The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[abracadabra1998]

On 8/22/2022 at 11:50 AM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Twin Cities Thursday Previews Report:

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 9 theaters	19	23	81	2626	3.08

 

Comp: 

1.59x Beast: $1.47 M

 

The Invitation (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 9 theaters	22	20	26	3133	0.83

 

Comp: 

0.51x Beast: $470k

 

Beast isn't a good comp, but it's all I have. Three Thousand Years continues to surprise me as it has more sales than I would expect, but it'll probably be pre-sales heavy, as fans of Miller will go to watch it while not appealing to the general audience. The Invitation is looking rough, think it'll be closer to $5M than to $10M

 

Twin Cities Thursday Previews Report:

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 11 theaters	23	25	106	2881	3.68

 

Comp:

1.37x Beast: $1.27 M

 

Lost a bit of ground to Beast, but it's still selling decently here (compared to my very meager expectations).

 

The Invitation (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 11 theaters	27	1	27	3512	0.77

 

Comp:

0.35x Beast: $320k

 

Doing horribly in Minnesota so far.

[Inceptionzq]

39 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

AMC subscribers using their 3x/week movie subscriptions...Cinemark folks likely already used their 1x/month...unless you have tons of AMCs and fewer of the other 2 in your numbers...

 

 

Yeah there are a lot more AMC locations in these numbers. Not sure the exact number for AMC, but I counted 12 Cinemark and 2 Megaplex

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The Invitation is splitting Cinemark XD screenings this weekend. On Friday, it has 740 and 1030 showings. But oddly, you know what has the 2 matinee showings? ELVIS!

 

At AMC this weekend, Dragon Ball still has IMAX on Thursday. Rogue One takes over for the weekend. Three Thousand Years has the Dolby for the weekend.

[AJG]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

Halloween Ends is going day and date again on Peacock. 
 

Urgh.

It must be horrendous.

[Eric is Quiet]

Yeah Rogue One's not playing at Regal at all. IMAX at my two Regals w/ IMAX is split between Dragon Ball, a midday showing of Elvis, and a late night showing of TGM. Gives me one less thing to look at, so it's fine.

[Tinalera]

https://www.cbr.com/halloween-ends-debut-theaters-streaming-same-date/

 

I found this interesting, one of the first "big movies" to hit after the summer break and they're streaming same day? Really have to wonder how that affects it's box office, especially with the whole "Halloween Ends" (for now) theme going with it. A bit surprising IMO theyd do same day streaming with the build up they have been giving it.

 

edit: NVM  beat to it by @Krissykins

Edited August 24, 2022 by Tinalera

[LonePirate]

4 hours ago, Eric the Genie said:

Yeah Rogue One's not playing at Regal at all. IMAX at my two Regals w/ IMAX is split between Dragon Ball, a midday showing of Elvis, and a late night showing of TGM. Gives me one less thing to look at, so it's fine.

 

The Regal IMAX near me has the same schedule and I am quite a ways from you. The four daily showtimes are as follows:

 

Dragon Ball/Elvis/Dragon Ball/Top Gun

 

I was wanting to see Rogue One in IMAX but the nearest one is at an AMC about two hours from me. 

 

TGM is picking up some AMC Dolby screen times this weekend. One theater gave it the two evening showings and another theater gave it the first evening showing only.

 

Could TGM be headed to an increase this weekend?

Edited August 24, 2022 by LonePirate

[filmlover]

Elvis did play an IMAX overseas earlier this summer so I'm guessing there was a similar deal here where it would play on at least some of their screens over here at some point (either during its initial run or during awards season), hence why it's probably finally being added on what's looking to be a mostly lifeless frame.

[WrathOfHan]

Some AMCs getting Three Thousand Years in Dolby are having that be its sole screen with either no standard showtimes or half screens at off-peak hours. Yikes.

 

Other Dolbys are a combo of Dragon Ball/Top Gun/Elvis depending on the location.

Edited August 24, 2022 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

Three Thousand Years is selling miserably near me, which seems especially ominous since I doubt walkups will be any good due to its inherently limited appeal. A sub-$4M opening seems pretty obvious at this point IMO.

