The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[charlie Jatinder]

41 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

+76886

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-31 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	205	27676	29568	1892	6.40%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

1892

 

Day 1 Comps

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	28.03		6749	6749		0/329	34167/40916	16.49%		21117	8.96%		10.09m
L&T	45.47		4161	4161		0/228	27442/31603	13.17%		16962	11.15%		13.19m
Bats	65.67		2406	2881		0/248	29316/32197	8.95%		11757	16.09%		14.19m
BP2	58.14		3254	3254		0/279	31690/34980	9.30%		16800	11.26%		16.28m
AM3	93.71		2019	2019		0/231	30346/32365	6.40%		10475	18.06%		16.40m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of GOTG3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE #1:  The Batman had two days of exclusive pre-sales for Early Access shows which resulted in 475 seats sold before regular showtimes went on sale.

PRE-SALE NOTE #2: AM3 tickets went on sale at 5pm locally on day 1 as opposed to 6am locally for GOTG3.

 

Regal:     301/11075  [2.72% sold]
Matinee:    50/3555  [1.41% | 2.64% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Is what it is.

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-30 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	205	27411	29568	2157	7.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

265

 

Day 2 Comps

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	29.14		654	7403		0/329	33513/40916	18.09%		21117	10.21%		10.49m
L&T	45.66		563	4724		0/228	26876/31600	14.95%		16962	12.72%		13.24m
Bats	66.68		354	3235		0/248	29063/32298	10.02%		11757	18.35%		14.40m
BP2	57.94		469	3723		0/292	32828/36551	10.19%		16800	12.84%		16.22m
AM3	77.01		782	2801		0/231	29564/32365	8.65%		10475	20.59%		13.48m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of GOTG3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE #2: AM3 tickets went on sale at 5pm locally on day 1 as opposed to 6am locally for GOTG3, thus AM3's Day 2 sales are inflated.

 

Regal:     357/11075  [3.22% sold]
Matinee:    64/3555  [1.80% | 2.97% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

will we get Tuesday midnight numbers? or are those technically part of wed?

 

They'll be part of Wed but various trades willl probably mention it, if only for curiosities sake,  They did the last time this happened with Far From Home.

[Mulder]

I can not believe the big show time for my IMAX looks like this. 

[Krissykins]

Yeh the midnights are Wednesday, as the showtimes are 00.00 or 00.01. So they’re genuine midnights, not the Thursday at 2pm “previews” we get now. 

[Eric Prime]

16 hours ago, Eric is Gay for Bowser said:

Air Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	88	639	11634	5.49%

 

Comp - Monday Before Release

14.860x of The Last Duel (5.2M)

5.972x of Ambulance (4.18M)

2.719x of Unbearable Weight (2.27M)

0.994x of Elvis (3.48M)

0.663x of Bullet Train (3.05M)

3.260x of Amsterdam (1.79M)

 

Wednesday openers, specifically ones with no previews, is always tricky. But I mean the 3-5M from the higher end comps would be very much good for a movie like this. So let's be optimistic and say it's this.

Air Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	88	773	11634	6.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 134

 

Comp

12.672x of The Last Duel (4.43M)

2.112x of House of Gucci (2.96M)

5.331x of Ambulance (3.73M)

2.811x of Unbearable Weight (2.35M)

1.049x of Elvis (3.67M)

0.683x of Bullet Train (3.14M)

3.612x of Amsterdam (1.99M)

[Eric Prime]

16 hours ago, Eric is Gay for Bowser said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	248	6899	45704	15.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 1,626

 

Comp - T-2

2.631x of Sing 2 (25.61M)

3.889x of Sonic 2 (24.31M)

8.634x of Lightyear (44.9M)

7.134x of Minions 2 (76.69M)

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	248	9147	45704	20.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2,248

 

Comp

2.986x of Sing 2 (29.07M)

3.773x of Sonic 2 (23.58M)

8.323x of Lightyear (43.28M)

6.026x of Minions 2 (64.78M)

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 3 MTC1 previews - 68696/1146081 1252313.50 7002 shows

 

This is as of this morning and so about day and some time. Pace cratered by 5PM yesterday. Not seeing the new spot making a big difference at this point. 

 

Comps about half of Thor and little over 60% of Wakanda and little over 3/4 of Ant 3. Nothing more to say at this point. Let us see how next day or 2 goes before we project previews/OW. However at this point OW below Vol 2 is likely. 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol3 MTC2 previews(T-29) - 73243/1146459 1329830.03 7005 shows

 

No 2 ways about this number. Its terrible. Way worse than Ant 3. At this point I can see even 100m not locked yet(Friday sales are equally awful if you comp with big MCU movies). As I said yesterday its not about marketing. This movie even got a Super Bowl trailer and awareness is not an issue. Front page of every major ticketing site has this shown prominently. There is definite sign of the big F word.

 

That said as someone said if this were not an MCU mega sequel we would be doing cartwheels at these numbers. But these numbers do have a context and its not that Guardians will start to behave like a Jurassic movie or anything !!! 

 

It also sold 2498/17472 115955.00 58 shows for wednesday Imax marathon. Its not going to make a big difference but that ticket price is Yuge. 

