Weekend Thread - Insidious 29.6M, Jumanji 37.2M, TLJ 23.7M, TGS 13.8M, PP3 10.3

[Eric S'ennui]

1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

Between predicting TLJ would have mixed WOM and a significantly worse multi than RO back on OD, to predicting Jumanji could do NATM numbers several weeks before release, to saying Showman might hit 125m+ last weekend...I must say I'm feeling pretty confident about my bold 2018 predictions right about now. 

If Solo makes less than $300M, I'm gonna go Liam Neeson on your ass.

[a2k]

Industry estimates for the weekend of Jan. 5-7:

1. 1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,801 theaters (+36) / $10.8M Fri (-39%)/3-day: $35.8M (-29%)/Total:$244.1M/ Wk 3
   2. Insidious: The Last Key (UNI), 3,116 theaters (0)/ $12.5M  Fri/3-day: $25M/ Wk 1
   3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 4,232 theaters (0)/ $6.8M Fri (-64%)/3-day: $23.8M (-55%)/Total:$572.8M/ Wk 4
   4. The Greatest Showman  (FOX), 3,342 theaters (+26) / $4.1M Fri (-22%) / 3-day: $14.1M (-9%)/Total: $77.2M/Wk 3
   5. Pitch Perfect 3  (UNI), 3,458 theaters (-10)/ $3.3M  Fri (-50%)/3-day: $10.5M (-37%)/Total: $86.2M/ Wk 3
   6. Ferdinand  (FOX), 3,156 theaters (-181) / $2.3M Fri (-47%) /3-day: $8.9M(-22%)/Total: $71.6M/ Wk 4
   7. Darkest Hour (FOC), 1,733 theaters (+790)/ $1.8M Fri (+6%) /3-day: $6.6M(+20%)/ Total: $28.6M/ Wk 7
   8. Molly’s Game (STX) 1,608 theaters (+1,337)/$2.2M Fri (+200%)/3-day:$6.2M (+165%)/Total: $13.5M/ Wk 2
   9. Coco(DIS), 1,894 theaters (-210) / $1.6 M Fri (-45%)/3-day: $5.7M(-22%)/Total: $192.2M / Wk 7
   10. All The Money in the World (Sony) 2,123 theaters (+49)/ $1M Fri (-40%)/3-day: $3.6M (-34%)/Total: $20.2M/Wk 2
   11. The Shape of Water  (FSL), 804 theaters (+48)  / $789K Fri (-33%) /3-day: $2.7M (-22%)/Total: $21.3M/Wk 6Notables:

       The Post  (FOX/DW), 36 theaters (+27) / $500K  Fri (+192%) /3-day:$1.6M (+182%)/Total: $3.7M/Wk 3

       Phantom Thread  (FOC), 6 theaters (+2) / $64K  Fri (-10%)/3-day:$204K (-6%)/PTA: $34K/Total: $911K/Wk 2
       
       Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool   (SPC), 4 theaters  / $6K  Fri (-45%)/3-day:$22K (-38%)/PTA: $5,3K/Total: $81K/Wk 2

http://deadline.com/2018/01/insidious-the-last-key-last-jedi-jumanji-weekend-box-office-1202236009/

Edited January 6, 2018 by a2knet
UPDATE LAST JEDI NUMBERS

[Eric S'ennui]

Just now, a2knet said:

Industry estimates for the weekend of Jan. 5-7:

1. 1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,801 theaters (+36) / $10.8M Fri (-39%)/3-day: $35.8M (-29%)/Total:$244.1M/ Wk 3
   2. Insidious: The Last Key (UNI), 3,116 theaters (0)/ $12.5M  Fri/3-day: $25M/ Wk 1
   3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 4,232 theaters (0)/ $7M  Fri (-63%)/3-day: $24.5M  (-23%)/Total:$573.4M/ Wk 4
   4. The Greatest Showman  (FOX), 3,342 theaters (+26) / $4.1M Fri (-22%) / 3-day: $14.1M (-9%)/Total: $77.2M/Wk 3
   5. Pitch Perfect 3  (UNI), 3,458 theaters (-10)/ $3.3M  Fri (-50%)/3-day: $10.5M (-37%)/Total: $86.2M/ Wk 3
   6. Ferdinand  (FOX), 3,156 theaters (-181) / $2.3M Fri (-47%) /3-day: $8.9M(-22%)/Total: $71.6M/ Wk 4
   7. Darkest Hour (FOC), 1,733 theaters (+790)/ $1.8M Fri (+6%) /3-day: $6.6M(+20%)/ Total: $28.6M/ Wk 7
   8. Molly’s Game (STX) 1,608 theaters (+1,337)/$2.2M Fri (+200%)/3-day:$6.2M (+165%)/Total: $13.5M/ Wk 2
   9. Coco(DIS), 1,894 theaters (-210) / $1.6 M Fri (-45%)/3-day: $5.7M(-22%)/Total: $192.2M / Wk 7
   10. All The Money in the World (Sony) 2,123 theaters (+49)/ $1M Fri (-40%)/3-day: $3.6M (-34%)/Total: $20.2M/Wk 2
   11. The Shape of Water  (FSL), 804 theaters (+48)  / $789K Fri (-33%) /3-day: $2.7M (-22%)/Total: $21.3M/Wk 6Notables:

       The Post  (FOX/DW), 36 theaters (+27) / $500K  Fri (+192%) /3-day:$1.6M (+182%)/Total: $3.7M/Wk 3

       Phantom Thread  (FOC), 6 theaters (+2) / $64K  Fri (-10%)/3-day:$204K (-6%)/PTA: $34K/Total: $911K/Wk 2
       
       Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool   (SPC), 4 theaters  / $6K  Fri (-45%)/3-day:$22K (-38%)/PTA: $5,3K/Total: $81K/Wk 2

http://deadline.com/2018/01/insidious-the-last-key-last-jedi-jumanji-weekend-box-office-1202236009/

Those sexy holds.

