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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Eric Quinn Global Phenomenon

Eric Quinn

Posted
Posted
On 8/2/2022 at 11:50 PM, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 86 964 17673 5.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 304

 

Comp

4.749x of Snake Eyes T-2 (6.65M)

1.073x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (4.4M)

4.323x of Free Guy T-2 (9.51M)

0.516x of No Time to Die T-2 (3.25M)

0.635x of Dune T-2 (3.24M)

1.395x of Uncharted T-2 (5.16M)

1.426x of The Lost City T-2 (4.63M)

0.651x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-2 (3.91M)

0.268x of Top Gun 2 T-2 (5.16M)

0.275x of Jurassic World 3 T-2 (4.96M)

1.499x of Elvis T-2 (5.25M)

 

Added in some of the comps @charlie Jatinder suggested. I had a commitment that didn't allow me to track all the Early Access shows at 7 PM exactly, but I still tracked these showtimes a couple hours in advance. So while not perfect, at least part of their growths were still included here. 

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 93 1132 18640 6.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 168

 

Comp

4.354x of Snake Eyes T-1 (6.09M)

1.035x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (4.24M)

3.724x of Free Guy T-1 (8.19M)

0.491x of No Time to Die T-1 (3.09M)

0.643x of Dune T-1 (3.28M)

1.273x of Uncharted T-1 (4.71M)

1.462x of The Lost City T-1 (4.75M)

0.658x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-1 (3.95M)

0.274x of Top Gun 2 T-1 (5.27M)

0.272x of Jurassic World 3 T-1 (4.89M)

1.536x of Elvis T-1 (5.37M)

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Eric Quinn Global Phenomenon

Eric Quinn

Posted
Posted
On 8/2/2022 at 11:54 PM, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Easter Sunday Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 42 41 5392 0.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

0.184x of Free Guy T-2 (404K)

0.122x of Jackass Forever T-2 (201K)

0.506x of Marry Me T-2 (266K)

0.061x of The Lost City T-2 (197K)

0.174x of Unbearable Weight T-2 (146K)

0.122x of The Bob's Burgers Movie T-2 (183K)

Easter Sunday Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 47 44 5893 0.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.145x of Free Guy T-1 (318K)

0.097x of Jackass Forever T-1 (161K)

0.419x of Marry Me T-1 (220K)

0.057x of The Lost City T-1 (185K)

0.160x of Unbearable Weight T-1 (134K)

0.105x of The Bob's Burgers Movie T-1 (157K)

 

Yeah I don't know what happened here lol

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Grebacio Box Office Gold

Grebacio

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Easter Sunday Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 47 44 5893 0.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.145x of Free Guy T-1 (318K)

0.097x of Jackass Forever T-1 (161K)

0.419x of Marry Me T-1 (220K)

0.057x of The Lost City T-1 (185K)

0.160x of Unbearable Weight T-1 (134K)

0.105x of The Bob's Burgers Movie T-1 (157K)

 

Yeah I don't know what happened here lol

Sub 2M?

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Bullet Train T-1 Jax 7 57 52 209 10,374 2.01%
    Phx 6 35 68 270 7,521 3.59%
    Ral 8 35 96 262 4,408 5.94%
  Total   21 127 216 741 22,303 3.32%
Dragon Ball T-15 Jax 6 26 6 153 5,795 2.64%
    Phx 6 22 11 252 4,486 5.62%
    Ral 7 21 8 181 2,812 6.44%
  Total   19 69 25 586 13,093 4.48%
Easter Sunday T-1 Jax 6 21 7 70 2,895 2.42%
    Phx 6 22 4 22 2,714 0.81%
    Ral 8 22 5 14 2,342 0.60%
  Total   20 65 16 106 7,951 1.33%

 

Bullet Train (Thu) T-1 comps

 - Dune - .42x (2.14m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - missed

 - F9 - .34x (2.41m)

 - Lost City - 1.534x (3.84m)

 - Morbius - .43x (2.44m)

 - Free Guy - 1.834x (4.035m)

 - Nope - .542x (3.47m)

 - Crawdads (Thu) - 1.05x (2.09m)

 

Growth Rate Check

1-day

Bullet Train +29.15%

Dune +14.52%

F9 +20.68%

Lost City +27.74%

Morbius +18.08%

Free Guy +13.12%

Nope +24.45%

Crawdads +19.77%

 

