Weekend Thread | 3-day estimates (per BOM): J 27M, TP 18.6M, TC 13.45M, I:TLK 12.14M, TGS 11.8M, TLJ 11.28M, P2 10.62M, PM 10M

[a2k]

The Post could end up with a rotten RT audience score 

66%

Average Rating: 3.5/5

User Ratings: 5,145

[Fancyarcher]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

The Post could end up with a rotten RT audience score 

66%

Average Rating: 3.5/5

User Ratings: 5,145

Could legit be because of conservative trolls down voting it a bit. 

Edited January 13, 2018 by Fancyarcher

[filmlover]

10 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

The Post was ok, not anything great, the theater smelt like grandma

[La Binoche]

Deadline update 

 

http://deadline.com/2018/01/the-commuter-proud-mary-jumanji-paddington-2-mlk-weekend-box-office-1202241724/

[a2k]

DEADLINE 3RD UPDATE http://deadline.com/2018/01/the-commuter-proud-mary-jumanji-paddington-2-mlk-weekend-box-office-1202241724/

THE POST 6.1 F, 21.5 FSSM

JUMANJI 6.0 F, 30+ FSSM

TLJ 15.1 FSSM

 

[That One Girl]

B CinemaScore for The Commuter

[a2k]

JUMANJI needs 28.72 FSS to enter top-5 4th weekends.

Spoiler

1	Avatar	Fox	$50,306,217	6.7%	3,422	$14,701	$749,766,139	12/18/09
2	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$42,353,785	4.5%	4,134	$10,245	$936,662,225	12/18/15
3	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$36,686,871	5.9%	3,918	$9,364	$623,357,910	5/4/12
4	Jurassic World	Uni.	$29,242,025	4.5%	3,737	$7,825	$652,270,625	6/12/15
5	Titanic	Par.	$28,716,310	4.8%	2,746	$10,458	$600,788,188	12/19/97

 

Would need a 100% Sat bump to do 28. SING jumped 112% on MLK Sat.

6.0

12.0 (+100%)

10.0 (-20%)

= 28.0

But that would leave it below TITANIC. If Friday comes up higher and MLK Sat bump is like SING, maybe a chance still.

[a2k]

For the MLK weekend of Jan. 12-15, 2018, industry estimates:

1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle(SONY), 3,849 theaters (+48) / $6M Fri (-44%)/3-day: $23.9M (-36%)/4-day: $30.8M/Total:$287M/ Wk 4
2. The Post  (FOX/DW), 2,819 theaters (+2,783) / $6.1M  Fri (+1130%) /3-day:$18M(+963%)/4-day: $21.5M/Total: $26M/Wk 4
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 3,090 theaters (-1142)/ $2.9M  Fri (-56%)/3-day: $11.5M (-51%)/4-day: $15.1M/Total:$595.4M/ Wk 5
4. The Commuter(LG), 2,892 theaters / $4.3M Fri/3-day: $12.3M /4-day: $14.7M/Wk 1
5. Paddington 2(WB), 3,702 theaters / $2.6M Fri/3-day: $10.8M /4-day: $14.2M/Wk 1

http://deadline.com/2018/01/the-commuter-proud-mary-jumanji-paddington-2-mlk-weekend-box-office-1202241724/

[a2k]

Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 3,090 theaters (-1142)/ $2.9M  Fri (-56%)/3-day: $11.5M (-51%)/4-day: $15.1M/Total:$595.4M/ Wk 5

 

TLJ 1.68 Thu, 2.9 Fri (+73%)

RO 1.7 Thu, 3.26 Fri (+92%)

 

RO had a 16.8 4-day for 501.9 cume. Then added 30.3 more or 1.80x the 4-day to it's cume.

Same gives TLJ 595.4 + 15.1*1.80 = 622.58 (below TA)

Edited January 13, 2018 by a2knet

[Mojoguy]

Jumanji increased from DL's early numbers while everything else decreased!

[Ryan Reynolds]

Proud Mary are coming in below where they should with respectively $14.2M in  5th and $11.4M in 8th.