Edited April 5, 2023 by keysersoze123

[BadOlCatSylvester]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol3 MTC2 previews(T-29) - 73243/1146459 1329830.03 7005 shows

 

No 2 ways about this number. Its terrible. Way worse than Ant 3. At this point I can see even 100m not locked yet(Friday sales are equally awful if you comp with big MCU movies). As I said yesterday its not about marketing. This movie even got a Super Bowl trailer and awareness is not an issue. Front page of every major ticketing site has this shown prominently. There is definite sign of the big F word.

 

That said as someone said if this were not an MCU mega sequel we would be doing cartwheels at these numbers. But these numbers do have a context and its not that Guardians will start to behave like a Jurassic movie or anything !!! 

The Marvels<Dark Phoenix worldwide? 

[Skim Beeble]

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol3 MTC2 previews(T-29) - 73243/1146459 1329830.03 7005 shows

 

No 2 ways about this number. Its terrible. Way worse than Ant 3. At this point I can see even 100m not locked yet(Friday sales are equally awful if you comp with big MCU movies). As I said yesterday its not about marketing. This movie even got a Super Bowl trailer and awareness is not an issue. Front page of every major ticketing site has this shown prominently. There is definite sign of the big F word.

 

That said as someone said if this were not an MCU mega sequel we would be doing cartwheels at these numbers. But these numbers do have a context and its not that Guardians will start to behave like a Jurassic movie or anything !!! 

 

It also sold 2498/17472 115955.00 58 shows for wednesday Imax marathon. Its not going to make a big difference but that ticket price is Yuge. 

praying for spider-verse rn

[stripe]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol3 MTC2 previews(T-29) - 73243/1146459 1329830.03 7005 shows

 

No 2 ways about this number. Its terrible. Way worse than Ant 3. At this point I can see even 100m not locked yet(Friday sales are equally awful if you comp with big MCU movies). As I said yesterday its not about marketing. This movie even got a Super Bowl trailer and awareness is not an issue. Front page of every major ticketing site has this shown prominently. There is definite sign of the big F word.

 

That said as someone said if this were not an MCU mega sequel we would be doing cartwheels at these numbers. But these numbers do have a context and its not that Guardians will start to behave like a Jurassic movie or anything !!! 

 

It also sold 2498/17472 115955.00 58 shows for wednesday Imax marathon. Its not going to make a big difference but that ticket price is Yuge. 

 

That's sad... Crossing fingers it can recover from this start.

[GOGODanca]

Yeah it's gonna need some out of this world WOM ala NWH or BP to be a big hit, simply good like GoTg2 won't cut it 

[SpiderByte]

50 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The Marvels<Dark Phoenix worldwide? 

Can someone explain why everyone has, despite not a single frame of footage being shown, randomly decided that The Marvels will be a bomb and that critics will hate it? Like your describing a nearly 750 million dollar drop because...Brie Larson said something about critics in 2019?

Edited April 5, 2023 by SpiderByte

[vafrow]

19 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

Yeah it's gonna need some out of this world WOM ala NWH or BP to be a big hit, simply good like GoTg2 won't cut it 

 

If it opens so low, the discourse around the film will turn negative, and it will be very difficult to go on a leggy run.

 

Disney has so much of its pipeline built around the MCU, that if they're not delivering solid profits, I'm not sure how they really function going forward.

 

Their animation slate is on shaky ground. Indiana Jones is probably a safe bet this year, but, unless they can clone a younger version of Harrison Ford, it's really unclear how they milk this franchise further.

 

The animation remakes also feel like they're coming to the end of their cycle.

[JustLurking]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol3 MTC2 previews(T-29) - 73243/1146459 1329830.03 7005 shows

 

No 2 ways about this number. Its terrible. Way worse than Ant 3. At this point I can see even 100m not locked yet(Friday sales are equally awful if you comp with big MCU movies). As I said yesterday its not about marketing. This movie even got a Super Bowl trailer and awareness is not an issue. Front page of every major ticketing site has this shown prominently. There is definite sign of the big F word.

 

That said as someone said if this were not an MCU mega sequel we would be doing cartwheels at these numbers. But these numbers do have a context and its not that Guardians will start to behave like a Jurassic movie or anything !!! 

 

It also sold 2498/17472 115955.00 58 shows for wednesday Imax marathon. Its not going to make a big difference but that ticket price is Yuge. 

Wow. That is not good. I still think the finish will be better than AM3 but if the start is so low there's only so much this can open to.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

47 minutes ago, Skim Beeble said:

praying for spider-verse rn

I was gonna say that Spider-Verse should be alright cause it’s following a beloved first film and is said to be great….but so is Guardians so idk.

 

I was thinking Guardians will top Mario as the biggest DOM opening this year, but I’m wondering if it’ll even be the biggest Marvel opening now. Still a month to go but yeesh.

 

(On the bright side my Dune 2 gross > every 2023 CBM gross club is looking better).

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The Marvels<Dark Phoenix worldwide? 

Just for record what do you expect GoTG 3 weekend to be.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Just for record what do you expect GoTG 3 weekend to be.

I'd say around Quantumania's, maybe a little higher if the pace doesn't pick up. $110M or so.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

1 hour ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The Marvels<Dark Phoenix worldwide? 

Alright let’s not get too crazy.

 

[SpiderByte]

6 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

 

(On the bright side my Dune 2 gross > every 2023 CBM gross club is looking better).

Dune 2 isn't even probably going to release in 2023