steady in daily industry figures but Disney’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi is still taking in the majority of the day’s business. Disney reported $16.9M yesterday and today the Rian Johnson-directed Episode VIII is seeing around $17.5M which would get the movie to $296.3M.

 

Sony called Wednesday for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle at $7.2M and the Dwayne Johnson-Kevin Hart-Jack Black-Karen Gillan movie looks to be around $6.4M today. Including Amazon Prime sneaks, the running gross for Jumanji is $15.5M.

 

20th Century Fox/Chernin Ent’s The Greatest Showman is looking at $2.1M which brings its two day total to $4.6M.

Tonight, Universal’s Pitch Perfect 3 and Paramount’s Downsizing will hold previews starting at 7PM.

 

FWIW they posted around the same time yesterday and the numbers turned out pretty accurate. They said 17-17.5 for Wednesday and it turned out to be 16.9 in the end. They said "over 20" on Monday and it was 21.55 in the end. They have been pretty good this week on that front with the super early numbers. Gotta give them credit when it's due, haha.

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

It wouldn't be outright bad just looking at the weekend vs. Wednesday numbers in 2006. Pursuit of Happyness weekend was over 5.25 times higher than the Wednesday gross. Eragon was right around 4.0 times higher than the Wednesday gross, but a bunch of others were well under that level.

 

$65m would be 3.85 times higher than Last Jedi's Wednesday gross. That's similar performance to The Holiday in 2006, which had a weekend 3.87 times bigger than Wednesday.

65m this weekend would barely put it on track for a 3x multi, and that's assuming it does at least 65m the following weekend. Don't know how that's particularly good. 

Edited December 21, 2017 by MovieMan89

[filmnerdjamie]

Just now, Brainbug said:

 

That it would be a total flop for not topping 100M in its 2nd weekend.

I mean... it's not going to do $100M+ for its 3 day (thanks in part to Sunday being Christmas Eve), and that's fine. One should only be concerned if it does sub-$100M for its 4-day.