Sophia Jane Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said: Since Charlie said Avatar 2 is Endgame in Canada, but effectively just regular solo hero Marvel level in the US. I'm really curious what the breakdown in total box office is between the US and Canada. Normally, I thought it was about 90-10. Is this movie 80-20 or even more crazy? First Avatar box office in Canada is bigger than SW7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Navi heads would be way too big for Halloween constumes obviously ☺️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 19 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said: thats a good thing hard disagree i need neytiri cosplays 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeQ Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 An increase from 63.3M in weekend 2 to 66.8M in weekend 3 is incredible. Very curious to see how the film will perform post-holidays. My suspicion is weekdays will be pretty muted, but weekends will be strong - with more people opting to see it during the weekend. With the Monday projection/estimate, The Way of Water already has a 3.31 multiplier, and is assured of hitting 4+ during its run. It will be only the sixth film that opened to $70+ million to have a 4+ multiplier. How spoiled we are to have two such leggy runs in 2022, with TGM's exceptional run in the summer. Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers): Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73) Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (5.67) Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84) Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55) Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00) Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94) American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92) Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89) Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78) Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76) The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71) Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65) Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60) Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58) The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53) The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53) Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53) Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52) Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51) Joker (2019) — 96.2 million (3.49) Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47) Minions: The Rise of Gru (2022) — 107.0 million (3.45) Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) — 155.1 million (3.43) Star Trek (2009) — 75.2 million (3.43) The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38) Shrek Forever After (2010) — 70.8 million (3.37) Incredibles 2 (2018) — 182.7 million (3.33) I Am Legend (2007) — 77.2 million (3.32) Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) — 134.1 million (3.31)^ ^ Run not yet complete Peace, Mike 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Reminder that A2 lost 7-10m from saturday being new years eve. A2 has edge on Avatar as of now on day by day numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, MikeQ said: An increase from 63.3M in weekend 2 to 66.8M in weekend 3 is incredible. Very curious to see how the film will perform post-holidays. My suspicion is weekdays will be pretty muted, but weekends will be strong - with more people opting to see it during the weekend. With the Monday projection/estimate, The Way of Water already has a 3.31 multiplier, and is assured of hitting 4+ during its run. It will be only the sixth film that opened to $70+ million to have a 4+ multiplier. How spoiled we are to have two such leggy runs in 2022, with TGM's exceptional run in the summer. Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers): Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73) Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (5.67) Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84) Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55) Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00) Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94) American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92) Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89) Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78) Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76) The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71) Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65) Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60) Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58) The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53) The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53) Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53) Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52) Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51) Joker (2019) — 96.2 million (3.49) Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47) Minions: The Rise of Gru (2022) — 107.0 million (3.45) Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) — 155.1 million (3.43) Star Trek (2009) — 75.2 million (3.43) The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38) Shrek Forever After (2010) — 70.8 million (3.37) Incredibles 2 (2018) — 182.7 million (3.33) I Am Legend (2007) — 77.2 million (3.32) Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) — 134.1 million (3.31)^ ^ Run not yet complete Peace, Mike Should be 3rd or 4th by the end of its run with approx 4,5-5 multiplier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeymichael Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 MikeQ sure knows how to properly format a list 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 hour ago, grey ghost said: The hype for TFA was insane. You can't bring back that hype without the OT characters and without the Skywalker Saga. The hype was supercharged by nostalgia. That will be gone the next time around. Hopefully Rian Johnson gets to direct the next Star Wars trilogy for maximum internet chaos. 3 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, IronJimbo said: Reminder that A2 lost 7-10m from saturday being new years eve. At the same time FRI and SUN are inflated whereas A1 only had FRI inflated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 2, 2023 Author Share Posted January 2, 2023 26 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said: I know it's still very early in the day, especially PST, but would you be willing to share if any of your early data is pointing to a $20m Monday, like what was recently estimated in this thread? Feels a little light to me, but Sunday was terrific so maybe we're due for a slightly larger comedown than expected. It's definitely underestimated. They do that to be safe. As of this moment I won't offer a prediction since it's still so early but I'd be surprised if it wasn't over 20.5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fanboy Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Reminder that A2 lost 7-10m from saturday being new years eve. A2 has edge on Avatar as of now on day by day numbers Won't be a fair comparison until we get Wednesday numbers since Avatar 2 has a holiday today and discount Tuesdays weren't a big thing back in 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontofan Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ozymandias said: Hopefully Rian Johnson gets to direct the next Star Wars trilogy for maximum internet chaos. i 100% would get banned in that thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, Torontofan said: i 100% would get banned in that thread. I would 100% enjoy that thread. Get J.J. Abrams with Kurtzman & Orci writing/producing the original standalone side movies too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I got in trouble last week for not advertising this so here's the prediction thread for this weekend: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 @IronJimbo If it drops like -35% next weekend i'll meet you halfway (target TGM, not NWH). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jiffy Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I also agree the upcoming weekdays are probably going to be pretty hampered by the runtime but hopefully it can rebound to an extent on the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I'm calling it, Avatar will win the next 2 (3?) weekends as well. Competition is dire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I think the long running time will make weekdays be muted starting tomorrow (and weekends will be exceptional) 600M seems nearly locked, i think the question now is just how well it'll hold and if it does, how higher can it go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ronin46 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, DAJK said: I'm calling it, Avatar will win the next 2 (3?) weekends as well. Competition is dire. 4 until Knock at the Cabin (Feb 3) is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, DAJK said: I'm calling it, Avatar will win the next 2 (3?) weekends as well. Competition is dire. it'll be #1 until knock at the cabin comes out. don't think this is a bold prediction. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...