The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[ThomasNicole]

Evil Dead is on sale? I´m very curious about this one, i´m sure there´s a limit for a such a specific type of horror movies, but reviews are absolutely amazing so it maybe can surprise with 20-25M OW

[Eric the Minion]

2 hours ago, Count Eric said:

The Pope's Exorcist Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	64	3956	1.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp - T-1

0.529x of X (233K)

0.853x of Firestarter (320K)

0.467x of Men (198K)

0.615x of The Invitation (477K)

0.242x of Barbarian (206K)

0.753x of Prey for the Devil (497K)

The Pope's Exorcist Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	189	3956	4.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 125

 

Comp

0.791x of X (348K)

1.465x of Firestarter (549K)

0.765x of Men (324K)

0.647x of The Invitation (502K)

0.392x of Barbarian (333K)

1.022x of Prey for the Devil (674K)

[Eric the Minion]

2 hours ago, Count Eric said:

Renfield Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	45	278	5149	5.40%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 69

 

Comp - T-1

0.378x of The Black Phone (1.13M)

1.053x of Barbarian (895K)

0.490x of Smile (980K)

1.086x of Violent Night (1.19M)

0.570x of M3GAN (1.57M)

0.676x of Knock at the Cabin (981K)

0.797x of Cocaine Bear (1.59M)

Renfield Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	47	384	5452	7.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 106

 

Comp

0.288x of The Black Phone (865K)

0.797x of Barbarian (677K)

0.426x of Smile (852K)

0.941x of Violent Night (1.03M)

0.345x of M3GAN (948K)

0.535x of Knock at the Cabin (777K)

0.588x of Cocaine Bear (1.18M)

[CJohn]

Still hoping both movies get to 10M OW somehow. 

 

[JayPrimetown]

Pope's Exorcist sold more tickets today in the Philadelphia tracking than Renfield? Interesting.

Edited April 13, 2023 by JayPrimetown

[vafrow]

Tracking walkups for my theatre.

 

Both Renfield and Pope's Exorcist each had only two tickets sold this morning, both for the early show.

 

At time of early showtime close, Renfield sold 8 tickets to the early show. Nothing sold for the late yet. I'll check in at showtime.

 

Pope's Exorcist is still at its original 2 tickets sold. 

 

So basically, next to no activity. It's also an absolutely gorgeous day in southern Ontario. Not the best night to spend indoors and watch a horror movie.

[crazydom]

I still don't understand using Renfield as your title. It conveys basically nothing. Whoever decided not to put Dracula in the title somewhere should be fired.

Edited April 13, 2023 by crazydom

[keysersoze123]

On 4/11/2023 at 2:52 PM, keysersoze123 said:

GOTG Vol3 MTC2 Thursday - 49044/587674 703531.51 3733 shows

 

Definite boost today compared to yesterday. Still well behind Ant 3. Somewhere equivalent(couple of days ahead) data for Ant is below. Both MTC1/2 are tracking similar percentage(slightly below 3/4th) compared to Ant. Good news is the week beyond were really meh for Ant 3. Let us see how Guardians behave well into its 2nd week of presales. 

 

  

 

GOTG Vol3 MTC2 Thursday -51802/588887 742386.24 3741 shows

 

2 days of run. it increased 1648 over past 24 hours. Just to repost T-21 for Ant 3 below. 

 

  

On 1/26/2023 at 3:43 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania MTC2 previews - 71888/636602 1058339.75 4081 shows. 

 

Almost 4 days of data. its chugging along really good at this point. 

 

 

 

 

Edited April 14, 2023 by keysersoze123

[Porsha]

The Regal Monday Mystery Movie on April 17th is Sisu.

 

Regal specified that it's a film not for the faint of heart. It would make no sense to play Evil Dead Rise as it wouldn't need a Mystery Movie box office boost due to name recognition and it literally comes out 4 days later which would cause a lot of cancelations for pre sale tickets.

 

The Covenant is 2 hours long and Beau is Afraid is 3 hours long and the Mystery Movie is no longer than 1 hour and 46 minutes.

[Sckathian]

2 hours ago, crazydom said:

I still don't understand using Renfield as your title. It conveys basically nothing. Whoever decided not to put Dracula in the title somewhere should be fired.

Anyone can make a Dracula film. Fen field is designed to be franchisable so needs a specific brand.

[vafrow]

2 hours ago, vafrow said:

Tracking walkups for my theatre.

 

Both Renfield and Pope's Exorcist each had only two tickets sold this morning, both for the early show.

 

At time of early showtime close, Renfield sold 8 tickets to the early show. Nothing sold for the late yet. I'll check in at showtime.

 

Pope's Exorcist is still at its original 2 tickets sold. 

 

So basically, next to no activity. It's also an absolutely gorgeous day in southern Ontario. Not the best night to spend indoors and watch a horror movie.

 

Final tally on TPE is 8 tickets sold to its late show, but, Renfield didn't sell anything to its late show.

 

Overall, from start of day to end of day

 

Renfield 2->6

Pope's exorcist 2->10

 

I don't have great comparisons, but, last week on Wednesday debut, Air did

 

9->35 over the course of the day.

 

 

[scytheavatar]

9 hours ago, Maggie said:

I don't think Marvel can really do that much to increase sales. People know what to expect from this franchise. It's more of the same. Huge surge won't happen without something drastic happening between sequels ( a GOD forbid...a death...see Dark Knight and Fast and Furios)or if the predecessor did ok but it was discovered later at home (John Wick,), which is not the case here because this franchise did great things from the start

 

All in all, i think the franchise has reached its ceiling

 

 

As someone mentioned in the Gotg Vol 3 thread the audience expect fun adventures in a Gotg movie yet Marvel has been trying to sell Vol 3 as some kind of feels trip. As if some of these characters are certainly going to die by the end of the movie. And this marketing is doing a terrific job at convincing people NOT to watch the movie. 