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric the Genie said:

The Invitation Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	56	4525	1.24%

 

Comp

0.848x of The Forever Purge T-3 (1.13M)

0.596x of Escape Room 2 T-3 (715K)

0.415x of Old T-3 (622K)

2.000x of The Night House T-3 (520K)

0.982x of Antlers T-3 (363K)

0.757x of X T-3 (333K)

1.366x of Firestarter T-3 (512K)

0.889x of Men T-3 (376K)

0.150x of The Black Phone T-3 (452K)

 

Yeah, this isn't looking like a breakout. Dolbys are also largely being given to 3000 Years too, so that makes things even worse.

The Invitation Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	68	4680	1.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 12

 

Comp

0.739x of The Forever Purge T-2 (983K)

0.469x of Escape Room 2 T-2 (563K)

0.358x of Old T-2 (537K)

1.700x of The Night House T-2 (442K)

0.958x of Antlers T-2 (354K)

0.731x of X T-2 (322K)

1.172x of Firestarter T-2 (440K)

0.687x of Men T-2 (290K)

0.139x of The Black Phone T-2 (417K)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric the Genie said:

Three Thousand Years of Longing Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	90	3581	2.51%

 

Comp

0.445x of Last Night in Soho T-3 (312K)

1.000x of Ambulance T-3 (700K)

0.278x of The Northman T-3 (375K)

0.166x of Elvis T-3 (582K)

0.833x of Beast T-3 (771K)

 

Yeah I had no clue what comps to use here, so...just kinda threw stuff at the wall to see what sticks lol

Three Thousand Years of Longing Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	106	3581	2.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

0.433x of Last Night in Soho T-2 (303K)

0.991x of Ambulance T-2 (693K)

0.286x of The Northman T-2 (387K)

0.165x of Elvis T-2 (577K)

0.736x of Beast T-2 (681K)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric the Genie said:

Rogue One Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Monday Before Release (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	10	319	2529	12.61%

 

Comp

1.887x of E.T. Monday Before Release (923.3K)

 

...huh. Did not expect that, and Regal hasn't even updated yet. The powah of Andor sneak peeks?

Rogue One Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Monday Before Release (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	10	334	2529	13.21%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

 

Comp

1.583x of E.T. Tuesday Before Release (774.3K)

[Goldenhour36]

The Invitation (Tracking Day 1) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday Showings: 

4:00 PM (Digital): 22 Tickets sold, 6.11% of seats (360) are sold 

6:45 PM (Digital): 33 Tickets sold, 9.17% of seats (360) are sold 

9:30 PM (Digital): 26 Tickets sold, 7.22% of seats (360) are sold 

 

Friday Showings: 

1:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 2 Tickets sold, 1.82% of seats (110) are sold 

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (110) are sold 

9:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 3 Tickets sold, 2.73% of seats (110) are sold 

 

Total: 86 Tickets sold, 6.10% of seats (1410) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 944 Tickets sold, 37.50% of seats (2517) are sold (x0.091) 

Fall (Tracking Day 1): 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold (x2.867) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Thursday Showings: 

4:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold 

7:45 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold 

10:15 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

2:35 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (151) are sold 

5:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

7:40 PM (Standard): 2 Tickets sold, 1.32% of seats (151) are sold 

10:00 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

 

Total: 2 Tickets sold, 0.13% of seats (1541) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 1 Tickets sold, 0.03% of seats (2916) are sold (x2.000) 

 

SUM Total: 

88 Tickets sold, 2.98% of seats (2951) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 945 Tickets sold, 14.57% of seats (6085) are sold (x0.093) ($1,817,098) 

Fall (Tracking Day 1): 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold (x2.933) ($2,719,122) 

 

 

 

 

 

[interiorgatordecorator]

any idea when avatar 1 shows will start showing up?

[charlie Jatinder]

Spider-man: No Way Home (The more fun stuff) Harkins T-9 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
79	19,846	254	1.28%	$2,953	$11.63

 

Comps

0.089x of Eternals T-9 days - $850K

0.149x of Shang Chi T-9 days - $1.27M

 