 

[Noctis]

Really disappointed that Jedi didn't have a worse drop. It's already made so much money I want to see meltdowns.

[MovieMan89]

I'm very excited to see what happens with Showman next weekend now. It's a holiday weekend, so a slight increase may not even be out of the bounds of possibility if it stayed almost flat this weekend. It's a long shot, but a scenario where it hits 100m by MLK Monday could be a possibility. 

 

 

Edited January 6, 2018 by MovieMan89

[Ryan Reynolds]

TLJ playing to half empty auditoriums, while Jumanji playing in packed houses 

[La Binoche]

Good for Slaymanji.  I think it's my second favorite movie of 2017 after The Florida Project.  It's not perfect but it's just so damn enjoyable. 

[a2k]

Pitch Perfect 3  (UNI), 3,458 theaters (-10)/ $3.3M  Fri (-50%)/3-day: $10.5M (-37%)/Total: $86.2M/ Wk 3

100 dom would be safe considering post holiday drop off will be blunted by MLK 4-day

 

Ferdinand  (FOX), 3,156 theaters (-181) / $2.3M Fri (-47%) /3-day: $8.9M(-22%)/Total: $71.6M/ Wk 4

Should cross 85 dom and also Alvin3 after a slightly smaller ow.

 

Coco(DIS), 1,894 theaters (-210) / $1.6 M Fri (-45%)/3-day: $5.7M(-22%)/Total: $192.2M / Wk 7

Good shot at beating Ratatouille, 205-210 dom probably 

[aabattery]

If The Post delivers, looks like that 100M record will fall.

 

Thank you, that was The Greatest Pun.

[La Binoche]

The Post  (FOX/DW), 36 theaters (+27) / $500K  Fri (+192%) /3-day:$1.6M (+182%)/Total: $3.7M/Wk 3

 

Huge PTA 

[titanic2187]

5 minutes ago, Noctis said:

Really disappointed that Jedi didn't have a worse drop. It's already made so much money I want to see meltdowns.

It still have the worst drop among top 10, with the only film to drop more than 50%, you can't really drop much if the holiday effect is still on

[EmpireCity]

They left out I, Tonya going to do about $650k or so on Friday and maybe $1.8m for the weekend.  

[La Binoche]

Kinda off topic but I'm watching Sex & The City 2 on TV and it may very well be the worst movie of all time.  I can't look away.  Like a trainwreck with lots and lots of fatalities.  Small children, all dead. 

[a2k]

Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 4,232 theaters (0)/ $6.8M Fri (-64%)/3-day: $23.8M (-55%)/Total:$572.8M/ Wk 4

 

If it follows RO after the weekend it will get 572.8 + 2.5*23.8 = 632+ dom

 

But I think 2.3-2.4x would be more realistic.

Edited January 6, 2018 by a2knet

[Noctis]

I'm happy that PP3 is going to hit $100m. Not interested in watching this one in theaters but I enjoyed the first two (especially the first) so it's nice this one is going to hit $100m after a disastrous OW. 

 

Kind of weird that the two films (TGS and PP3 - both musicals) are going to end up finishing over $100m. But honestly...TGS is on another level entirely. 

[Ryan Reynolds]

hopefully Disney smartens up and releases the Ron Howard cut so TLJ grosses over 700m

[KP1025]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 4,232 theaters (0)/ $7M  Fri (-63%)/3-day: $24.5M  (-23%)/Total:$573.4M/ Wk 4

 

If it follows RO after the weekend it will get 573.4 + 2.5*24.5 = ~635

 

But I think 2.3-2.4x would be more realistic, which gives closer to 630 dom.

It looks like Deadline updated TLJ numbers again. 

 

Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 4,232 theaters (0)/ $6.8M  Fri (-64%)/3-day: $23.8M  (-55%)/Total:$572.8M/ Wk 4

[Noctis]

1 minute ago, KP1025 said:

It looks like Deadline updated TLJ numbers again. 

 

Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 4,232 theaters (0)/ $6.8M  Fri (-64%)/3-day: $23.8M  (-55%)/Total:$572.8M/ Wk 4

LOOOOL as usual.

 

 

[MovieMan89]

The soundtrack for TGS has to be one of the most memorable ones in ages. Can't fucking get the songs out of my head, even the ones I'm not crazy about. 

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Noctis said:

I'm happy that PP3 is going to hit $100m. Not interested in watching this one in theaters but I enjoyed the first two (especially the first) so it's nice this one is going to hit $100m after a disastrous OW. 

 

Kind of weird that the two films (TGS and PP3 - both musicals) are going to end up finishing over $100m. But honestly...TGS is on another level entirely. 

Agreed. But will add that PP3's prod budget is about 40m less than TGS (45 vs 83).

PP3 ww on Thu was 75.8 dom + 30.3 os = 106.1

If it does 105 dom + 75 os  = 180 ww, will have done 4x the prod budget.