3-day pace

Bullet Train +50.2%

F9 +43.1%

Lost City +50.31%

Morbius +43.21%

Free Guy +31.19%

Nope +47.8%

Crawdads +51.55%

 

 

Comp Tracking

 

Day: T-1 hr T-0 T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7
Bullet Train                  
F9
0.000 0.000 0.340 0.303 0.300 0.297 0.294 0.306 0.281
Morbius 0.000 0.000 0.428 0.370 0.387 0.375 0.374 0.381 0.346
Nope 0.000 0.000 0.542 0.509 0.531 0.518 0.533 0.550 0.515
Crawdads 0.000 0.000 1.047 0.924 0.995 1.076 1.060 1.199 1.168

 

Seems to be righting the ship. Will need another huge day to catch up to the expected 3m+ range.

 

Easter Sunday T-1 comps

 - Massive Talent (Thu) - .555x (388k)

 - Vengeance - 1.683x

 - Elvis - .123x (394k)

 

Maybe around 400k previews? 

 

Dragon Ball T-15 comp

 - JJK:0 - 1.095x (3.2m)

 

Slowed down considerably against JJK.  3-day growth of only 16% compared to JJK at 28%.

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Bullet Train T-0 Jax 7 57 103 312 10,374 3.01%
    Phx 6 35 85 355 7,521 4.72%
    Ral 8 36 115 377 4,492 8.39%
  Total   21 128 303 1,044 22,387 4.66%
Dragon Ball T-14 Jax 6 26 8 161 5,795 2.78%
    Phx 6 22 16 268 4,486 5.97%
    Ral 7 21 4 185 2,812 6.58%
  Total   19 69 28 614 13,093 4.69%
Easter Sunday T-0 Jax 6 21 7 77 2,895 2.66%
    Phx 6 22 3 25 2,714 0.92%
    Ral 8 22 9 23 2,342 0.98%
  Total   20 65 19 125 7,951 1.57%

 

Bullet Train (Thu) T-0 comps

 - Dune - .472x (2.41m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - .464x (2.41m)

 - F9 - .342x (2.42m)

 - Lost City - 1.522x (3.8m)

 - Morbius - .466x (2.66m)

 - Free Guy - 1.82x (4.01m)

 - Nope - .526x (3.37m)

 - Crawdads (Thu) - 1.08x (2.16m)

 

Growth Rate Check

1-day

Bullet Train +29.02%

Dune +20.3%

F9 +28.66%

Lost City +27.74%

Morbius +22.76%

Free Guy +29.49%

Nope +31.15%

Crawdads +26.71%

 

3-day pace

Bullet Train +58.43%

F9 +52.63%

Lost City +60.2%

Morbius +49.98%

Free Guy +46.77%

Nope +58.82%

Crawdads +54.87%

 

 

Comp Tracking

 

Day: T-1 hr T-0 T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7
Bullet Train                  
F9
0.000 0.342 0.340 0.303 0.300 0.297 0.294 0.306 0.281
Morbius 0.000 0.466 0.428 0.370 0.387 0.375 0.374 0.381 0.346
Nope 0.000 0.526 0.542 0.509 0.531 0.518 0.533 0.550 0.515
Crawdads 0.000 1.081 1.047 0.924 0.995 1.076 1.060 1.199 1.168

 

Doesn't look like we'll get to 3m for Thursday.  I'll go with 2.5m for now (excluding EA).

 

Easter Sunday T-0 comps

 - Massive Talent (Thu) - .475x (333k)

 - Vengeance - 1.374x

 - Elvis - .108x (347k)

 

Really tough to predict this one.  Seems like there will be a ton of regional variance.  Jacksonville (specifically one theater with 51 tickets sold) is really inflating this total.  Without knowing how it's doing in other places, I'll go with 350k for previews.

