A2 WEEKEND THREAD | 134.1M DOM OW | Thurs 17m / Fri 36m / Sat 45m / Sun 36m

[Nikostar]

What are the odds of his just having avg legs. We are hoping it pulls an Avatar but that was 2009 and pre COVID. The Boxoffice landscape is completely different now.

[MikeQ]

Just now, Ryan Reynolds said:

https://deadline.com/2022/12/avatar-the-way-of-water-box-office-1235200714/

 

17m

 

"We are hearing from our sources"...

 

Sources = BOT Forums. 

 

😉

 

Peace,

Mike

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

I won't get into the weeds of my pros and cons until after the weekend, but I will say that while I think this movie is a better film than the first one it is not a better experience. After I saw Avatar the first time, one of my main thoughts was, "I can't wait to do this again." After seeing TWOW tonight, one of my main thoughts was, "This was very well done but I don't think I'll be paying to see it again." That is not a knock on the film for what it is. There are a lot of good/great films that aren't as re-watchable as lesser films. That's my general thought as of now.

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

https://deadline.com/2022/12/avatar-the-way-of-water-box-office-1235200714/

 

17m

 

STOP CRIBBING OUR NOTES, DEADLINE!!!!!! 

[TwoMisfits]

4 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

https://deadline.com/2022/12/avatar-the-way-of-water-box-office-1235200714/

 

17m

 

Deadline decided to just take our tracking thread number - at least we know they read our stuff...

[Porthos]

Real talk though.  When was the last time we had a Thursday preview estimate from Deadline?  Had to be pre-'rona, right?  I don't recall us getting one for NWH, though maybe I just wasn't paying enough attention then.

Edited December 16, 2022 by Porthos

[Eric Quinn]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Real talk though.  When was the last time we had a Thursday preview estimate from Deadline?  Had to be pre-'rona, right?

Pretty sure it was TROS yeah. Don't even think No Way Home got this treatment. Guess this is our first #event

[M37]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Deadline decided to just take our tracking thread number - at least we know they read our stuff...

Not regularly, or the reporting in advance of or during weekends would better reflect it ...

[Nikostar]

So would 17 put the weekend at 150 or closer to 150

[Ryan Reynolds]

1 minute ago, Nikostar said:

So would 17 put the weekend at 150 or closer to 150

130m-150m

[DAR]

Deadline taken its sources from a dead forum

[M37]

1 minute ago, Nikostar said:

So would 17 put the weekend at 150 or closer to 150

No

 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

2 minutes ago, Nikostar said:

So would 17 put the weekend at 150 or closer to 150

 

130-140.

[Nikostar]

1 minute ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

130m-150m

Thanks. Seems like the tracking forum was on the money again 

[Alpha]

Avatar 2 underperforming because Sky People cannot learn. They do not see.

[Porthos]

Quote

We are hearing from our sources that James Cameron’s sequel to his highest grossing movie in the world, Avatar: The Way of Water, is currently on its way to a $17M Thursday night from showtimes that began at 7PM.

 

Oh, Deadline. 😂

 

Never change.  Never EVER CHANGE. 😂 😂😂

[stuart360]

The Deadline article said The Batman had 17.6 thursday for a 137mil. weekend, but its Thursday showings started at 3pm, while A2's start at 7pm.

Also JW had a 18.6mil Thursday, also from 7pm showings like A2, but had a 208mil OW.

 

So why are people putting predictions around The Batmans OW ?.

 

Also in the article they put this -

 

Quote

 

Through this AM, box office analytics corp EntTelligence reports that the preview night and opening day of Avatar 2 represent only 53% sales are for opening weekend, “which is a very good thing,” reports the org.  

“It means that this movie is not front loaded with steep box office drops.  By way of comparison, a superhero movie often has 70+% of PreSales in for Preview Night/Opening Day.  Lower than 70% is a strong indicator of success.   53% eclipses that benchmark,” reports EntTelligence.

Another indicator that Avatar 2 is not frontloaded: 23% of all presales are for after opening weekend.  The film’s subsequent days of release, after opening weekend, are doing better than Spider-Man: No Way Home.

 

 

Does that parry up with peoples tracking estimates on here?, and if it DOES, why is there so much negativity?.

[The Dark Alfred]

We'll see how the weekend unfolds, might come a bit below the projected 150-160m range, but solid start nevertheless. Its success will always going to be defined by its WoM.  It's not going to the trouble TGM for the yearly crown as expected.

[Cmasterclay]

30 minutes ago, Plain Old Tele said:

This is the best dad pun in awhile and Justin Chang (critic for the LA Times) beat you to it.  

Damn. oh well. At least he's one of my favorite critics.

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, stuart360 said:

The Deadline article said The Batman had 17.6 thursday for a 137mil. weekend, but its Thursday showings started at 3pm, while A2's start at 7pm.

Also JW had a 18.6mil Thursday, also from 7pm showings like A2, but had a 208mil OW.

 

So why are people putting predictions around The Batmans OW ?.

 

Also in the article they put this -

 

 

Does that parry up with peoples tracking estimates on here?, and if it DOES, why is there so much negativity?.

 

Deadline is wrong as A2's previews started at ***3PM***. 👍

Edited December 16, 2022 by Porthos