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Weekend Thread : Asgardian #'s on p.17 ~ 19.6M Saturday

By sfran43, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Rthmessiah,

19.6
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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

 

 

Quote

8-Week Tracking

Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Release Tracking % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
11/9/2018 The Girl in the Spider’s Web $12,000,000 -8% $35,000,000 -8% 3,000 Sony / Columbia
11/9/2018 Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch $69,000,000   $290,000,000   4,000 Universal
11/9/2018 Overlord $8,000,000 -11% $22,000,000 -12% 2,500 Paramount
11/16/2018 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $73,000,000 -3% $216,000,000 -3% 4,100 Warner Bros.
11/16/2018 Instant Family $18,000,000   $100,000,000 NEW 3,000 Paramount
11/16/2018 Widows $16,500,000   $65,000,000   3,000 Fox
11/21/2018 Creed II $30,000,000 30% $100,000,000 25%   MGM
11/21/2018 Ralph Breaks the Internet $50,000,000   $200,000,000     Disney
11/21/2018 Robin Hood $10,000,000 5% $30,000,000 15%   Lionsgate / Summit
11/21/2018 Green Book (Wide Expansion) n/a   n/a     Universal
11/30/2018 The Possession of Hannah Grace n/a   n/a     Sony / Columbia
12/7/2018 The Silence n/a   n/a     Global Road
12/14/2018 Mortal Engines $16,000,000   $55,000,000     Universal
12/14/2018 The Mule $14,000,000   $80,000,000     Warner Bros.
12/14/2018 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $22,000,000   $90,000,000     Sony / Columbia
12/19/2018 Mary Poppins Returns $40,000,000   $350,000,000     Disney
12/21/2018 Aquaman $45,000,000   $175,000,000     Warner Bros.
12/21/2018 Bumblebee $20,000,000   $100,000,000     Paramount
12/21/2018 Second Act $7,000,000   $40,000,000     STX
12/21/2018 Untitled Deadpool Movie n/a   n/a     Fox
12/21/2018 Welcome to Marwen n/a   n/a     Universal
12/25/2018 Holmes & Watson $17,000,000 NEW $85,000,000 NEW   Sony / Columbia
12/25/2018 Vice (Wide) n/a   $65,000,000 NEW

 

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-holmes-watson-vice/

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DAR Global Phenomenon

DAR

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Runtimes w/out credits and trailer attachments for next week's releases:

 

Grinch: 1:20. Attachments are HTTYD 3 and SLOP 2

Spider's Web: 1:50. Attachments unknown (likely Escape Room and Miss Bala, with maybe Holmes & Watson)

Overlord: 1:42. Attachments are Bumblebee and Pet Sematary

 

LOL at how short Grinch is.

Funny it appears too long to me.

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CoolioD1 Global Phenomenon

CoolioD1

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1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

 

Oh yes, i remember. But i always found it irritiating to hate a movie because of 1 person who is involved in the project. Hundreds of people worked on Bohemian Rhapsody. 

cool story, he's still gonna make more residuals from it than 99% of those people.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

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5 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Whenever I or anyone else mentions a Disney flop, a person inevitably jumps to how Disney can afford it as if any mention of Disney flops is prohibited just because they can afford it. Nobody is claiming it's the end of the studio guys. And I saw Solo flopping being dismissed as well and yet Disney took at step back after that. No matter how much one claims it, Disney are not cool with flops happening. 

Of course they’re not.  While yes, they can afford it, a Lone Ranger like flop costs a lot of money.  And it can potentially cancel out the profits from a major success film.

 

Not to forget, a brand flopping is bad for franchising and merchandising.  That means lower merchandising sales could case losses in other areas too.

 

Disney can afford it, but they’d certainly prefer there not to be a flop.