 

Dragon Ball T-14 comp

 - JJK:0 - 1.059x (3.05m)

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Goldenhour36 Indie Sensation

Goldenhour36

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Goldenhour36 said:

 

 

 

Missed Tracking Day 4 

 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 5) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Tuesday Showings: 

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 243 Tickets sold, 86.48% of seats (281) are sold (Final Count)  

 

Thursday Showings: 

4:00 PM (Dine-In Delivery to Seat): 37 Tickets sold, 33.64% of seats (110) are sold (14 New Tickets, 60.87% Increase) 

7:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 78 Tickets sold, 70.91% of seats (110) are sold (12 New Tickets, 18.18% Increase) 

3:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 101 Tickets sold, 35.94% of seats (281) are sold (21 New Tickets, 26.25% Increase) 

6:15 PM (Dolby Cinema): 188 Tickets sold, 66.90% of seats (281) are sold (29 New Tickets, 18.24% Increase) 

9:30 PM (Dolby Cinema): 140 Tickets sold, 49.82% of seats (281) are sold (25 New Tickets, 21.74% Increase) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:45 PM (Dolby Cinema): 56 Tickets sold, 19.93% of seats (281) are sold (6 New Tickets, 12% Increase) 

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 51 Tickets sold, 18.15% of seats (281) are sold (10 New Tickets, 24.39% Increase) 

7:15 PM (Dolby Cinema): 171 Tickets sold, 60.85% of seats (281) are sold (34 New Tickets, 24.82% Increase) 

10:30 PM (Dolby Cinema): 70 Tickets sold, 24.91% of seats (281) are sold (16 New Tickets, 29.63% Increase) 

 

Total: 1135 Tickets sold, 45.99% of seats (2468) are sold (195 New Tickets, 20.74% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 1332 Tickets sold, 26.65% of seats (4999) are sold (x0.852) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

1:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1452) are sold (No Changes) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1052) are sold (x1.000) 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Tuesday Showings: 

7:00 PM (GTX): 55 Tickets sold, 20.99% of seats (262) are sold (Final Count) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

3:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold   (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold  (No Changes) 

6:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold  (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold  (No Changes) 

9:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold  (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold  (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

1:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

3:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

6:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

9:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

Total: 55 Tickets sold, 1.74% of seats (3153) are sold (34 New Tickets, 161.90% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 2 Tickets sold, 0.07% of seats (3033) are sold (x27.500) 

 

SUM Total: 1190 Tickets sold, 16.82% of seats (7073) are sold (229 New Tickets, 23.83% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 1334 Tickets sold, 14.69% of seats (9084) are sold (x0.892) 

 

 

 

 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 6) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Tuesday Showings: 

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 243 Tickets sold, 86.48% of seats (281) are sold (Final Count) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 45 Tickets sold, 40.91% of seats (110) are sold (8 New Tickets, 21.62% Increase) 

7:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 85 Tickets sold, 77.27% of seats (110) are sold (7 New Tickets, 8.97% Increase) 

3:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 122 Tickets sold, 43.42% of seats (281) are sold (21 New Tickets, 20.79% Increase) 

6:15 PM (Dolby Cinema): 216 Tickets sold, 76.87% of seats (281) are sold (28 New Tickets, 14.89% Increase) 

9:30 PM (Dolby Cinema): 165 Tickets sold, 58.72% of seats (281) are sold (25 New Tickets, 17.86% Increase) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:45 PM (Dolby Cinema): 70 Tickets sold, 24.91% of seats (281) are sold (14 New Tickets, 25% Increase) 

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 59 Tickets sold, 21.00% of seats (281) are sold (8 New Tickets, 15.69% Increase) 

7:15 PM (Dolby Cinema): 178 Tickets sold, 63.35% of seats (281) are sold (7 New Tickets, 4.09% Increase) 

10:30 PM (Dolby Cinema): 75 Tickets sold, 26.69% of seats (281) are sold (5 New Tickets, 7.14% Increase) 

10:45 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 5 Tickets sold, 4.55% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

11:45 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

2:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

3:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

5:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 5 Tickets sold, 4.55% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

6:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 11 Tickets sold, 10.00% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

8:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 6.36% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

9:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold (New Show) 

11:15 AM (Digital): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (533) are sold (New Show) 

2:30 PM (Digital): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (533) are sold (New Show) 

5:45 PM (Digital): 2 Tickets sold, 0.38% of seats (533) are sold(New Show) 

9:00 PM (Digital): 4 Tickets sold, 0.75% of seats (533) are sold (New Show) 

 

