4-day Weekend Thread: 5-day numbers per BOM - TLJ 99.0M, J:WTTJ 55.4M, PP3 26.4M, TGS 14.4M, F 10.1M, C 8.2M, D 7.7M and an incredible $5,480,000 for Father Figures

[Rumpot]

The "I told you so!" round trips on this thread are great

[grim22]

Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

Let’s hope for a 10% increase for $30m Tuesday. 

It will sell more tickets today for sure thanks to Cheap Tuesday, an increase depends on if the lowered ticket rate can overcome the much higher sales needed.

 

I think it can do well on Wednesday as fans come out to pay their respects to Carrie Fisher on the anniversary of her death.

[scabab]

Actuals dropping even lower than Estimates.

 

$700 million becomes that much more impossible. Didn't Deadline say it would be at $418 million by Monday?

[MCKillswitch123]

Jumanji posted freaking 20M on Christmas Day.

 

For TLJ to only do 7M more..... I don't know whether to laugh or cry at that.

[grim22]

3 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

It will be the 1st fantasy film to win BP since LOTR finale.....

 

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

@titanic2187 has been threadbanned for 24 hours for posting NSFW content without a spoiler tag and a warning.

 

[a2k]

Tough to think much higher than 660 right now imo. This even looks a bit optimistic:

 

367.1 cume till Sunday (using Asgard Sunday of 17.4 vs Deadline's 17.9)

27.5 M

28.5 T

19.5 W

18.5 Th

21.0 F

25.0 S

16.5 Su

19.0 M // 81.5 4-day

= 542.6 cume (367.1 + 175.5)

 

RO added 91 more after a 66 4-day. Same gives SW8 112.4 more for 542.6+112.4 =  655 dom

[Poseidon]

4 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Jumanji won't have the January holds NATM did I feel. Still it will make over 200m which is fantastic

It probably will be coming from a $40m WE, standing at $175m on Jan 1st...it doesn't need great holds from here. With MLK being the next holiday and giving it a soft drop, it's hard to not do it from here with that kind of reception.

[JB33]

5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Let’s hope for a 10% increase for $30m Tuesday. 

I'm expecting a decrease. The bar with this movie seems to keep going lower, even though we're dealing with large numbers on the whole (feel like I have to keep putting that disclaimer so I don't get jumped or lectured at).

[Ezen Baklattan]

That seems soft for ATMITW - a smaller PTA than most of the art house films, which, sure, were in less theatres, but will stay afloat more during the week.

[John Marston]

that's a poor Christmas increase for LJ. 700m is dead  I think  700m overseas is not guaranteed as well so beating Beauty worldwide will be touch and go

[IronJimbo]

8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

 

Give Titanic a slap on the wrist.. perception of time must be off today thats all

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Tough to think much higher than 660 right now imo. This even looks a bit optimistic:

 

367.1 cume till Sunday (using Asgard Sunday of 17.4 vs Deadline's 17.9)

27.5 M

28.5 T

19.5 W

18.5 Th

21.0 F

25.0 S

16.5 Su

19.0 M // 81.5 4-day

= 542.6 cume (367.1 + 175.5)

 

RO added 91 more after a 66 4-day. Same gives SW8 112.4 more for 542.6+112.4 =  655 dom

 

JW’s 652 requires grossing 20% more than Rogue One the rest of the way. Very hard considering Christmas Day was around 6% ahead of Rogue One’s Christmas Day gross. 

 

In the end we could be looking at a neck and neck race between Last Jedi and Avengers 1. 

[cannastop]

10 hours ago, Porthos said:

I'll say this much.  TLJ's box office run sure isn't boring!

[That One Girl]

Seeing Molly’s Game tonight!  Sorkin better give me the goods

[JB33]

14 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

The "I told you so!" round trips on this thread are great

I'm usually above that kind of stuff but I'll admit it's a bit of vindication after several posters tried to make us feel stupid for seeing the writing on the wall last week.

 

"Grab a calendar, stupid!" Yeah, nice one.

Edited December 26, 2017 by JB33

[Lordmandeep]

Sub 650 for TLJ would be a disappointment based on expectations. 

 

 

No excuse based on such an insane opening and this time of the year.

 

 

[a2k]

Considering how Christmas works, movies can put decent totals with small but very consistent daily numbers. For eg: Passengers, on it's way to 100m (well...) had only 2 days north of 6.0m (days 5 and 6 hit 7.5m) :

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=passengers2016.htm

 

So Jumanji could have well done 150 dom with 0 days going north of 11m using Passengers trending. But 3 out of 6 days have crossed that mark. Tuesday will too, along with a couple more days at least till New Years Monday.

[WrathOfHan]

Money:

 

1.9M (-25%)

1.4M (-25%)
1.4M (-)

 

1.9M (+35%)

2.5M (+30%)

1.7M (-30%)

6.1M Weekend

[grim22]

 

[DarthPynchon]

2 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Sub 650 for TLJ would be a disappointment based on expectations. 

 

 

No excuse based on such an insane opening and this time of the year.

 

 

One word: competition. 

 

TLJ is facing healthy competition from all 4 quadrants. It will have a hard time breaking away with walk ups.