Edited April 14, 2023 by scytheavatar

[keysersoze123]

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC1 previews

Renfield - 14411/130357 202535.29 1072 shows

Suzume - 15144/154429 248802.60 1058 shows

 

Presales have grown at anemic levels. Let us see how walkups go but I am not seeing more than 1m for either movie. Renfield will probably squeak ahead in ticket sales but Suzume has Imax shows and so could still gross a tad more.

Renfield previews

MTC1 - 20588/130093 287035.12 1070 shows

MTC2 - 12425/117023 146414.72 992 shows

 

Thinking around 800-900K range for this one. 

Suzume MTC1 Previews - 17824/154219 289301.86 1057 shows

 

Probably  around ~800K. It could do a bit more if Canada over performs. But I am not sure how these movies do over there. 

 

Look at the numbers, I am not even convinced studios will bother putting out previews or just club them with friday BO. 

 

 

[Issac Newton]

Rank	Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Universal)	$83.5 M	$344.0 M	-43%	2
2	Renfield (Universal)	$11.7 M	$11.7 M	NEW	1
3	The Pope's Exorcist (Sony / Screen Gems)	$8.7 M	$8.7 M	NEW	1
4	Air (Amazon Studios)	$8.5 M	$34.1 M	-41%	2
5	John Wick: Chapter 4 (Lionsgate)	$8.2 M	$160.4 M	-43%	4
6	Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves (Paramount)	$7.3 M	$74.0 M	-47%	3
7	Suzume (Crunchyroll)	$5.7 M	$5.7 M	NEW	1
8	Mafia Mamma (Bleecker Street)	$2.5 M	$2.5 M	NEW	1
9	Scream VI (Paramount)	$1.6 M	$107.0 M	-53%	6

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Renfield previews

MTC1 - 20588/130093 287035.12 1070 shows

MTC2 - 12425/117023 146414.72 992 shows

 

Thinking around 800-900K range for this one. 

Suzume MTC1 Previews - 17824/154219 289301.86 1057 shows

 

Probably  around ~800K. It could do a bit more if Canada over performs. But I am not sure how these movies do over there. 

 

Look at the numbers, I am not even convinced studios will bother putting out previews or just club them with friday BO. 

 

 

Renfield looks like $900K to me. Meh. There were few EA yday.

 

FRI sales were eh in Harkins, likely it miss $10M.

 

 

Suzume IDK, could be $600-700K depending on how wide release is in smaller chains.

[charlie Jatinder]

MiniTC 2

Pope - 1875/13475 (83 showings) $21,609
Renefield - 1213/12957 (76 showings) $14,073
Suzume - 1012/10251 (69 showings) $11,726

Mamma Mafia - 369/6902 (46 showings) $4,225

 

Shit walkups for Renfield. Looks like $800K THU. With EA probably $1-1.1M

 

Pope decent walkups. Will overindex here. $800K+ possible.

 

Suzume $550-600K seems like.

 

Mamma Mafia eh. $250-300K.

Edited April 14, 2023 by charlie Jatinder

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Looks like the TikTokaholics simply weren't enough to save a meme movie this time. I guess either the studio didn't market it well or the movie simply didn't appeal to the usual meme movie demographic we've seen prop up Megan and Cocaine Bear.

[TigerPaw]

3 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Rank	Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Universal)	$83.5 M	$344.0 M	-43%	2
2	Renfield (Universal)	$11.7 M	$11.7 M	NEW	1
3	The Pope's Exorcist (Sony / Screen Gems)	$8.7 M	$8.7 M	NEW	1
4	Air (Amazon Studios)	$8.5 M	$34.1 M	-41%	2
5	John Wick: Chapter 4 (Lionsgate)	$8.2 M	$160.4 M	-43%	4
6	Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves (Paramount)	$7.3 M	$74.0 M	-47%	3
7	Suzume (Crunchyroll)	$5.7 M	$5.7 M	NEW	1
8	Mafia Mamma (Bleecker Street)	$2.5 M	$2.5 M	NEW	1
9	Scream VI (Paramount)	$1.6 M	$107.0 M	-53%	6

I think Air and JW4 will surprise and move up in ranking.

 

A little too high for Mario..

[Last Man Standing]

9 hours ago, crazydom said:

I still don't understand using Renfield as your title. It conveys basically nothing. Whoever decided not to put Dracula in the title somewhere should be fired.

“Renfield: the Origins of Dracula’s Butler” was right there

[Porthos]

On 4/10/2023 at 2:35 AM, Porthos said:

 

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-39 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	182	27162	27768	606	2.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Since  Thursday

21

 

BREAKDOWN

  Reveal hidden contents

 

T-41:	5
T-40:	6
T-39:	10

 

 

T-39 Comp:

%

Sold T-39

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

JWD

55.85

52

1085

0/167

22418/23503

4.62%

33839

1.79%

10.05m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Fast X's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       97/10167  [0.95% sold]
Matinee:    12/3540  [0.34% | 1.98% of all tickets sold]

 

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-35 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	182	27131	27765	634	2.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Sunday

28

 

BREAKDOWN

Spoiler

 

T-38:	6
T-37:	9
T-36:	8
T-35:	5

 

 

 

T-35 Comp:

%

Sold T-35

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

JWD

50.68

60

1251

0/168

22423/23674

5.28%

33839

1.87%

9.12m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Fast X's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      98/10167  [0.96% sold]
Matinee:    12/3540  [0.34% | 1.89% of all tickets sold]

 

 

On 4/10/2023 at 2:35 AM, Porthos said:

===

 

Next update Thursday, where I'll probably shift to daily updates once again.