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Krissykins Global Phenomenon

Krissykins

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Whenever I or anyone else mentions a Disney flop, a person inevitably jumps to how Disney can afford it as if any mention of Disney flops is prohibited just because they can afford it. Nobody is claiming it's the end of the studio guys. And I saw Solo flopping being dismissed as well and yet Disney took at step back after that. No matter how much one claims it, Disney are not cool with flops happening. 

Yeh lol we got the “Avengers will pay off Wrinkle In Time debts” too. 

 

 

Halloween dropping big is fully expected. Halloween is over, there’s $60m of openers opening, it’s week 3. 

 

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

Posted
Posted (edited)

For what's worth, here's something I've been cooking for quite a while now: the grosses of every movie that was in a weekend top 5 only. It's a fun thing to follow and to look forward to at the end of each weekend, and also to see how it correlates with each box office performance in each season of the year. In bold are movies which are currently in the top 5 - by currently I mean last weekend's top 5 - and in italic, films from 2017 that have made it to a 2018 top 5; and I also count preview numbers for everything, including non-Friday openers:

Spoiler

2018 ONLY (aka only the grosses accomplished in 2018 weekends):
01.    Avengers: Infinity War - 499.1M
02.    Black Panther - 489.5M
03.    Incredibles 2 - 363M
04.    Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 253.7M
05.    Deadpool 2 - 220.3M
06.    Venom - 144M
07.    Mission: Impossible, Fallout - 141.8M
08.    Solo: A Star Wars Story - 139.5M
09.    Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle - 129.7M
10.    A Quiet Place - 129.4M
11.    Ant-Man And The Wasp - 121.4M
12.    Halloween ('18 sequel) - 107.6M
13.    A Star Is Born ('18 remake) - 104.4M
14.    Crazy Rich Asians - 102M
15.    The Meg - 96M
16.    The Nun - 87.4M
17.    Ready Player One - 81.7M
18.    Ocean's 8 - 80.3M
19.    Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 80.2M
20.    Rampage - 67.7M
21.    Peter Rabbit - 65.3M
22.    Fifty Shades Freed - 63M
23.    The Greatest Showman - 60.6M
24.    Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 59.1M
25.    The Equalizer 2 - 58.8M
26.    A Wrinkle In Time - 49.4M
27.    The House With A Clock In Its Walls - 46.5M
28.    Smallfoot - 46.5M
29.    The Post - 45.4M
30.    Insidious: The Last Key - 42M
31.    I Can Only Imagine - 41.1M
32.    Night School - 39.8M
33.    Christopher Robin - 37.6M
34.    Pacific Rim Uprising - 37.5M
35.    Game Night - 35.3M
36.    Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 34.7M
37.    The Predator - 33.8M
38.    Tomb Raider - 33.7M
39.    A Simple Favor - 33.1M
40.    Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween - 32.8M
41.    Blockers - 31.4M
42.    Life Of The Party - 31M
43.    Book Club - 30.7M
44.    I Feel Pretty - 29.3M
45.    Sicario: Day Of The Soldado - 26.6M
46.    Truth Or Dare - 26.5M
47.    Acrimony - 25.6M
48.    Red Sparrow - 25.4M
49.    Skyscraper - 24.9M
50.    Overboard ('18 remake) - 24.6M
51.    Breaking In - 24.4M
52.    First Man - 24.3M
53.    Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 23.7M
54.    Tag - 23.2M
55.    The 15:17 To Paris - 20.2M
56.    Mile 22 - 20.1M
57.    The First Purge - 19.9M
58.    12 Strong - 15.3M
59.    Uncle Drew - 15.2M
60.    Den Of Thieves - 15.2M
61.    Super Troopers 2 - 15.2M
62.    The Commuter - 13.7M
63.    Hereditary - 13.6M
64.    Peppermint - 13.4M
65.    Death Wish ('18 remake) - 13M
66.    The Spy Who Dumped Me - 12.1M
67.    Love, Simon - 11.8M
68.    Adrift - 11.6M
69.    Slender Man - 11.4M
70.    Annihilation - 11.1M
71.    BlacKkKlansman - 10.8M
72.    Searching - 10.7M
73.    Sherlock Gnomes - 10.6M
74.    Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - 10.4M
75.    The Strangers: Prey At Night - 10.4M
76.    Alpha - 10.4M
77.    Pitch Perfect 3 - 10.3M
78.    Hostiles - 10.1M
79.    The Happytime Murders - 9.5M
80.    Winchester - 9.3M
81.    White Boy Rick - 8.9M
82.    Hunter Killer - 6.7M
83.    Operation Finale - 6M