Total: 1304 Tickets sold, 23.80% of seats (5480) are sold (169 New Tickets, 14.79% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 6): 1640 Tickets sold, 32.81% of seats (4999) are sold (x0.795) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

1:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (242) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1452) are sold (No Changes) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 6): 6 Tickets sold, 0,57% of seats (1052) are sold (x0.000) 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Tuesday Showings: 

7:00 PM (GTX): 55 Tickets sold, 20.99% of seats (262) are sold (Final Count) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

3:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (GTX): 9 Tickets sold, 3.44% of seats (262) are sold (9 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

6:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

9:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

1:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

2:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (47) are sold (New Show) 

3:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats  (47) are sold (New Show) 

6:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

8:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (47) are sold (New Show)  

9:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 64 Tickets sold, 1.94% of seats (3294) are sold (9 New Tickets, 16.36% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 6): 25 Tickets sold, 0.82% of seats (3033) are sold (x2.520) 

 

SUM Total: 

1368 Tickets sold, 13.38% of seats (10226) are sold (178 New Tickets, 14.96% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 6): 1671 Tickets sold, 18.39% of seats (9084) are sold (x0.818) 

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Bullet Train PLF 29 25 94 6,627 1.42% $14.85 $1,396.34
    Standard 41 45 147 4,946 2.97% $11.49 $1,688.34
  Total   70 70 241 11,573 2.08% $12.80 $3,084.68
T-1 Easter Sunday Standard 31 5 55 2,978 1.85% $13.15 $723.09
T-2 Bullet Train (Fri) PLF 41 144 144 10,345 1.39% $14.66 $2,110.38
    Standard 63 101 101 7,690 1.31% $11.38 $1,148.89
   Total   104 245 245 18,035 1.36% $13.30 $3,259.27
T-2 Easter Sunday (Fri) Standard 50 71 71 4,486 1.58% $12.57 $892.80

 

By matinee

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Bullet Train N 50 58 197 8,350 2.36% $13.48 $2,656.28
    Y 20 12 44 3,223 1.37% $9.74 $428.40
  Total   70 70 241 11,573 2.08% $12.80 $3,084.68
T-2 Bullet Train (Fri) N 53 184 184 9,149 2.01% $14.27 $2,625.69
    Y 51 61 61 8,886 0.69% $10.39 $633.58
  Total   104 245 245 18,035 1.36% $13.30 $3,259.27
T-2 Easter Sunday (Fri) N 27 65 65 2,436 2.67% $12.90 $838.41
    Y 23 6 6 2,050 0.29% $9.07 $54.39
  Total   50 71 71 4,486 1.58% $12.57 $892.80

 

Thursday

 

Bullet Train T-1 comps

 - Crawdads - .644x (1.289m)

 - Morbius - .169x (963k)

 - Nope - .315x (2.01m)

 - Northman - 1.516x (2.05m)

 

Easter Sunday T-1 comps

 - Massive Talent - 1.25x (1.04m)

 - Crawdads - .147x (294k)

 - Bob's Burgers - .207x (310k)

 

Friday

 

Bullet Train (Fri) T-2 comps

 - Crawdads - missed

 - Morbius - missed

 - Nope - .454x (5.96m)

 

Easter Sunday (Fri) T-2 comp

 - Crawdads - missed

 

Just... not good

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Bullet Train PLF 29 107 201 6,624 3.03% $14.73 $2,960.75
    Standard 41 113 260 4,946 5.26% $11.52 $2,994.09
  Total   70 220 461 11,570 3.98% $12.92 $5,954.84
  Easter Sunday Standard 31 11 66 2,978 2.22% $13.07 $862.74
  Total   31 11 66 2,978 2.22% $13.07 $862.74
T-1 Bullet Train (Fri) PLF 41 47 191 10,340 1.85% $14.56 $2,780.78
    Standard 63 70 171 7,690 2.22% $11.47 $1,960.83
  Total   104 117 362 18,030 2.01% $13.10 $4,741.61
T-1 Easter Sunday (Fri) Standard 50 36 107 4,486 2.39% $12.09 $1,293.80
  Total   50 36 107 4,486 2.39% $12.09 $1,293.80

 

