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XXR vs XXR

New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!

By XXR vs XXR, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by charlie Jatinder,

looks like 23.5-24M. 

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Posted by XXR vs XXR,

Too early to tell. Everyone has different thoughts on how it'll play out. Final DOM somewhere between 550 and 900.  

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Sophia Jane Box Office Gold

Sophia Jane

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

Since Charlie said Avatar 2 is Endgame in Canada, but effectively just regular solo hero Marvel level in the US. I'm really curious what the breakdown in total box office is between the US and Canada.  Normally, I thought it was about 90-10.  Is this movie 80-20 or even more crazy?

First Avatar box office in Canada is bigger than SW7

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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

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Posted

An increase from 63.3M in weekend 2 to 66.8M in weekend 3 is incredible. Very curious to see how the film will perform post-holidays. My suspicion is weekdays will be pretty muted, but weekends will be strong - with more people opting to see it during the weekend.

 

With the Monday projection/estimate, The Way of Water already has a 3.31 multiplier, and is assured of hitting 4+ during its run. It will be only the sixth film that opened to $70+ million to have a 4+ multiplier.

 

How spoiled we are to have two such leggy runs in 2022, with TGM's exceptional run in the summer.

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

  1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
  2. Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (5.67)
  3. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
  4. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
  5. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
  6. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
  7. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
  8. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89)
  9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
  10. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
  11. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
  12. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
  13. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
  14. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59)
  15. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
  16. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
  17. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
  18. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
  19. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)
  20. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
  21. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51)
  22. Joker (2019) — 96.2 million (3.49)
  23. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47)
  24. Minions: The Rise of Gru (2022) — 107.0 million (3.45)
  25. Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44)
  26. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) — 155.1 million (3.43)
  27. Star Trek (2009) — 75.2 million (3.43)
  28. The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38)
  29. Shrek Forever After (2010) — 70.8 million (3.37)
  30. Incredibles 2 (2018) — 182.7 million (3.33)
  31. I Am Legend (2007) — 77.2 million (3.32)
  32. Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) — 134.1 million (3.31)^

^ Run not yet complete

 

Peace,

Mike

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LPLC Box Office Gold

LPLC

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

An increase from 63.3M in weekend 2 to 66.8M in weekend 3 is incredible. Very curious to see how the film will perform post-holidays. My suspicion is weekdays will be pretty muted, but weekends will be strong - with more people opting to see it during the weekend.

 

With the Monday projection/estimate, The Way of Water already has a 3.31 multiplier, and is assured of hitting 4+ during its run. It will be only the sixth film that opened to $70+ million to have a 4+ multiplier.

 

How spoiled we are to have two such leggy runs in 2022, with TGM's exceptional run in the summer.

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

  1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
  2. Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (5.67)
  3. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
  4. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
  5. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
  6. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
  7. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
  8. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89)
  9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
  10. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
  11. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
  12. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
  13. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
  14. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59)
  15. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
  16. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
  17. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
  18. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
  19. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)
  20. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
  21. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51)
  22. Joker (2019) — 96.2 million (3.49)
  23. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47)
  24. Minions: The Rise of Gru (2022) — 107.0 million (3.45)
  25. Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44)
  26. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) — 155.1 million (3.43)
  27. Star Trek (2009) — 75.2 million (3.43)
  28. The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38)
  29. Shrek Forever After (2010) — 70.8 million (3.37)
  30. Incredibles 2 (2018) — 182.7 million (3.33)
  31. I Am Legend (2007) — 77.2 million (3.32)
  32. Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) — 134.1 million (3.31)^

^ Run not yet complete

 

Peace,

Mike

Should be 3rd or 4th by the end of its run with approx 4,5-5 multiplier

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Ozymandias Global Phenomenon

Ozymandias

Posted
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1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

The hype for TFA was insane.

 

You can't bring back that hype without the OT characters and without the Skywalker Saga.

 

The hype was supercharged by nostalgia. That will be gone the next time around.

 

Hopefully Rian Johnson gets to direct the next Star Wars trilogy for maximum internet chaos.

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

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26 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

I know it's still very early in the day, especially PST, but would you be willing to share if any of your early data is pointing to a $20m Monday, like what was recently estimated in this thread? Feels a little light to me, but Sunday was terrific so maybe we're due for a slightly larger comedown than expected.

 

It's definitely underestimated. They do that to be safe. As of this moment I won't offer a prediction since it's still so early but I'd be surprised if it wasn't over 20.5 

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Fanboy Box Office Gold

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Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Reminder that A2 lost 7-10m from saturday being new years eve.


A2 has edge on Avatar as of now on day by day numbers

Won't be a fair comparison until we get Wednesday numbers since Avatar 2 has a holiday today and discount Tuesdays weren't a big thing back in 2009. 

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