 

2017-2019 (aka the full grosses of every movie that made it to a 2018 top 5, including those who were released in 2017 and those whose runs ended in 2019):
01.    Avengers: Infinity War - 499.1M
02.    Black Panther - 489.5M
03.    Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 367.8M
04.    Incredibles 2 - 363M
05.    Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 253.7M
06.    Deadpool 2 - 220.3M
07.    Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle - 217.8M
08.    Venom - 144M
09.    Mission: Impossible, Fallout - 141.8M
10.    Solo: A Star Wars Story - 139.5M
11.    A Quiet Place - 129.4M
12.    Ant-Man And The Wasp - 121.4M
13.    Halloween ('18 sequel) - 107.6M
14.    A Star Is Born ('18 remake) - 104.4M
15.    Crazy Rich Asians - 102M
16.    The Meg - 96M
17.    The Nun - 87.4M
18.    The Greatest Showman - 84.9M
19.    Ready Player One - 81.7M
20.    Ocean's 8 - 80.3M
21.    Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 80.2M
22.    Rampage - 67.7M
23.    Peter Rabbit - 65.3M
24.    Fifty Shades Freed - 63M
25.    Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 59.1M
26.    The Equalizer 2 - 58.8M
27.    A Wrinkle In Time - 49.4M
28.    Pitch Perfect 3 - 47M
29.    Smallfoot - 46.7M
30.    The House With A Clock In Its Walls - 46.5M
31.    The Post - 45.4M
32.    Insidious: The Last Key - 42M
33.    I Can Only Imagine - 41.1M
34.    Night School - 39.8M
35.    Christopher Robin - 37.6M
36.    Pacific Rim Uprising - 37.5M
37.    Game Night - 35.3M
38.    Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 34.7M
39.    The Predator - 33.8M
40.    Tomb Raider - 33.7M
41.    A Simple Favor - 33.1M
42.    Blockers - 31.4M
43.    Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween - 32.8M
44.    Life Of The Party - 31M
45.    Book Club - 30.7M
46.    I Feel Pretty - 29.3M
47.    Sicario: Day Of The Soldado - 26.6M
48.    Truth Or Dare - 26.5M
49.    Acrimony - 25.6M
50.    Red Sparrow - 25.4M
51.    Skyscraper - 24.9M
52.    Overboard ('18 remake) - 24.6M
53.    Breaking In - 24.4M
54.    First Man - 24.3M
55.    Tag - 23.2M
56.    The 15:17 To Paris - 20.2M
57.    Mile 22 - 20.1M
58.    The First Purge - 19.9M
59.    12 Strong - 15.3M
60.    Uncle Drew - 15.2M
61.    Den Of Thieves - 15.2M
62.    Super Troopers 2 - 15.2M
63.    The Commuter - 13.7M
64.    Hereditary - 13.6M
65.    Peppermint - 13.4M
66.    Death Wish ('18 remake) - 13M
67.    The Spy Who Dumped Me - 12.1M
68.    Love, Simon - 11.8M
69.    Adrift - 11.6M
70.    Slender Man - 11.4M
71.    Annihilation - 11.1M
72.    BlacKkKlansman - 10.8M
73.    Searching - 10.7M
74.    Sherlock Gnomes - 10.6M
75.    Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - 10.4M
76.    The Strangers: Prey At Night - 10.4M
77.    Alpha - 10.4M
78.    Hostiles - 10.1M
79.    The Happytime Murders - 9.5M
80.    Winchester - 9.3M
81.    White Boy Rick - 8.9M
82.    Hunter Killer - 6.7M
83.    Operation Finale - 6M

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, MrGlass2 said:

That is no reason to hate a movie, a lot of people worked on it and the director was even replaced. It is also one of the last triumphs of a dying, legendary studio.