I guess $750-1000K may be a good target for it, which may lead to $4-6M weekend. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 8/23/2022 at 8:41 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
3000 Years	T-2	Jax	6	15	7	27	1,988	1.36%
		Phx	5	12	3	11	1,442	0.76%
		Ral	7	17	1	15	1,927	0.78%
	Total		18	44	11	53	5,357	0.99%
Breaking	T-2	Jax	4	6	1	1	484	0.21%
		Phx	2	3	1	6	356	1.69%
		Ral	3	5	0	0	457	0.00%
	Total		9	14	2	7	1,297	0.54%
Breaking (EA)	T-1	Jax	1	1	2	7	50	14.00%
		Phx	1	1	3	21	44	47.73%
	Total		2	2	5	28	94	29.79%
Rogue One (Fri)	T-3	Jax	2	7	63	63	2,912	2.16%
		Phx	1	3	83	83	1,230	6.75%
	Total		3	10	146	146	4,142	3.52%
The Invitation	T-2	Jax	5	27	7	12	2,909	0.41%
		Phx	5	14	11	22	2,578	0.85%
		Ral	7	18	8	33	1,970	1.68%
	Total		17	59	26	67	7,457	0.90%

 

The Invitation T-2 comps

 - Escape Room 2 - .657x (788k)

 - The Night House - 2.79x (726k)

 - Antlers - 1.117x (413k)

 

3000 Years T-2 comps

 - House of Gucci - .173x (224k)

 - Spencer - 1.325x

 - Last Night in Soho - .53x (397k)

 

Breaking T-2 comps

 - Ambulance - .078x (54k)

 - Crawdads - .012x (25k)

 - Mrs Malcolm List - .778x

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
3000 Years	T-1	Jax	6	15	5	32	1,988	1.61%
		Phx	7	18	1	12	1,887	0.64%
		Ral	7	17	4	19	1,927	0.99%
	Total		20	50	10	63	5,802	1.09%
Breaking	T-1	Jax	4	6	0	1	484	0.21%
		Phx	3	4	7	13	482	2.70%
		Ral	4	6	2	2	502	0.40%
	Total		11	16	9	16	1,468	1.09%
Breaking (EA)	T-0	Jax	1	1	0	7	50	14.00%
		Phx	1	1	4	25	44	56.82%
	Total		2	2	4	32	94	34.04%
No Way Home	T-8	Jax	4	16	13	13	2,451	0.53%
		Phx	3	9	20	20	1,518	1.32%
		Ral	5	13	46	46	1,993	2.31%
	Total		12	38	79	79	5,962	1.33%
Rogue One (Fri)	T-2	Jax	2	7	4	67	2,912	2.30%
		Phx	1	3	4	87	1,230	7.07%
	Total		3	10	8	154	4,142	3.72%
The Invitation	T-1	Jax	5	27	11	23	2,909	0.79%
		Phx	7	20	10	32	2,967	1.08%
		Ral	7	19	17	50	2,126	2.35%
	Total		19	66	38	105	8,002	1.31%

 

The Invitation T-1 comps

 - Escape Room 2 - .7x (840k)

 - The Night House - 3.75x (975k)

 - Antlers - 1.44x (532k)

 - Candyman - .357x (679k)

 

3000 Years T-1 comps

 - House of Gucci - .174x (226k)

 - Spencer - 1.26x

 - Last Night in Soho - .44x (328k)

 - Stillwater - 1.34x (375k)

 - Roadrunner - .589x (118k)

 

Breaking T-1 comps

 - Ambulance - .122x (85k)

 - Crawdads - .023x (45k)

 - Mrs. Malcolm List - 1.231x

 

NWH T-8 comps

 - Shang-Chi - .073x (640k)

 - Eternals - .041x (390k)

[katnisscinnaplex]

I noticed something odd when running No Way Home, so I decided to take a look at showtimes for next weekend.

 

Full weekend

TC - 1,010

MTC1 - 193

MTC2 - 194

MTC3 - 323

Shows - 8,724

PLF - 1,799

 

Nothing out of the ordinary there.  But when I look at the breakdown...

 

Movie	TC	MTC1	MTC2	MTC3	Shows	PLF
NWH Th	942	189	177	299	1,777	484
NWH Fr	890	186	191	300	2,391	650
NWH Sa	135	0	0	33	419	0
NWH Su	869	185	188	293	2,338	665

 

What's going on Saturday??

[M37]

Looking at the tracking numbers, pegging The Invitation in $8-$12M range, and probably sub-$5M for 3K Years. Might not see that top movie over $10M streak broken after all 

 

Invitation over/under Beast OW is an interesting question, as might be NWH rerelease 3-day over 3K Years OW. But that’s about as “exciting” as BO gets in these especially doggy days of summer 

[Inceptionzq]

16 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

What's going on Saturday??

I noticed this as well, and it’s not just NWH, theaters that I looked at don’t have Saturday showings at all.