[Ryan Reynolds]

The Post is only newcomer that did fine, meh for others

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

Proud Mary is actually the best story so far with a prod budget of 14m that it will match over the FSS itself. Sony on fire!!!! Never thought I could say that sentence without people running to Sony HQ with buckets of water.

 

Story turned around quickly on that one, not too surprising considering the extremely embargo, latest estimate not only down to a 11m 4 days but rumors of a 30M budget...

[titanic2187]

the post is like zero dark 30 2.0.....

[Ryan Reynolds]

my god, Black Panther is gonna break out so much if any good, March could have many underperformers

[Ryan Reynolds]

For the MLK weekend of Jan. 12-15, 2018, industry estimates:

1. 1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle(SONY), 3,849 theaters (+48) / $6M Fri (-44%)/3-day: $23.9M (-36%)/4-day: $30.8M/Total:$287M/ Wk 4
   2. The Post  (FOX/DW), 2,819 theaters (+2,783) / $6.1M  Fri (+1130%) /3-day:$18M(+963%)/4-day: $21.5M/Total: $26M/Wk 4
   3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 3,090 theaters (-1142)/ $2.9M  Fri (-56%)/3-day: $11.5M (-51%)/4-day: $15.1M/Total:$595.4M/ Wk 5
   4. The Commuter(LG), 2,892 theaters / $4.3M Fri/3-day: $12.3M /4-day: $14.7M/Wk 1
   5. Paddington 2(WB), 3,702 theaters / $2.6M Fri/3-day: $10.8M /4-day: $14.2M/Wk 1
   6. The Greatest Showman  (FOX), 2,938 theaters (-404) / $3.1M Fri (-25%) / 3-day:$11.6M (-16%)/4-day: $14M/Total: $96.8M/Wk 4
   7. Insidious: The Last Key(UNI), 3,150 theaters (+34)/ $3.1M (-75%) Fri/3-day: $10.5M (-64%)/4-day: $12.1M/Total: $48.3M/ Wk 2
      8. Proud Mary(Sony), 2,125 theaters / $3.3M Fri/3-day: $9.8M /4-day: $11.4M/Wk 19. Pitch Perfect 3  (UNI), 2,505 theaters (-953)/ $1.4M  Fri (-56%)/3-day: $5.3M(-48%)/4-day: $6.4M/Total: $95.4M/ Wk 4
      10. Darkest Hour (FOC), 1,693 theaters (-40)/ $1.3M Fri (-27%) /3-day: $5M(-16%)/4-day:$6.1M Total: $37.4M/ Wk 8
      11. Molly’s Game (STX) 1,708 theaters (+100)/$1.1M Fri (-52%)/3-day:$4.2M (-38%)/4-day: $5.2M/Total: $22M/ Wk 3

Notables:
I, Tonya  (NEON/30), 517 theaters (+275) / $902K  Fri (+17%)/3-day: $3M (+22%)/4-day: $3.5M/Total: $10.3M/Wk 6

The Shape of Water  (FSL), 723 theaters (-81)  / $633K Fri (-25%) /3-day: $2.3M (-25%)/4-day: $2.9M/Total: $26.5M/Wk 7

Three Billboards…  (FSL), 1,022 theaters (+712)  / $631K Fri (+240%) /3-day: $2.2M (+225%)/4-day: $2.7M/Total: $29M/Wk 10

Phantom Thread  (FOC), 62 theaters (+56) / $270K  Fri (+300%)/3-day: $877K (+265%)/PTA: $14K/4-day: $1M/Total: $2.1M/Wk 3

 

[MovieMan89]

Paddington down to 2.6 for Friday?!?!?

[aabattery]

22 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

1. 1. Paddington 2(WB), 3,702 theaters / $2.6M Fri/

 

[aabattery]

By the way, I finally got around to seeing Jumanji and I know you have all been waiting for my take on it.

 

It's fine. Had an enjoyable enough time with it. 6.9/10.

[Mulder]

I have to say those TLJ numbers are atrocious. This film's had awful legs and it's honestly mind blowing how bad those legs are.