This. I despise Roman Polanski as a person, but am not so stupid as to deny he has made some really great movies.

I have an immense dislike for Tom Cruise because of his invoment...and his promotion...of that dangerous scam cult called the COS,but I still enjoy some o fhis movies.

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, PANDA said:

Of course they’re not.  While yes, they can afford it, a Lone Ranger like flop costs a lot of money.  And it can potentially cancel out the profits from a major success film.

 

Not to forget, a brand flopping is bad for franchising and merchandising.  That means lower merchandising sales could case losses in other areas too.

 

Disney can afford it, but they’d certainly prefer there not to be a flop.

Look, expecting the big hits to cover the costs of your flops is how every studio operates.

Disney is not happy about Nutcracker, but I think they were pretty much expecting a flop; that they spent a lot less on marketing then they usually do tells you that.

Monday what went wrong with Nucrtacker will be hashed over and gone into heavily at Disney HQ;that is just Due Diligence;you always try to learn from your mistakes.

Every studio is going to have bombs ever year. It's all about the ratio of those to the successes.

In the end, what really matters is the overall Profit and Loss statement for a studio each year. I think Disney is probably going to be in good shape for that next January.

Now if MPR flops, it will be a different story........

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Yeh lol we got the “Avengers will pay off Wrinkle In Time debts” too. 

 

 

Halloween dropping big is fully expected. Halloween is over, there’s $60m of openers opening, it’s week 3. 

 

WHat is LOL about that? That is how Disney..and every studio operates. You expect the big hits to cover the costs of your flops.

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

Posted
Posted
37 minutes ago, DAR said:

Funny it appears too long to me.

Hell, give minutes of "The Grinch" is more then I will subject myself to.

46 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

 

 

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-holmes-watson-vice/

I think they might be Under projecting the Spideyverse movie, and over predcitng Mortal engines.

 

As for Robin Hood......Looks as if Lionsgate will be supplying the Turkey this Thanksgiving.

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

Posted
Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, James said:

You think Pikachu is small competition? Is is funny how people forget that Pokemon is the world's most valuable brand, way ahead of SW and HP. Pikachu will make money. It will be big DOM but it will be enormous OS (assuming it is at least decent). I don't see less than 400m OS and I think 500m is likely.

Do you know that the only two video game movies that made over 100M DOM were the original Tomb Raider ft. Angelina Jolie in her prime, and Angry Birds which benefitted off of a very aggressive marketing campaign + the 4-day Memorial Day frame in its 2nd weekend and STILL had not too great legs for animated movie standards? And both of those are pretty big in their own right - hell, just a couple of years ago, Angry Birds was the fad of fads. Rampage almost did it as well but WB decided "nah, it's good at 99M". Video game movies have a bad rep for a reason: they're usually not good. And I know Pokémon is a big deal, but honestly, I doubt that movie is any good. Not only is the spin-off it's based on - Detective Pikachu - not a particularly greatly recieved game in of itself, but it just sounds like a Goddamn dumb idea, and I want to think people know better than to buy in just because it has Pikachu in it. Rob Letterman also has a very hit or miss track record as a director, AND it opens on Avengers 4's 3rd weekend, to pile on top of all this skepticism. Yeah, it's going to be huuuuuge OS, but I don't see it playing any better than Angry Birds DOM, and I think Aladdin will crush it at least in that front, possibly playing just as strong or even stronger OS as well. I see no reason not to. As far as movies go, Aladdin just seems like a way, way bigger deal. If this were simply a Pokémon movie based on the main plotlines from the games or the anime, then yes, I'd be inclined to say it would have potential to be a big breakout. But I'm not feeling this thing they're doing.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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