By matinee

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Bullet Train N 50 173 370 8,348 4.43% $13.69 $5,065.20
    Y 20 47 91 3,222 2.82% $9.78 $889.64
  Total   70 220 461 11,570 3.98% $12.92 $5,954.84
T-1 Bullet Train (Fri) N 53 89 273 9,147 2.98% $13.97 $3,813.87
    Y 51 28 89 8,883 1.00% $10.42 $927.74
  Total   104 117 362 18,030 2.01% $13.10 $4,741.61
T-1 Easter Sunday (Fri) N 27 21 86 2,436 3.53% $12.73 $1,095.20
    Y 23 15 21 2,050 1.02% $9.46 $198.60
  Total   50 36 107 4,486 2.39% $12.09 $1,293.80

 

Thursday

 

Bullet Train T-0 comps

 - Crawdads - .897x (1.79m)

 - Morbius - .234x (1.33m)

 - Nope - .363x (2.32m)

 - Northman - 1.996x (2.69m)

 

Definitely a cautionary tale here.  I'll go with 2.5m for Thursday but wouldn't be surprised if it finished a little under that.

 

Easter Sunday T-0 comps

 - Massive Talent - .795x (664k)

 - Crawdads - .128x (257k)

 - Bob's Burgers - .191x (287k)

 - Super Pets - .195x (439k)

 - Elvis - .048x (152k)

 

Gonna go with 250k for this one

 

Friday

 

Bullet Train (Fri) T-1 comps

 - Crawdads - .756x (3.98m)

 - Morbius - .24x (2.79m)

 - Nope - .409x (5.37m)

 

Easter Sunday (Fri) T-1 comp

 - Crawdads - .223x (1.177m)

 - Super Pets - .192x (1.36m)

 

Projection

 

Using Thu final day sales to project Friday, I'm expecting Bullet Train to finish around 925 and Easter Sunday to finish around 215.   Here are the comps using those hypotheticals

 

Bullet Train Friday

 - Crawdads - 6.12m

 - Nope - 6.56m

 

Prediction: 6.4m true Friday

 

Easter Sunday Friday

 - Crawdads - 1.42m

 - Elvis - 815k

 - Super Pets - 1.04m

 

Prediction: 1.3m true Friday

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Eric Quinn Global Phenomenon

Eric Quinn

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, p a p i said:

Can someone ban this Jolie dummy forever? 

Problem is that they keep using new IPs and VPNs. Android makes it much easier to hide your identity, so banning one IP still means they can get through another way. The only thing we can really hope for is for them to learn that nobody finds their schtick amusing.

 

It's also important that everybody ignores their post and let us take care of it. Responding back to them only makes things worse and enables them to continue with this behavior. By not giving them any attention, they'll go away faster. Don't feed the troll and what not.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
34 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

If Bullet Train actually ends up opening below $20M, then Tom Rothman needs to personally thank Zaslav for sucking out all the air in the room this week, because even if this flops at least it'll flop quietly.

What did you read in whole thread that made you think below $20M is an option?

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Maggie Box Office Gold

Maggie

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

In that update, you'd have $1.5Mish Tues, $2.5Mish Thurs and $6.4Mish Fri for $10M+ ($10.4M) total going into Saturday - if that holds, this movie literally can't finish under $20M without theaters literally closing the rest of the weekend...

 

I thought Tuesday was 1.25M.

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Comp Tracking

 

Day: T-1 hr T-0 T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7
Bullet Train                  
F9
0.000 0.342 0.340 0.303 0.300 0.297 0.294 0.306 0.281
Morbius 0.000 0.466 0.428 0.370 0.387 0.375 0.374 0.381 0.346
Nope 0.000 0.526 0.542 0.509 0.531 0.518 0.533 0.550 0.515
Crawdads 0.000 1.081 1.047 0.924 0.995 1.076 1.060 1.199 1.168

What's interesting to me is how much Bullet Train is pacing almost identically to Lost City (not shown above) and also similarly Nope - neither of which I wouldn't have expected in advance given the audience differences. However, if that does mean something, then those are some of the higher comps in the set, suggesting a mid-$3M Thursday (and $4.75M total preview by @Eric the Tank Engine numbers) . Lot of regional variation at play among those titles though


Curious if the T-1hr update continues to match pace, coming in at 1500+

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