Bagatelle31 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 (edited) 49 minutes ago, peludo said: I can give a very simple example: Spain Avatar was reported to do $110m Avatar sold 9.5 million admissions Avatar grossed €77m Today Euro/Dollar ER=1.13 77*1.13=$87m, what means $23m lower just in Spain. You can apply the same to the whole Eurozone. Do you want to talk about inflation? Today average ticket price in Spain is €6.5, tipically €1m more in 3D showtimes. Even if EVERY ticket sold had been in 3D we would be talking about: 9.5 million*7.5 = €71.25m what means $80.5m, $29.5m lower than the original gross. And this is just one country... So true in France it did $175M for 14,7M admissions, with Endgame average price of $8,64 that would be around $127M, $48M gap!!! TFA did $88M for 10,4M admissions, that's an average ticket $8,46. Edited May 2, 2019 by Bagatelle31 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 14 minutes ago, cdsacken said: If 23.5 Thursday Friday 51.768 Saturday 76.824 Sunday 60.307 Weekend: 188.89 (with Infinity War drops). It can drop way harder if it matches Friday and still do 170 With IW trend, Friday will be 47.7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: With IW trend, Friday will be 47.7. My math broke I have no idea. Calculation complete failure Still comes out to 174.1 so you would be correct with a 2.5% cushion Edited May 2, 2019 by cdsacken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 28 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: Everyone's gonna freak Friday when jumps but not as much as folks hope but higher than IW jumped. Then, it's gonna do bonkers numbers Saturday and, again like IW, have a insanely impressive Sunday. this should be pinned. These movies have muted Fridays (relative to expectations), bonkers Saturday jumps and great Sunday holds (that always get lowballed in estimates). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 (edited) Regarding this Avatar topic: Spoiler Avatar just came at a great moment, 3D was slowly rising and Avatar was the film at the right moment, with great exchange rates and new technology done by James Cameron, so it became highest grosses by a big margin. It grossed 2.7B. And if IW beats it now than it happens, that is what happens with a growing population and growing market sizes everywhere. And Avatar nowadays would still look impressive in Europe, just not to the extend it did 2010, in Germany average ticket price was roughly $14.3, that's higher than the average ticket price for (I think) every movie that followed and now 10 years later, Endgame has an average ticket price of about $12.6... (10 years later, ticket price is 13.5% less! so over the whole run, it will probably be 15% less) None the less it was an amazing run. 2 Now back to Dom: Endgame doing 25m on Wednesday is great. Comparing it to TFA it still would be 88.6m ahead! It will lose probably 5m tomorrow and then gain 10-15m over the weekend so almost 100m ahead at the end of the weekend. The second set of Weekdays will be where Endgame will lose quite a lot, probably up to $60m, for that it would need to do $52m. Most likely it will lose less. With loosing 60m it would still be 40m ahead. But to Endgames advantage after the third weekend, TFA returned to normal. So I guess final could be around 960-970m, though I still see a scenario where it fails to outgross TFA. Edited May 2, 2019 by Taruseth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Just now, sfran43 said: So it needed roughly 1 week to outgross Ultron? Interesting, since thats also roughly the time Ultrons "Age" lasted in his movie 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaybox Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 35 minutes ago, Mr Terrific said: When you think you’re in a Lebron James discussion and the Michael Jordan fans can’t handle it... ? Jordan > Lebron *shrugs* Lebron is top 3 tho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Brainbug said: So it needed roughly 1 week to outgross Ultron? Interesting, since thats also roughly the time Ultrons "Age" lasted in his movie 3 1 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 31 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: I just feel Sunday's going to be considerably higher than Friday. Maybe close to 10M higher even. IW's second Sunday was 5M+ higher than it's second Friday. Works for me. However we get to 170 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 where is deadline when we need them 🤖 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaughingEvans Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Just now, john2000 said: where is deadline when we need them 🤖 We don't need them though, we got much better here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 1 minute ago, john2000 said: where is deadline when we need them 🤖 They're too busy rewatching Endgame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Just now, LaughingEvans said: We don't need them though, we got much better here joking ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Brainbug said: They're too busy rewatching Endgame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashMaster659 Posted May 2, 2019 Author Share Posted May 2, 2019 If the estimate drops, it will be a very tiny drop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Pessimistic Scenario Thursday: $21m 2nd Weekend: $150m M-Th: $40m 3rd Weekend: $75m 17-Day Total: $738m Realistic Scenario Thursday: $22.5m 2nd Weekend: $162m M-Th: $47m 3rd Weekend: $85m 17-Day Total: $768mOptimistic Scenario Thursday: $23.5m 2nd Weekend: $175m M-Th: $55m 3rd Weekend: $96m 17-Day Total: $802m 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said: If the estimate drops, it will be a very tiny drop. That number essentially guarantees a 25M+ actual. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 (edited) Every film except The Avengers, which crossed $600mn, sequel dropped to 63-67%. Well there are only two I am talking; TFA and JW. Age of Ultron dropped to 73% and BP 2 is most certainly joining the sequels club. @IronJimbo $550mn incoming. A2. 😛😛 Edited May 2, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 the floor for the 2nd weekend is 140 million but looks like 150 is becoming certain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
